Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cf258a6ae6d81f847cde4137e93cc87446336985b537a10cc019217b8551699
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $178,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 47,181$37,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,487.22 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 22c | 39,486$8,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,726.86 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 15,220$10,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,854.35 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 20c | 14,668$2,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.63 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 8,070$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.72 | 562 | 41.5%233 W · 329 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x893b…b1b4backed Yes | 18c | 5,384$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.09 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 34c | 3,747$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.98 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Yes | 24c | 3,333$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 76c | 3,150$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 141 | 62.4%88 W · 53 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 18c | 2,722$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 76c | 2,605$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.17 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 26c | 2,500$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 19c | 2,187$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 74c | 2,072$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.79 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…f1e2backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Yes | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd760…f7f5backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Yes | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 78c | 1,899$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.72 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 60c | 1,581$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.2 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed Yes | 50c | 1,450$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…7776backed No | 76c | 1,277$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.54 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 74c | 1,233$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 773 | 42.8%331 W · 442 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 76c | 1,184$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.16 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 78c | 1,181$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.27 | 149 | 75.8%113 W · 36 L | +26.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5737…15dabacked Yes | 18c | 1,089$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…68a0backed No | 49c | 1,015$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.47 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 76c | 919.96$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.79 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c8…c34ebacked Yes | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a0…440cbacked Yes | 24c | 625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 70c | 621.4$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.3 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…03b4backed Yes | 42c | 619.87$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.71 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 47c | 601.26$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.59 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Yes | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 20c | 575$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.08 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 76c | 549.99$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 75c | 546.07$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.52 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f12…1937backed Yes | 18c | 540$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +146.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 66c | 490$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.6 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 77c | 400$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.54 | 365 | 63%230 W · 135 L | +32.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…9b48backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 18c | 388.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 290 | 24.8%72 W · 218 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 382.9$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.72 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da0…5fe0backed Yes | 24c | 373.12$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 44c | 363.64$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Yes | 28c | 350.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes | 24c | 350$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d9…d857backed Yes | 30c | 349.7$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecab…e8d4backed Yes | 25c | 348.4$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…a55abacked Yes | 9c | 344.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes | 18c | 333.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…3b28backed Yes | 25c | 324.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 41c | 321.3$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.17 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…e1d4backed Yes | 13c | 319.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 77c | 319.35$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 209 | 56%117 W · 92 L | +15.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 80c | 312.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 598 | 47.7%285 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…4af5backed No | 62c | 304.84$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.84 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 23c | 299.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…fcc9backed Yes | 30c | 287.53$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 37cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 278.05$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.73 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…7ea0backed Yes | 34c | 271.74$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 66c | 269.25$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 30c | 260.19$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 253.24$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 810 | 53.6%434 W · 376 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 66c | 238.51$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 23c | 237.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 152 | 33.6%51 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Yes | 24c | 229.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc086…8128backed Yes | 25c | 213.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 59c | 210.37$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | +47.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…d23dbacked Yes | 24c | 200.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa303…2991backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x333a…bd76backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…5ed0backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 66c | 199.94$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 18c | 196.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 69c | 194.21$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.51 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 64c | 194$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.06 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…0492backed Yes | 17c | 183.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 18c | 172.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x291d…2f8bbacked Yes | 25c | 168$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 61c | 167.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?No won
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.