Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30d49ac0a4ce091a98c3950d5bb84063676596a889890300adf24b0e2c410e3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,225,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,849,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,225,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,643 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa136…97debacked No | 47c | 5,051,011$2,355,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355,023.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 53c | 2,064,175$1,100,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963,596.33 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 53c | 574,664$306,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268,325.03 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Yes | 54c | 500,000$268,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 53c | 489,435$260,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228,785.64 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed No | 44c | 407,155$180,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180,198.88 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 53c | 321,462$171,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150,000.18 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 54c | 173,544$93,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,414.04 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 53c | 167,146$88,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,558.81 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 54c | 160,000$86,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,000 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 55c | 148,621$82,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,317.44 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked No | 47c | 127,660$60,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,000 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Yes | 54c | 111,111$60,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,111.11 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed Yes | 54c | 100,000$54,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…2e6abacked No | 43c | 81,664$34,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,891.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Yes | 54c | 81,361$43,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,426.06 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Yes | 58c | 76,384$44,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,088.94 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed No | 53c | 75,000$39,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,749.98 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 52c | 67,222$35,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,938.42 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…f320backed Yes | 56c | 65,260$36,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,731.18 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 42c | 65,254$27,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,406.7 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 55c | 61,732$33,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,000.31 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3137…723fbacked Yes | 49c | 60,118$29,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,660.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 48c | 53,829$25,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,061.1 | 773 | 42.8%331 W · 442 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 55c | 50,500$27,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,724.99 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Yes | 55c | 50,000$27,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,500 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 58c | 46,029$26,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,538.52 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Yes | 54c | 45,000$24,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,700 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Yes | 54c | 41,000$22,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,860 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes | 54c | 40,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,400 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked Yes | 53c | 40,000$21,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,800 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Yes | 54c | 37,037$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,037.04 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked No | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…db9cbacked Yes | 57c | 28,000$15,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,039.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 54c | 26,000$13,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,060 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 24,540$10,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,142.2 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Yes | 59c | 23,150$13,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,491.62 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Yes | 49c | 23,000$11,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,730 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 24c | 22,395$5,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,470.07 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9826…e7febacked Yes | 55c | 22,010$12,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,954.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed No | 45c | 18,616$8,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,377.08 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 45c | 18,315$8,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,236.03 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 55c | 18,182$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,181.82 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Yes | 56c | 18,004$10,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,921.7 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 43c | 17,881$7,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,689.76 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 40c | 17,777$7,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,592.11 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 56c | 17,670$9,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,774.86 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c5…57e9backed Yes | 57c | 17,282$9,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,431.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 54c | 16,000$8,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,360 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x890e…db10backed Yes | 57c | 15,495$8,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,662.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24a…9de4backed No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x073f…ed92backed Yes | 57c | 14,718$8,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,328.64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 43c | 14,506$6,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,196.91 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 57c | 14,035$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,035.09 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 43c | 14,000$6,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,019.93 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 26c | 13,636$3,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,594.47 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 13,349$7,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,739.8 | 562 | 41.5%233 W · 329 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 49c | 12,746$6,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,516.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 43c | 12,259$5,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,291.57 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Yes | 54c | 11,180$6,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,142.63 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2b…0e18backed Yes | 57c | 10,700$6,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,576 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed No | 43c | 10,569$4,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,547.69 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Yes | 54c | 10,000$5,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,583.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…6b32backed Yes | 54c | 9,613$5,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,385.61 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 48c | 9,079$4,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,356.66 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 43c | 9,000$3,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,870 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.57 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Yes | 58c | 8,685$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,684.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Yes | 54c | 8,200$4,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,772 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76be…120ebacked Yes | 56c | 8,028$4,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,534.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf285…ab24backed No | 42c | 8,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 55c | 7,778$4,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500.1 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 52c | 7,671$4,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,653.54 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2ef4backed Yes | 49c | 7,519$3,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,848.47 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…03cbbacked Yes | 59c | 7,283$4,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed No | 43c | 7,241$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113.46 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Yes | 58c | 6,963$4,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,924.25 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 65c | 6,923$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.17 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +22.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa15c…2c27backed Yes | 80c | 6,590$5,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5732…9030backed Yes | 64c | 6,500$4,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e6…2ef8backed Yes | 56c | 6,359$3,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed No | 44c | 6,224$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 43c | 5,891$2,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,533.12 | 152 | 33.6%51 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…1270backed Yes | 34c | 5,560$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,669.6 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…c875backed Yes | 54c | 5,533$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,532.63 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6295…6abebacked Yes | 54c | 5,370$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Yes | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.16 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf6…9af0backed Yes | 57c | 5,135$2,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 57c | 5,000$2,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.53 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 136 | 30.9%42 W · 94 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 44c | 5,000$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.99 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes | 59c | 4,978$2,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.17 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 41c | 4,847$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.17 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Yes | 56c | 4,669$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.