MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09e6257e042135da89877e5989e13fcb9f353638a588648c27d66c4c64701645
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $928,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,053,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $928,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 494 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Houston Astros | 69c | 135,005$92,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,015.73 | 983 | 49.8%490 W · 493 L | -18.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5291…d4b6backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 65,913$38,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,229.28 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Cubs | 31c | 64,868$20,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,244.44 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Houston Astros | 43c | 54,103$23,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,718.17 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Houston Astros | 42c | 30,000$12,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,400 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 30c | 28,803$8,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,724.04 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Houston Astros | 43c | 24,444$10,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,932.95 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 57c | 24,376$13,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,550 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 54c | 21,223$11,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,710.55 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 17,491$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 15,808$9,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,010.81 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Chicago Cubs | 0c | 15,576$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago Cubs | 42c | 15,351$6,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,475.76 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 15,286$8,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,559.9 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 13,668$7,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,790.59 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 11,404$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Houston Astros | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Houston Astros | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Houston Astros | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.95 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed Chicago Cubs | 15c | 9,933$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 8,982$4,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,972.73 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 55c | 8,935$4,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,021.23 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 8,904$5,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,075.42 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Chicago Cubs | 11c | 8,823$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.24 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Chicago Cubs | 9c | 7,506$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 7,178$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.56 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Houston Astros | 39c | 5,837$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,560.71 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Houston Astros | 42c | 4,857$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,817.28 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 74c | 4,701$3,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.3 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8256…3600backed Houston Astros | 44c | 4,453$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,493.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Houston Astros | 58c | 4,213$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.66 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 4,035$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.93 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Houston Astros | 43c | 3,624$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.71 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Cubs | 33c | 3,483$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.61 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Houston Astros | 44c | 3,475$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.05 | 900 | 53.6%482 W · 418 L | +24.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Houston Astros | 45c | 3,346$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.44 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 46c | 3,324$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.89 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 3,312$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.62 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Chicago Cubs | 10c | 3,298$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.02 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Houston Astros | 43c | 3,140$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.53 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 2,946$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.14 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 2,805$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.46 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Houston Astros | 66c | 2,739$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.11 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Houston Astros | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x594d…059dbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 2,463$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Houston Astros | 71c | 2,306$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.87 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Houston Astros | 42c | 2,300$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334 | 247 | 39.3%97 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56b…ac88backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +155.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Houston Astros | 44c | 2,150$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Chicago Cubs | 35c | 2,100$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 40c | 2,001$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.42 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Houston Astros | 43c | 1,983$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.19 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 1,919$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…eda7backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 1,861$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Chicago Cubs | 18c | 1,757$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…1ba4backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d51…370dbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 1,627$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…0b63backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 1,600$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 1,540$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.69 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Chicago Cubs | 11c | 1,514$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…9d1dbacked Houston Astros | 52c | 1,514$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.79 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 60c | 1,458$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.64 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Houston Astros | 42c | 1,394$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.74 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Chicago Cubs | 12c | 1,387$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.74 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Houston Astros | 71c | 1,380$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.44 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,347$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.99 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa94c…3cd9backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 1,300$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Chicago Cubs | 34c | 1,220$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 346 | 45.1%156 W · 190 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Houston Astros | 42c | 1,191$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.78 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Chicago Cubs | 20c | 1,112$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.42 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 26c | 1,091$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.78 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Houston Astros | 30c | 1,036$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.2 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Houston Astros | 43c | 1,025$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.49 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Chicago Cubs | 9c | 1,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 999.99$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.99 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 999.98$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Houston Astros | 42c | 999$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.42 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Houston Astros | 49c | 968.91$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.21 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Houston Astros | 42c | 946.71$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.09 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Houston Astros | 44c | 944.98$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.64 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 939.52$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.02 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago Cubs | 11c | 886.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Houston Astros | 39c | 872.65$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.46 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 865.4$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.01 | 172 | 52.9%91 W · 81 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Houston Astros | 44c | 862.28$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.9 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 63c | 862.2$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.58 | 1,520 | 59.1%899 W · 621 L | +78.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 833$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.14 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…c60dbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 798.81$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.32 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 792$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.86 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Chicago Cubs | 13c | 767.76$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Houston Astros | 32c | 752.28$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.17 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec1f…dcfebacked Houston Astros | 42c | 749.95$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.97 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 744.19$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.19 | 481 | 45.3%218 W · 263 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcf…63bdbacked Chicago Cubs | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubsthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 4.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Chicago CubsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.