MLB · resolved market

Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f6ce246cc912faa81055f83ef1e32c9d8f966c8a59f72140800c9de1f507ae3

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: May 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $119,714
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $142,147

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,714 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Over	56c	36,490$20,434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,434.26	436	47%205 W · 231 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Over	55c	25,512$14,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,031.74	77	55.8%43 W · 34 L	+5.6wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+15%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under	45c	21,000$9,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,550	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under	44c	17,900$7,876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,024	57	26.3%15 W · 42 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	+221.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under	44c	15,371$6,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,651.46	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Over	57c	10,000$5,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,699.99	448	51.6%231 W · 217 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under	44c	5,819$2,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,258.54	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	45c	5,231$2,359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,872.39	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	52c	4,371$2,284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,284.24	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	44c	4,222$1,864 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,358.66	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over	56c	2,522$1,412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,412.32	84	41.7%35 W · 49 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under	44c	1,910$841 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,069.8	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	44c	1,200$531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$669.33	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over	47c	1,085$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-4.2wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	72c	1,031$742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$742.15	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	44c	1,014$446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$567.64	1,572	48.3%759 W · 813 L	-6.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under	45c	999.99$448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$552.15	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	44c	881.34$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$493.03	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under	55c	808.16$444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$364	672	50.1%337 W · 335 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under	64c	781.25$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.25	102	46.1%47 W · 55 L	-8.3wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	45c	702.32$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$389.76	1,284	49.5%635 W · 649 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under	44c	617.13$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344.93	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under	17c	500.85$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416.54	1,522	34.7%528 W · 994 L	+27.1wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over	56c	452.82$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.19	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	36c	440.23$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.62	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under	51c	377.88$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.08	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	45c	364$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.2	750	49.7%373 W · 377 L	+7.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under	45c	333.33$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.33	293	44.7%131 W · 162 L	+13.0wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under	40c	289.42$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.99	996	24.6%245 W · 751 L	-70.1wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaa25…2bc1backed Over	56c	267.86$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Under	45c	222.22$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.22	198	42.9%85 W · 113 L	-10.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over	58c	211$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.88	1,879	40.6%763 W · 1,116 L	-39.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Over	56c	200$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over	55c	199.95$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.97	1,062	49.2%523 W · 539 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over	58c	181.02$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.99	701	54.2%380 W · 321 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed Over	56c	173.21$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over	58c	170.26$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.75	1,733	49%849 W · 884 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Over	58c	170.26$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.75	739	49.8%368 W · 371 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8537…0534backed Over	50c	169.99$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.6	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.7wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under	44c	151.02$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.57	403	41.4%167 W · 236 L	-20.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	45c	149$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.95	2,296	49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L	+37.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	56c	116.78$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.4	6,116	55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L	+344.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Under	47c	111.45$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.17	792	55.6%440 W · 352 L	+20.6wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under	43c	102.34$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.33	3,832	42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over	52c	100.52$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.36	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under	44c	100$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under	37c	97.3$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.3	639	43.3%277 W · 362 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under	46c	95.8$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.73	2,243	57.6%1,293 W · 950 L	+37.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3599…5338backed Over	56c	89.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	128	48.4%62 W · 66 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under	43c	79$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.03	293	54.9%161 W · 132 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6600…d5fdbacked Over	46c	76.1$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.01	81	45.7%37 W · 44 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	54c	76$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.96	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Under	44c	75$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	70	44.3%31 W · 39 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Under	43c	74.66$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.45	507	48.7%247 W · 260 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under	41c	73.44$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.67	439	54.7%240 W · 199 L	+30.6wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under	53c	73$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.23	6,303	48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L	+181.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under	44c	68.18$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.18	614	50.8%312 W · 302 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x383d…87eabacked Over	56c	66.96$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	137	43.8%60 W · 77 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76d4…c512backed Under	44c	60.36$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.8	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under	20c	60$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.9	416	37.5%156 W · 260 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf886…d825backed Under	46c	52.3$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.41	105	39%41 W · 64 L	-6.9wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over	53c	50.34$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.68	5,234	56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L	+130.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over	25c	49.53$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.49	558	47.7%266 W · 292 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa141…6744backed Under	49c	44.78$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.84	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a3…628cbacked Over	58c	43.1$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over	58c	42$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.36	2,583	61.4%1,587 W · 996 L	+70.9wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over	55c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.17	2,376	49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4def…06e6backed Over	39c	39.51$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.39	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over	59c	38.98$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over	59c	38.98$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	1,106	48.7%539 W · 567 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12df…090dbacked Over	56c	38.4$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.5	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over	56c	37.49$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.99	2,945	47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x500b…b1a1backed Over	56c	35.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	96	39.6%38 W · 58 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb71f…289abacked Over	56c	35.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	50%9 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x111e…f5ecbacked Over	42c	35.28$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.82	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e96…b306backed Under	45c	31.69$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.33	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05b8…408cbacked Under	43c	30.53$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.38	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.57per pick	43cpaid	+132.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over	47c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.08	1,708	49.9%852 W · 856 L	-17.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Over	54c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	156	48.7%76 W · 80 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd61…02d4backed Over	56c	29.52$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.53	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Under	73c	27.06$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.18	2,223	55.4%1,231 W · 992 L	+73.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe964…2e7ebacked Over	50c	27.01$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.48	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Over	56c	27$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.12	146	45.9%67 W · 79 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7832…9384backed Over	56c	26.79$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x398c…b9d8backed Over	56c	26.79$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	151	38.4%58 W · 93 L	-11.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa21b…9e94backed Over	56c	26.79$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	486	51%248 W · 238 L	-18.0wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc78…f1f5backed Over	56c	26.79$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	263	51.3%135 W · 128 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under	59c	26$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.66	1,777	58.4%1,037 W · 740 L	+91.8wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a85…7b44backed Over	49c	25.03$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.31	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48fd…aca7backed Over	56c	25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f09…1f55backed Over	58c	24$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.92	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+189.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd337…7564backed Under	46c	23.91$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.91	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	44c	23.91$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.46	5,786	43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L	-192.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under	48c	22.65$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.78	469	52.5%246 W · 223 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over	64c	22$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.08	1,630	55.2%899 W · 731 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Over	57c	21.71$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.37	280	43.2%121 W · 159 L	-23.2wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d5e…c32abacked Over	51c	21.69$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.7wins	-0.16per pick	51cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Over	55c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	827	41.1%340 W · 487 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5this page
Houston Astros vs. Chicago CubsHouston Astros won
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5Under won
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 4.5Over won
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 5.5Over won
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Under won
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5Under won
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Houston Astros won
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Houston Astros won
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Houston Astros won
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)Houston Astros won
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Chicago CubsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event