TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcd61…02d4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
191
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Weather at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT3953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.44
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.58
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.04
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.61
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.99
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.3
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$22.46
Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+78%+$12.94
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Clutchain (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.51
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-Inbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$31.92
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winnerbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.16
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs UNiTY esports (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.14
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs TNC (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked ECSTATIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.04
Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs Brute (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$11.32
Counter-Strike: WAZABI vs AaB Esport (BO1) - Parken Challenger Championship Group Abacked AaB Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.95
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.46
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffsbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.34
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs Infinite (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Infinite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.23
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs Young TigeRES (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #4 Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.25
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs bond1e (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Play-Inbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$14.27
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Dbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.21
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT3844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.69
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.64
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18.47
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$17.9
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.53
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$22.52
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.97
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.02
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.74
San Francisco Giants vs. Athleticsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.22
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.94
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$21.94
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.31
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$35.46
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.59
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.82
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.67
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2650%13 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$42.61
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.29
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$21.34
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$52.37
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.33
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.04
Derrick White: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.33
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 207.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.96
Celtics vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 110.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.03
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.95
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$77.63
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.19
Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.57
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$22.24
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.71
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.7
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.5
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$12.18
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.03
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.56
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.95
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$49.48
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$23.44
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.62
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.01
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.73
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$9.34
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.09
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.67
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$31.15
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.52
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.63
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$18.49
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$8.91
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$3.97
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$12.85
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.14
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.89
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+132%+$28.24
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+133.2%+$24.4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.06
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.96
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$9.88
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on May 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$5.36
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.99
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$4.22
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$16.5
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.31
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.97
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$16.18
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.51
Spread: Germany (-2.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.69
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$10.93
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$17.66
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$19.37
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.33
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.85
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Harriet Dart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.98
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaurbacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarinibacked Federico Coria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.7
ITF Nice: Manon Favier vs Julia Stusekbacked Julia Stusek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.78
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkelbacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.49
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Elsa Jacquemot vs Hanyu Guobacked Hanyu Guo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$12.76
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.9
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+164.1%+$22.79
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmannbacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.37
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin Landalucebacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
All 12 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+73.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
Lightning vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-14.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.43
Atlanta Dream vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.14
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$19.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stanford Cardinal vs. West Virginia Mountaineersbacked West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$8.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.