TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$308,835
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$308,991

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,835 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x09b5…7e72backed Under50c106,925$53,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,421.0111849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over50c100,000$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,00055053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72d8…5213backed Over51c59,909$30,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,355.456662.1%41 W · 25 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under49c58,577$28,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,702.8641149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Under50c50,000$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00043647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Over50c44,306$22,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,1533060%18 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under33c34,469$11,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,380.068,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over63c32,652$20,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,154.2111,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad4…6866backed Over51c14,000$7,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,86015849.4%78 W · 80 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under50c9,737$4,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,824.113,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under49c7,777$3,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,810.7347953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4501,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47044749.2%220 W · 227 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Under61c2,615$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,588.533246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd03b…184cbacked Over70c2,564$1,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.2428453.9%153 W · 131 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0b…e9f4backed Under66c2,235$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.264757.4%27 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Over46c2,206$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.0920648.1%99 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over41c1,914$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.264,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under37c1,841$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.84,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c1,669$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.489,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c1,500$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7755,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under29c1,313$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.773,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over66c1,283$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.166,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c1,266$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.76,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under55c1,154$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.7368053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over45c1,136$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.82,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under51c1,120$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.394,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c1,092$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.4112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Over47c922.74$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.850748.7%247 W · 260 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f48…a145backed Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over73c701.97$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.981,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under48c624.06$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.813,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30039846.5%185 W · 213 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over57c570.64$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.0710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Over36c547$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.0866050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under49c532.18$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.7765549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25069351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Over36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3202445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over51c488.94$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.9447545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over70c466.34$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.712,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under55c459$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.812,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb3a5…cd84backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20010046%46 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over49c400$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20395850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x39e9…e2dfbacked Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1967259.7%43 W · 29 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Over51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1624350.2%122 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Under59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Over73c282.84$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2132450.9%165 W · 159 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over51c221.97$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.8172655.4%402 W · 324 L+40.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1f6…0981backed Over28c218.21$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1115857.6%91 W · 67 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under51c204.85$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.488,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Over49c203.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5811256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7885…1173backed Under35c201.69$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.413357.9%77 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006854.4%37 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Over50c199.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.991,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over24c190.3$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.635,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over69c152.15$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1759549.7%296 W · 299 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over56c150.22$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.781,04249.4%515 W · 527 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over41c146.32$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.498,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Over45c102.04$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1226438.3%101 W · 163 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Over50c101.52$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7611948.7%58 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4944949.2%221 W · 228 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c8b…7a07backed Over39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+119.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5099447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4925260.3%152 W · 100 L+16.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6370546.8%330 W · 375 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Over41c98.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4143560%261 W · 174 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x007b…1fd2backed Over51c98.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.035756.1%32 W · 25 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over56c96.15$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.312,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under63c81$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0399744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed Under29c78.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7911150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over51c76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.51,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x566c…3d03backed Over51c73.9$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.212250%11 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Under24c70.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.581,44550.3%727 W · 718 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Over55c69$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0529242.5%124 W · 168 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3687…1b10backed Under64c64.77$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x94af…8989backed Over61c64.67$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.19757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over70c62.5$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.541,13357.2%648 W · 485 L+35.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under61c62.01$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.751,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over46c61.85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.176,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e82…7ab7backed Over51c61.57$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.175056%28 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over69c60.86$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6166056.2%371 W · 289 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x500b…b1a1backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309639.6%38 W · 58 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55d6…1f24backed Under55c57.87$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8331258%181 W · 131 L+15.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xacee…afddbacked Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6921751.6%112 W · 105 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6912646.8%59 W · 67 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9434…d8d8backed Over51c56.39$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.632100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Over74c53.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8325357.3%145 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Under54c52.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4510559%62 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over55c51.96$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3890446.9%424 W · 480 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Under42c51.84$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9283053%440 W · 390 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x773e…7502backed Under31c51.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over44c50.02$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3d7…b8cfbacked Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a80…2dadbacked Over51c49.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.327652.6%40 W · 36 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over37c48.82$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.931,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d2…1945backed Over43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.511172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.36per pick37cpaid+160%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xff77…1be5backed Under31c44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.642231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f42…2260backed Over51c43.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.14666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+41.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.