MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e94109f8acd41df6779f90c1e3a2f167ea44c51c61f446ce52aa320dce05266
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Los Angeles Dodgers, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 55,719$35,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,427.39 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 28,948$10,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,445.93 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 12,431$4,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,869.32 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 5,344$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.2 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 2,691$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.88 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 2,295$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.12 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 1,798$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.3 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 24c | 1,420$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.91 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 1,347$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.83 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 1,062$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.79 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 1,035$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.18 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 833.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.38 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 610.86$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.48 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 596.74$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.58 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 68c | 545.99$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.1 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 509.54$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.31 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 436.85$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.22 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 21c | 418.08$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 357$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.21 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 27c | 336.7$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.33 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 68c | 301$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.34 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 32c | 268.36$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.88 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 31c | 223$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 28c | 193.68$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 175.77$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7891…c020backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 168.21$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.39 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 69c | 164.02$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…2751backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 31c | 139.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 131.52$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 120.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 70c | 114.23$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 69c | 109$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 108.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.62 | 253 | 57.3%145 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 103.65$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0098…71e0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 94.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.11 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 32c | 93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 121 | 38%46 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 20c | 85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 79.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 18c | 76.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 70$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 68.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 66.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 61.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 33c | 61.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 60.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982c…0d6ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 59.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 68c | 57.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 32c | 57.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 54.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 27c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 75c | 43.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 36.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 34c | 35.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 34.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…822dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 31.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 75c | 27.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 26.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 75c | 17.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 16.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6413…8200backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 74c | 14.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Pirates won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.