MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x310892bbe5aaa4d58b2655588e00ff934c5714c15738f709ace847eec8d56e47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Los Angeles Dodgers, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 12,684$5,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,334.57 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 7,098$3,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,136.36 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 5,184$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.53 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 2,420$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.55 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 1,778$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.02 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 1,365$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.68 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 1,260$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.46 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 1,147$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.34 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 34c | 935.74$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.15 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 32c | 789.66$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.85 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 474.67$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.79 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 453$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.71 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 428.61$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.51 | 148 | 64.2%95 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 388.54$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.52 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 381.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.42 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 369.87$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.64 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 291.11$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.08 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 205.14$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.53 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 201.32$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.68 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 69c | 159.51$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320b…6057backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 124.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 90.31$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 83.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 80.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 76.39$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 71.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…c745backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 70.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 20c | 70.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 59.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 33c | 56.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 33c | 47.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 1,083 | 56.3%610 W · 473 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 43.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 42.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x000a…6cf7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 41.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 252 | 60.7%153 W · 99 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2f…b4b4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 25c | 41.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 40.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 39.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 38.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 35.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94af…8989backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 34.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 33.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 31.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 31.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 28.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 242 | 43%104 W · 138 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 26.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 25.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 22.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Pirates won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.