NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 110.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44174c1d7282b57ade645613a00f73af16928b9888ec38ad6cefefa4e8a2082d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 53c | 2,731$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.23 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…96afbacked Over | 53c | 1,297$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.64 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 51c | 1,254$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.9 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Over | 52c | 1,116$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.55 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b36…56cebacked Over | 69c | 1,081$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…bf0fbacked Under | 48c | 710.35$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over | 52c | 596.67$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.27 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 48c | 499.99$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.54 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 48c | 395.63$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.73 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Under | 48c | 341.96$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.82 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 7c | 299.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…3844backed Over | 52c | 245.88$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.86 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 35c | 232$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.6 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0351…ab88backed Over | 53c | 213.01$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.89 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 51c | 196.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 52c | 190.01$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 32c | 190$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.7 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 49c | 181.69$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.66 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 32c | 169$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Under | 25c | 125$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 108.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Under | 25c | 106$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Under | 25c | 105.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 234 | 41.5%97 W · 137 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under | 37c | 101$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 302 | 56.6%171 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 51c | 98.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 52c | 79.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 52c | 73.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Over | 53c | 60.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbb…1b13backed Over | 53c | 53.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Under | 25c | 53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Under | 48c | 52.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddf2…8bf0backed Over | 49c | 49.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 51c | 48.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…def7backed Over | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…1041backed Under | 49c | 46.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Over | 52c | 40.89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…682bbacked Under | 47c | 39.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Over | 52c | 35.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 48c | 34.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…7999backed Under | 48c | 30.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…02d4backed Over | 52c | 28.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 50c | 24.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…4013backed Over | 50c | 23.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 48c | 22.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Over | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 110.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. 76ersCeltics won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 203.5Over won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 204.5Over won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 205.5Over won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 207.5Over won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 208.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 210.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 211.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 212.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 215.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 216.5Under won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Paul George: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-11.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)76ers won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 15.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 16.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.