TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,403
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,076

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,403 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Over48c20,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,599.976152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over47c13,197$6,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,145.7869848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c9,605$4,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,702.211,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c5,695$2,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,657.674,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Under52c3,735$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.984264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under79c3,411$2,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.581,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Under79c2,183$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.4314640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under51c1,850$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.331,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under52c1,745$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.6364948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over45c1,498$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.142,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Over49c1,369$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.911654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over49c1,150$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.288844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over46c880.45$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.271,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Under79c823.49$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.9331455.1%173 W · 141 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under79c821.79$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.5847354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3841,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under52c790.84$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.714338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under52c576.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.947946.8%37 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe903…6adbbacked Under53c539.98$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.797156.3%40 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Over48c499.08$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.5611437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over47c494.4$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.3715543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over47c480$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.4387049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Under54c469.43$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.949652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over46c456.27$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.894,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over47c427.4$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.171,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20035849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over46c400$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.55,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Under52c398.94$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.4918650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over47c398.01$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.421,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28a5…a850backed Over49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.884652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over53c380$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.411242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over45c313.33$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14155251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under51c312.07$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9238947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over16c306.24$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8720838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over10c268.25$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.152,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under55c236.5$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.421,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9956…44e0backed Under54c236.2$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.651566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Under52c231.14$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9518345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.067643.4%33 W · 43 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ccc…64c5backed Under54c180.94$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.722759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Under54c179.47$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2218552.4%97 W · 88 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Under55c177.76$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4827745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over48c161.47$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.510552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Under51c111$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3926745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under51c109.1$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4632045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Over47c103.54$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.43638.9%14 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over41c101.03$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.578,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4641050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Under52c98.55$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3112558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over48c96.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.559650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x303a…7c84backed Under55c96.33$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.351369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Over47c90.64$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.68350.6%42 W · 41 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18f6…0650backed Under52c74.2$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.344845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed Under79c68.43$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3714153.9%76 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x300f…7d96backed Over49c66.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0435…cf1dbacked Under52c65.37$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3816947.3%80 W · 89 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcde4…aa62backed Over49c63.01$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.882231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-46%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xecd2…7180backed Under54c62.58$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under49c61.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3321640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over48c61.43$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.261,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Over45c60.45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.240546.9%190 W · 215 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf245…746bbacked Under51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.420655.3%114 W · 92 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Under79c59.46$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4921849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e1…65a4backed Under79c59.46$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.494755.3%26 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Under79c59.46$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4916653.6%89 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf09d…d23fbacked Under67c55.81$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3110651.9%55 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c50.93$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.886,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under79c50.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5455751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe299…761bbacked Over47c49.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4931540.3%127 W · 188 L-15.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa2e…c5d2backed Under53c49.56$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.291833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-37.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5c80…9564backed Under52c48.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.312159.5%72 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c5…0f5cbacked Over47c48.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.758328.9%24 W · 59 L-14.6wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over47c46.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef4…22e0backed Under53c45.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.543562.9%22 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5520…6938backed Over47c41.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.367548%36 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cef…5ea3backed Under49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.182751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Over49c39.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3935551.3%182 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7d8…f4f1backed Under52c38.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Over49c38.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7836350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Under53c37.72$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9256454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26e8…1c01backed Under52c37.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.937451.4%38 W · 36 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7bc6…1cedbacked Under52c37.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.932540%10 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…e021backed Under51c37.21$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.231060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc734…6cf9backed Under53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.241181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+53.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x05e5…1dd0backed Under54c36.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5741654.8%228 W · 188 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae31…7fa1backed Under52c35.94$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.086543.1%28 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under53c35.41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6493145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…abe7backed Under58c33.48$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.06425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d95…82e8backed Under52c33.43$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.052152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a0…7310backed Under52c32.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.761566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed Over46c32.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.925141.2%21 W · 30 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2768…6bc6backed Under52c30.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.651154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x883a…f5a0backed Over48c30.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.532638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a1e…6f16backed Under69c30.09$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.322755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x130a…856cbacked Under52c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.923435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e6…83a4backed Under54c27.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.868453.6%45 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fcb…0694backed Under51c27.65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.55875%6 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+60.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under51c27.28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.241,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Under76c25.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1521574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.