TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$318,545
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$323,855

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,545 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked 76ers46c150,000$69,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,999.9916841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d8…5213backed Celtics54c146,268$78,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,283.112240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed 76ers45c49,329$22,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,274.1672648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Celtics65c14,340$9,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,020.512878.6%22 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Celtics54c14,274$7,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,5662,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Celtics58c10,831$6,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,549.025848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics61c10,146$6,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,919.558,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Celtics54c9,724$5,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,473.043545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Celtics59c9,362$5,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,828.6464948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 76ers37c8,171$3,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,057.651,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed Celtics54c7,203$3,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,313.3611249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics56c6,682$3,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,920.084,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed 76ers52c6,470$3,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,391.2869848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Celtics67c4,901$3,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,617.3314766%97 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked 76ers41c4,498$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.0310645.3%48 W · 58 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked 76ers42c4,263$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.9114338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x98da…a9ebbacked 76ers48c4,057$1,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.37041.4%29 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed 76ers43c3,893$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,662.381,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked 76ers44c3,269$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.3155251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed 76ers46c2,500$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed 76ers41c2,500$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02511864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7cde…b97dbacked Celtics56c2,363$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.812251.6%63 W · 59 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked 76ers40c2,231$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.2354539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Celtics54c2,181$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.1221957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x672d…164abacked Celtics58c2,170$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.251850%9 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers40c2,100$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.991,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked 76ers2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30437%3 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics59c1,883$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.76,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x542c…fcccbacked 76ers52c1,855$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.4830%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Celtics54c1,809$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.9917247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Celtics61c1,563$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.4243269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Celtics54c1,441$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.5340451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked 76ers43c1,440$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.411,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked 76ers40c1,439$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.911,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked 76ers44c1,435$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.9614640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked 76ers42c1,353$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.6562051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Celtics59c1,323$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.265158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2018…dfc5backed Celtics54c1,261$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.843737.8%14 W · 23 L-6.1wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-30.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe5b6…e762backed Celtics58c1,177$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.383644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed 76ers56c990.99$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.951855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Celtics62c793.93$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.7814845.3%67 W · 81 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Celtics37c792.41$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.2820838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d8…0175backed 76ers2c700$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11160%0 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers48c664.34$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.013,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed 76ers36c563.56$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.072,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked 76ers39c559.22$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.251,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed 76ers44c549.09$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.629040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Celtics51c535.89$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.1132045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Celtics52c529.69$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.9584150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Celtics41c509.99$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.926339.5%104 W · 159 L-13.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Celtics53c499.92$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9656043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Celtics63c494.39$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.9256945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Celtics59c487.7$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.9632450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Celtics48c461.28$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.6545251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Celtics66c459.18$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1212548%60 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked 76ers49c443.85$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.5523845%107 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Celtics55c436.31$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19787049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed Celtics59c410.56$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.337936.7%29 W · 50 L-9.5wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed 76ers44c408$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.527645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Celtics58c383.53$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.0829554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Celtics54c378.16$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.9527251.1%139 W · 133 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed 76ers4c375$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed 76ers43c368.56$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.7861638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Celtics54c360.15$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.6736450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8f6…da6bbacked Celtics54c360.15$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.672748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked 76ers3c357.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7478639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbd4…5faabacked Celtics58c337.14$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.25044%22 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Celtics54c334.51$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8743052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Celtics58c332.39$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9737647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked 76ers5c324.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6331238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Celtics59c322.65$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.4926048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe903…6adbbacked Celtics53c307.74$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.647156.3%40 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8bd…463dbacked Celtics69c284.46$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1838261.5%235 W · 147 L+30.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed 76ers35c274.57$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.189048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed 76ers40c248.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.551,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x073a…91e7backed Celtics53c225.73$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.093641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked 76ers51c224.78$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.4268838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed 76ers41c215$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d36…f4cbbacked 76ers48c201.82$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.879346.2%43 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Celtics55c199.1$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5911757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd319…9d98backed 76ers47c195.51$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.94450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8796…c744backed 76ers46c195$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.77147.9%34 W · 37 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef9c…1f6cbacked Celtics54c179.7$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.66250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 76ers48c174.75$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.882,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67f4…87bdbacked Celtics57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.494860.4%29 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Celtics58c166.2$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2923445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed Celtics48c162.8$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6524856.5%140 W · 108 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Celtics58c158.96$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7664651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked 76ers54c152.77$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked 76ers43c147.33$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.352,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Celtics52c138.35$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4131354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb743…c116backed 76ers75c131.07$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.562245.5%10 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Celtics55c129.08$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0813151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cbc…1d39backed Celtics55c127.85$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6911850.8%60 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked 76ers46c124.11$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0910552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed 76ers45c123.38$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5216842.3%71 W · 97 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xad8f…6b52backed Celtics59c105.81$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.383767.6%25 W · 12 L+6.4wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xdffd…924fbacked 76ers47c103$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4113949.6%69 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cdc…524abacked 76ers41c102.75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed 76ers43c101.77$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.151,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.