TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. 76ers: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,259
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,654

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,259 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf481…7911backed 76ers27c759.59$208 inLost-$207.95728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-38.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8768…8b58backed 76ers33c627.57$206 inLost-$205.94333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked 76ers32c609.46$196 inLost-$196.371,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31ac…2a39backed Celtics72c541.29$392 inWon+$149.275944.1%26 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Celtics66c496.93$329 inWon+$167.687049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55bb…bc01backed Celtics69c493.47$340 inWon+$152.982857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers31c478.23$148 inLost-$148.241,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Celtics69c388.42$268 inWon+$120.0320353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Celtics76c303.89$231 inWon+$72.9361638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Celtics67c302.82$203 inWon+$99.932,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed 76ers24c300$72 inLost-$7220838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Celtics67c254$170 inWon+$83.8256843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Celtics68c159.65$109 inWon+$51.0947359.2%280 W · 193 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed 76ers32c99.98$32 inLost-$3241050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed 76ers32c75$24 inLost-$2436749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed 76ers22c65.82$14 inLost-$14.2232654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x630b…34ffbacked 76ers31c61.85$19 inLost-$19.179843.9%43 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61c6…d3d9backed 76ers33c58.17$19 inLost-$19.23745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Celtics65c52$34 inWon+$18.21,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff0f…6f9fbacked Celtics68c47.12$32 inWon+$15.08757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed 76ers33c31.64$10 inLost-$10.443735.1%13 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0c…51dbbacked Celtics68c26.55$18 inWon+$8.54928.6%14 W · 35 L-8.7wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Celtics74c26.31$19 inWon+$6.8421574.4%160 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Celtics69c23.94$17 inWon+$7.4236247.2%171 W · 191 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Celtics75c17.68$13 inWon+$4.451,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Celtics68c15.63$11 inWon+$576653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Celtics72c14.99$11 inWon+$4.2716867.3%113 W · 55 L+13.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.