TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 26.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,077
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,035

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,077 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xedf7…8f79backed No51c1,360$691 inWon+$669.481,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes49c764.78$375 inLost-$374.5550346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc793…f66fbacked Yes51c708.33$363 inLost-$363.321050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No51c629.6$321 inWon+$308.51,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Yes49c249.72$121 inLost-$121.3184342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No46c203.87$94 inWon+$110.065,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No49c200$98 inWon+$10256050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8137…ccadbacked Yes49c170.46$84 inLost-$84.368452.4%44 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Yes55c142.28$78 inLost-$77.8310636.8%39 W · 67 L-14.9wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x1495…d3f9backed Yes50c140.89$70 inLost-$70.4415048%72 W · 78 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No48c119.8$58 inWon+$61.741050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2fb…b0ecbacked Yes50c96.44$48 inLost-$48.22425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x191b…824abacked Yes52c66.98$35 inLost-$34.835253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed Yes52c51.47$27 inLost-$26.7743752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6163…d4d7backed Yes51c48.53$25 inLost-$24.757243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ea1…6072backed Yes49c39.57$19 inLost-$19.3924566.9%164 W · 81 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed No52c27.18$14 inWon+$13.0531748.9%155 W · 162 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.