NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 207.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ccd9f9493f74c16ee0c7792584035291ea3d8ad8beaadc387319e3fdcba2519
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 53c | 5,500$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.98 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 47c | 4,570$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.58 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 3,506$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.5 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Under | 53c | 3,220$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,712.95 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 48c | 2,873$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.51 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.99 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…3844backed Under | 53c | 903.25$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.72 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 54c | 814.76$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.97 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Over | 47c | 790.12$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.46 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…1c90backed Over | 45c | 589.97$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 50c | 296.84$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.12 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Over | 46c | 239.8$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.49 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 54c | 212.69$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.61 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb41…8536backed Over | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 193.64$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…13f4backed Over | 46c | 166.54$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.11 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Under | 53c | 142.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.62 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…02d4backed Under | 53c | 123.75$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…d843backed Over | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 53c | 100.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Under | 53c | 95.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Under | 50c | 93.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…a59ebacked Under | 53c | 89.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 55c | 80.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 55c | 80.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 55c | 80.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 55c | 80.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…65a4backed Under | 55c | 80.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Under | 55c | 80.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 50c | 72.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7075…0a8dbacked Over | 47c | 68.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Over | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3e…b265backed Over | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…31e7backed Under | 54c | 46.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…be67backed Over | 47c | 45.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Over | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 53c | 29.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 387 | 51.2%198 W · 189 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Under | 52c | 20.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6594…6593backed Under | 71c | 18.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 207.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Celtics vs. 76ersCeltics won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 203.5Over won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 204.5Over won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 205.5Over won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 208.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 210.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 211.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 212.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 215.5Under won
- Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 216.5Under won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Derrick White: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 10.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Paul George: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-11.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)76ers won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 15.5No won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 16.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.