TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$265,814
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$287,773

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,814 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb652…2db4backed Under50c39,975$19,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,084.2437627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over50c27,280$13,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,739.4164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over50c16,015$7,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,945.2169848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa01f…8f40backed Over0c15,370$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.37837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-34.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under52c14,558$7,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,997.791,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fa8…e9abbacked Over51c13,765$7,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,020.04728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over52c11,879$6,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,126.416045%27 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Under50c11,640$5,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8208452.4%44 W · 40 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over28c11,396$3,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,212.353,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over50c9,794$4,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,896.8825248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over50c9,700$4,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,85029650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c7,126$3,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,582.424,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd10c…0645backed Under65c6,023$3,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106.92937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Over51c5,871$2,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,994.1616547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,55043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Under50c4,850$2,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4255561.8%34 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Under51c4,615$2,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261.6210553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c4,544$2,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,362.972,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Under50c4,074$2,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0374949%24 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b55…076fbacked Over24c4,039$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.565225%13 W · 39 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-34.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed Over51c3,834$1,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,940.7411249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over27c3,256$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.412,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under49c3,186$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612.442,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under49c3,060$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.5921653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over25c2,511$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.58,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb895…e4afbacked Over50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2504445.5%20 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Under49c2,495$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.449447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c2,242$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.341,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under76c2,215$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.643,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Over51c2,118$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.0382442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Under68c1,998$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.3417553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over50c1,944$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.8144740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over50c1,940$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97069049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over45c1,922$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.7793148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under49c1,875$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.1730448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Over50c1,772$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.065850%29 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over32c1,718$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.481,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over36c1,514$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.256646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Under50c1,455$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.54951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over27c1,189$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.1526337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe647…2040backed Under50c1,164$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5825354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over50c1,164$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58221247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Under58c1,147$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.311153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59b1…8396backed Over52c1,052$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.141553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…25e8backed Over36c1,022$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4908348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x130b…a733backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52044345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x75a3…8275backed Under74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26be…7239backed Over24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x208a…441ebacked Under50c970$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4855347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d4…40b9backed Over51c951.92$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.292556%14 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over25c940.69$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.411,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Under50c940$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47059140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under76c848.13$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.5547354.8%259 W · 214 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under59c826.61$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.9146258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over46c818.12$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.381,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Over51c815.71$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.0119359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Over29c800$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23211556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6048…2711backed Under53c774.5$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.013641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0239…6e89backed Over58c760.29$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under51c727.95$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.720744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Under70c712.61$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.481250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over50c700.32$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9562051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over51c681.6$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.0332450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf592…9872backed Under50c679$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.511651.7%60 W · 56 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81b3…eeaebacked Under50c678.54$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.551060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+327.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over35c655.47$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.552,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Under50c564$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2825743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under50c505.85$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.911,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over46c478.77$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.0761638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b45…d196backed Over42c460.54$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9112540.8%51 W · 74 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x073a…91e7backed Under50c446.56$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.283641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Over49c419.73$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.672846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under49c410$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.152951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over51c399.66$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.8321950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Under76c389.05$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.375143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Over51c388.24$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19825550.2%128 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over50c382.1$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.051,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa686…5b61backed Over51c380.63$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.122544%11 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under57c357.49$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.181,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c350.45$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.846,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed Under49c341.71$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.274156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under72c340.71$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.431,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over9c339.05$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5114338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under43c338.01$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.0137755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over50c335.62$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.8137355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Under76c329.4$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.0611873.7%87 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14718844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under49c296.76$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.3550954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over51c285.47$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.593243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under48c258.5$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.4232045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under50c237.65$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.837452.7%39 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under73c235.66$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.761,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Under50c206.85$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4327450%137 W · 137 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Over46c203.3$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.525545.5%25 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004748.9%23 W · 24 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick33cpaid+82%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.