TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$740,611
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$786,079

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $740,611 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 455 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Celtics50c272,644$136,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136,140.495154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked 76ers50c162,487$81,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,368.4616841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed 76ers46c125,349$57,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,660.4472648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked 76ers50c100,155$50,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,068.0587144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Celtics54c86,356$46,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,693.7164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers49c21,766$10,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,638.334,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked 76ers47c20,783$9,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,679.449945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Celtics49c13,435$6,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,851.741,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed 76ers50c13,333$6,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,666.51,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics54c12,049$6,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,591.474,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Celtics49c11,117$5,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,669.6612450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics43c10,481$4,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,946.243,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed 76ers46c10,108$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,600.2269848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed 76ers50c10,000$4,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,99013148.1%63 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 76ers70c9,898$6,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,913.262,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Celtics23c9,727$2,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,471.2493148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Celtics51c9,516$4,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,662.691,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Celtics41c9,359$3,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,544.742,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed 76ers67c9,277$6,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,253.5426337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Celtics54c9,004$4,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,141.738143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked 76ers51c8,686$4,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,429.551,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics53c8,616$4,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,049.511,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a44…9cc6backed Celtics54c7,345$3,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,378.493100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+75.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed 76ers48c6,209$2,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,980.557950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f26…1b86backed 76ers43c5,136$2,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,208.39450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics34c5,060$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,359.488,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Celtics56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20037539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Celtics57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.995352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked 76ers44c4,097$1,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,802.8954539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Celtics50c3,880$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9405561.8%34 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked 76ers45c3,876$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.3279549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed Celtics51c3,793$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,851.9311249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Celtics55c3,414$1,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.2311750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed 76ers45c3,223$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.59838.8%38 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked 76ers1c3,100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377326%19 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed 76ers48c3,027$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.941,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Celtics49c2,970$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.7214254.9%78 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe53c…ee05backed 76ers51c2,779$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.084032.5%13 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed 76ers1c2,700$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294037.5%15 W · 25 L+7.9wins+0.20per pick18cpaid+93.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Celtics55c2,647$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.8885742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed 76ers2c2,625$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45250%0 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked 76ers2c2,625$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45802.5%2 W · 78 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-88.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked 76ers2c2,625$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45190%0 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked 76ers2c2,625$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45190%0 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked 76ers2c2,625$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45437%3 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed 76ers49c2,544$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,246.352564%16 W · 9 L+4.3wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+71.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xedd1…45a9backed 76ers1c2,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304126.8%11 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed 76ers40c2,435$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.751855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e84…768ebacked Celtics52c2,406$1,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.6813644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cc…0b39backed 76ers45c2,300$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0353953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed 76ers1c2,250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30420%0 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed 76ers2c2,150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3280…ea74backed 76ers44c2,120$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.89531.6%30 W · 65 L-11.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Celtics49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02044740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Celtics49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9773051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed 76ers74c1,933$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.8689444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked 76ers51c1,914$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.426240.3%25 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Celtics53c1,880$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.652259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e71…be4cbacked Celtics50c1,800$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Celtics56c1,737$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.325843.1%25 W · 33 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed 76ers50c1,682$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.921,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ac…3f7cbacked 76ers50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7503745.9%17 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers44c1,492$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.496,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Celtics50c1,464$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.1112646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed 76ers51c1,456$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.4420744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Celtics48c1,426$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.367848.7%38 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Celtics55c1,415$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.8736450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Celtics70c1,403$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.8643269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Celtics54c1,261$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.847054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Celtics50c1,213$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.4121152.6%111 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked 76ers1c1,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Celtics55c1,100$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49545146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed 76ers50c1,091$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.6324247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed 76ers44c1,087$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.2856843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Celtics56c1,071$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.2211153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked 76ers39c1,062$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.2620352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09e3…48acbacked 76ers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014746.9%69 W · 78 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Celtics49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51010539%41 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81b3…eeaebacked Celtics49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+327.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Celtics49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51035049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5c1…de09backed 76ers49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeec2…f266backed 76ers49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked 76ers2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205416.7%9 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Celtics54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46011757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Celtics47c987.81$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.0161638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed 76ers51c970.6$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.0173649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d8…0175backed 76ers2c970$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8160%0 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6919…7b24backed Celtics50c970$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48510045%45 W · 55 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed 76ers47c968.2$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.0513339.1%52 W · 81 L-11.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed 76ers45c967$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.1540041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Celtics52c933.85$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.2516050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 76ers49c932.24$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.331,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Celtics51c874.68$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5917051.8%88 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Celtics56c869.29$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.496647%31 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Celtics54c833.29$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.5538947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c7…eca3backed 76ers69c799.99$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.993132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-32.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57f9…bcd9backed 76ers62c788.06$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.64841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Celtics50c768.77$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.6523251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde1d…44a6backed Celtics54c749.43$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.743545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Celtics55c703.96$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.8931151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.