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NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,722
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,141

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,722 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c5,710$2,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,923.71,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over51c5,217$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,660.2569848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over53c3,058$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.1189853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under46c2,599$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.471,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over54c1,704$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.5817047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d35…96afbacked Over54c1,264$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.623138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under47c837.63$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.554,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Under48c605.5$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.8618643.5%81 W · 105 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under46c510.77$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.981,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27014338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Over54c472.4$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.115850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under47c467.06$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.8387049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c6a…189bbacked Over54c440.28$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.751250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Over54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21612851.6%66 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under52c396.4$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.271,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under46c382.38$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.341,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under47c278$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.541,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc766…1533backed Over39c258.61$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.943938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under47c242.05$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.2935546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under46c222.44$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.761,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under47c207.71$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0943052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Over53c194.36$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0111156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Over55c172$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.626048.1%125 W · 135 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Under46c151.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0525641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8117043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c144.26$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.462,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over53c138.95$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6434849.7%173 W · 175 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under48c119.08$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9210552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under49c113.36$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1455251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under51c104.12$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.563,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under47c103.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9421943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x322e…308ebacked Under47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.593240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5945445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over54c97.24$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5159650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Over51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.535145.1%23 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ed…f28dbacked Over54c91.96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.431450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc267…850fbacked Over53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.592330.4%7 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under47c88.02$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6589850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c83.94$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.492,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf613…3fbdbacked Over53c72.44$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c71.98$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.548,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3227…5034backed Under47c69.73$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under47c63.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9244747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x669d…f27abacked Over23c63.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.73551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under47c59.36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4671752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.351,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5081…e5acbacked Over42c54.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.720055.5%111 W · 89 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2614237.3%53 W · 89 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under47c49.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4936749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under48c49.45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7127945.9%128 W · 151 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over40c48.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.283336.4%12 W · 21 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc31a…60a6backed Over55c46.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.533941%16 W · 23 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Under47c43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7914844.6%66 W · 82 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9501…a052backed Over55c42.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.346144.3%27 W · 34 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under47c42.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.361,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over53c38.87$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.693148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9681…9199backed Over53c36.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.445754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under52c33.49$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.211,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff8…cfd0backed Over53c30.38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.11662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.35,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf9f…1390backed Over51c28.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.42231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x764b…3872backed Over54c27.01$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.592065%13 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e6…83a4backed Over53c26.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.128453.6%45 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Over53c24.37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9214349.7%71 W · 72 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e86…3c9fbacked Over54c23.9$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeaf…6774backed Over53c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc3f…1986backed Over53c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.661050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.