TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x764b…3872

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.92
LoL: LOUD vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.71
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Citadel Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Citadel Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$25.92
LoL: Winthrop University vs Supernova - Game 2 Winnerbacked Supernova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$27.36
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.59
LoL: Maryville University vs NRG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Maryville University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.2
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Team Phoenix - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.47
LoL: Esprit Shōnen vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.31
LoL: Citadel Gaming vs Blue Otter - Game 1 Winnerbacked Blue Otter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.72
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.06
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$24.98
LoL: Dark Passage vs SU Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dark Passage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.78
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.82
LoL: RMD Gaming vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Ei Nerd Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$12.37
LoL: 7REX vs Team Solid (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked 7REX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$29.4
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$23.96
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.46
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
LoL: SK Gaming vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.92
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.05
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.23
LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.38
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$14.77
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.93
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.46
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+182.4%+$21.96
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.42
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.17
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.74
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$25.85
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.19
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.66
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.73
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.17
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.61
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.46
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.42
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$26.66
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Moez Echarguibacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.