Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dark Passage vs SU Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d4c55e02066a96c90dcfb6d6a1ada9b23b4cfb77d7b1d31d74d5bcad6e5d9c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SU Esportsof Dark Passage, SU Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Dark Passage | 37c | 1,047$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.09 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Dark Passage | 5c | 633.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked SU Esports | 66c | 529.18$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.92 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dark Passage | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Dark Passage | 4c | 425$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked SU Esports | 72c | 384.35$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.62 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…3872backed Dark Passage | 14c | 355.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked SU Esports | 79c | 322.64$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…620bbacked Dark Passage | 7c | 319.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 325 | 66.5%216 W · 109 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…45c4backed Dark Passage | 21c | 305.7$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 510 | 44.9%229 W · 281 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Dark Passage | 30c | 271.28$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.63 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…8b03backed SU Esports | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 684 | 43.6%298 W · 386 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Dark Passage | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 205 | 50.2%103 W · 102 L | +15.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked SU Esports | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 840 | 41%344 W · 496 L | -38.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x109b…935fbacked SU Esports | 55c | 177.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.31 | 282 | 61%172 W · 110 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…e4cabacked Dark Passage | 12c | 123.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Dark Passage | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dark Passage | 36c | 62.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Dark Passage | 42c | 51.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7792…d10dbacked SU Esports | 74c | 49.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 192 | 53.6%103 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dark Passage | 26c | 42.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Dark Passage | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed SU Esports | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 428 | 47.9%205 W · 223 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dark Passage vs SU Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Dark Passage vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular SeasonSU Esports won
- LoL: Dark Passage vs SU Esports - Game 1 WinnerSU Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.