Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dark Passage vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75f174e4cdbd6c1b8849bba0b2729fba7e36f8808bece39361c658101e6f6102
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SU Esportsof Dark Passage, SU Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Dark Passage | 1c | 1,900$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Dark Passage | 30c | 1,600$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.09 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked SU Esports | 69c | 723.55$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.76 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Dark Passage | 40c | 501.73$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.65 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed SU Esports | 71c | 317.11$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.55 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Dark Passage | 30c | 299.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x671e…a831backed SU Esports | 70c | 291.14$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed SU Esports | 67c | 290.77$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.62 | 441 | 29.5%130 W · 311 L | -45.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Dark Passage | 20c | 206.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Dark Passage | 28c | 199.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed SU Esports | 72c | 182.33$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ec…7fcabacked Dark Passage | 22c | 173.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked SU Esports | 70c | 168.87$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.57 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked SU Esports | 59c | 139.88$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked SU Esports | 77c | 128.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 351 | 64.1%225 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Dark Passage | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8157…3223backed Dark Passage | 24c | 119.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked SU Esports | 69c | 106.31$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Dark Passage | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed SU Esports | 72c | 95.59$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Dark Passage | 12c | 85.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed SU Esports | 68c | 80.31$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 749 | 49.7%372 W · 377 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed Dark Passage | 30c | 69.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29e4…5a93backed Dark Passage | 32c | 59.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Dark Passage | 20c | 56.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked SU Esports | 73c | 39.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…2493backed Dark Passage | 39c | 36.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1563…19f4backed Dark Passage | 35c | 34.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed SU Esports | 70c | 27.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…0e78backed Dark Passage | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 383 | 42.8%164 W · 219 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dark Passage vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular Seasonthis page
- LoL: Dark Passage vs SU Esports - Game 1 WinnerSU Esports won
- LoL: Dark Passage vs SU Esports - Game 2 WinnerSU Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.