Lol · resolved market
LoL: Citadel Gaming vs Blue Otter - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae80b8a098b08882006bde3597f0754aed95c42ee186cf96fed2339d0f7ac1a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Citadel Gamingof Citadel Gaming, Blue Otter
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Citadel Gaming | 51c | 5,131$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.52 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Blue Otter | 49c | 3,035$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.94 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Blue Otter | 2c | 2,105$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Blue Otter | 51c | 1,237$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.89 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Citadel Gaming | 49c | 1,029$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.99 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Blue Otter | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Blue Otter | 33c | 804.73$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.2 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Citadel Gaming | 47c | 784.92$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.17 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Citadel Gaming | 59c | 660.22$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.72 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Blue Otter | 49c | 553.53$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.23 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Blue Otter | 49c | 542.86$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Citadel Gaming | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Blue Otter | 53c | 436.46$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.31 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Citadel Gaming | 46c | 421.89$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.59 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Blue Otter | 49c | 389.64$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.92 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x826c…cd27backed Blue Otter | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Citadel Gaming | 52c | 328.29$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.1 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed Blue Otter | 49c | 296.64$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.35 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…3872backed Blue Otter | 32c | 218.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Citadel Gaming | 59c | 166.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Citadel Gaming | 53c | 158.09$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.78 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…6323backed Blue Otter | 8c | 140$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 218 | 10.1%22 W · 196 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Blue Otter | 52c | 126.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.87 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked Blue Otter | 50c | 118.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Citadel Gaming | 69c | 94.96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Citadel Gaming | 76c | 91.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Blue Otter | 32c | 89.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 627 | 39.9%250 W · 377 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Blue Otter | 56c | 86.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8378…f1abbacked Blue Otter | 52c | 74.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked Citadel Gaming | 43c | 66.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Blue Otter | 35c | 57.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Blue Otter | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 465 | 52.7%245 W · 220 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Blue Otter | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Citadel Gaming | 68c | 37.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76a…47c0backed Citadel Gaming | 48c | 36.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 287 | 56.1%161 W · 126 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Citadel Gaming | 45c | 34.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Citadel Gaming | 42c | 32.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Blue Otter | 49c | 29.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Blue Otter | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x36be…ec68backed Blue Otter | 55c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Citadel Gaming vs Blue Otter - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: BLUE (-1.5) vs Citadel Gaming (+1.5)Citadel Gaming won
- LoL: Citadel Gaming vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonCitadel Gaming won
- LoL: Citadel Gaming vs Blue Otter - Game 2 WinnerCitadel Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.