Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BLUE (-1.5) vs Citadel Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f3ab980d200768300d88a0dd69f5db089bcfe31ff983943142550c3b920d3d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Citadel Gamingof Blue Otter, Citadel Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Citadel Gaming | 77c | 17,318$13,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,982.63 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Blue Otter | 22c | 5,312$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.68 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Blue Otter | 24c | 4,240$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.66 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Blue Otter | 25c | 2,878$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.66 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed Blue Otter | 22c | 1,246$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.08 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Blue Otter | 22c | 1,082$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.01 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Citadel Gaming | 77c | 998.78$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.72 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…4938backed Blue Otter | 22c | 719.67$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.33 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Citadel Gaming | 79c | 414.43$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.03 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Citadel Gaming | 79c | 377.82$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.34 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Blue Otter | 21c | 349.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Blue Otter | 23c | 331.71$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.29 | 331 | 39.9%132 W · 199 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Citadel Gaming | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Blue Otter | 20c | 299.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked Blue Otter | 22c | 265$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.01 | 122 | 70.5%86 W · 36 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Blue Otter | 22c | 260.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Blue Otter | 22c | 253.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…7adebacked Blue Otter | 23c | 246.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Blue Otter | 21c | 231.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Blue Otter | 29c | 230.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.91 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Citadel Gaming | 74c | 170$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Blue Otter | 29c | 152.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Citadel Gaming | 78c | 145.03$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Blue Otter | 22c | 143.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Citadel Gaming | 75c | 134.68$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Blue Otter | 27c | 122.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Blue Otter | 27c | 114.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Citadel Gaming | 77c | 105$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Blue Otter | 22c | 104.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Citadel Gaming | 80c | 98.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Blue Otter | 23c | 98.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Blue Otter | 22c | 98.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 382 | 57.9%221 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Blue Otter | 29c | 95.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Blue Otter | 22c | 92.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 388 | 50.8%197 W · 191 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Blue Otter | 23c | 87.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Blue Otter | 19c | 85.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…6ee4backed Blue Otter | 27c | 78.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Blue Otter | 22c | 75.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…03a8backed Blue Otter | 29c | 72.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Blue Otter | 20c | 60.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Citadel Gaming | 79c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9722…3e81backed Blue Otter | 28c | 57.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4ce0backed Blue Otter | 23c | 51.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6472…81e3backed Citadel Gaming | 73c | 31.82$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Citadel Gaming | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Citadel Gaming | 74c | 20.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 657 | 54.5%358 W · 299 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Citadel Gaming | 79c | 18.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Citadel Gaming | 79c | 16.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BLUE (-1.5) vs Citadel Gaming (+1.5)this page
- LoL: Citadel Gaming vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonCitadel Gaming won
- LoL: Citadel Gaming vs Blue Otter - Game 1 WinnerCitadel Gaming won
- LoL: Citadel Gaming vs Blue Otter - Game 2 WinnerCitadel Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.