Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cbe4fc02fb2496135cfa72e3cb260e0e4f980309c50ab03f854a4ea838ee40c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Yandex, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $363,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $382,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $363,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a5c…a375backed Team Yandex | 48c | 217,208$105,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,341.56 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Falcons | 65c | 100,000$65,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,000 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Team Falcons | 40c | 60,000$23,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,300 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +200.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Team Falcons | 39c | 39,797$15,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,276.17 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Falcons | 43c | 18,456$7,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,498.64 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Yandex | 57c | 10,042$5,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,713.62 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Falcons | 43c | 9,312$4,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,307.32 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Falcons | 46c | 8,884$4,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,813.42 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Yandex | 33c | 7,533$2,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508.14 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…800ebacked Team Yandex | 61c | 5,243$3,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,195.36 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 64c | 4,790$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.26 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Team Yandex | 56c | 3,894$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.86 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60c3…5947backed Team Yandex | 57c | 3,760$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.24 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Team Yandex | 57c | 3,653$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.42 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 3,234$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.72 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Team Yandex | 13c | 3,039$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.61 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -14.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -52%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Team Yandex | 36c | 2,678$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.12 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Team Falcons | 65c | 2,573$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.38 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 2,514$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.56 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Falcons | 41c | 2,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2e…13e0backed Team Falcons | 65c | 2,466$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Falcons | 40c | 2,391$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.51 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons | 43c | 2,357$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.08 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Team Yandex | 57c | 2,300$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.27 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Team Yandex | 25c | 2,202$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.33 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 1,938$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.12 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Team Falcons | 59c | 1,758$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.07 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Team Falcons | 69c | 1,705$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.23 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984b…88fbbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 1,643$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.02 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 59c | 1,589$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.21 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Falcons | 47c | 1,355$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.39 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 1,193$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.12 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Falcons | 46c | 1,145$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.91 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Team Yandex | 34c | 1,023$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.09 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Yandex | 35c | 1,016$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.26 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Team Yandex | 57c | 1,004$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.14 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Team Yandex | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…1c08backed Team Yandex | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Falcons | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Team Yandex | 57c | 975.61$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.07 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Falcons | 73c | 912.59$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.17 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Team Yandex | 33c | 882.29$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.42 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Team Falcons | 43c | 799.99$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 64c | 750$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Yandex | 58c | 682.44$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.19 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 676.48$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.83 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…0557backed Team Falcons | 43c | 660$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 40c | 643.98$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 623.49$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.22 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…f0dbbacked Team Yandex | 49c | 621.98$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.66 | 149 | 56.4%84 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Team Falcons | 67c | 588.12$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.08 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Falcons | 48c | 579.67$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.49 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 575.52$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.32 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…d8d8backed Team Falcons | 75c | 539.82$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.49 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe82c…5794backed Team Yandex | 18c | 526.66$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…f491backed Team Falcons | 63c | 514.02$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.09 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Team Yandex | 59c | 508.44$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.78 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Team Falcons | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 497.25$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.32 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…1310backed Team Yandex | 61c | 481.57$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.84 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…2779backed Team Yandex | 57c | 478.55$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Team Yandex | 56c | 457.69$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.31 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde5…d1acbacked Team Yandex | 44c | 438.02$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.58 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Team Yandex | 54c | 397.68$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.75 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 372.19$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.13 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…b30ebacked Team Yandex | 57c | 363.82$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Falcons | 39c | 362.49$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.81 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Yandex | 57c | 345.66$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.02 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Team Falcons | 44c | 345.14$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.38 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…38c4backed Team Yandex | 57c | 333.45$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.07 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…6d66backed Team Yandex | 29c | 330.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Falcons | 49c | 317.69$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.19 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Yandex | 19c | 313.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Falcons | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 147 | 62.6%92 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0745…31e2backed Team Yandex | 45c | 299.89$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.51 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Falcons | 48c | 296$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.28 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Team Falcons | 70c | 295.72$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.31 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…07fdbacked Team Yandex | 43c | 294.73$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.24 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…2f4abacked Team Falcons | 37c | 282.64$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.06 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2489…ee90backed Team Falcons | 47c | 270.85$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.55 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 270$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 265.1$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.06 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Team Falcons | 40c | 260.96$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.91 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed Team Yandex | 56c | 260.79$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.04 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb824…e333backed Team Falcons | 72c | 251.86$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 250.72$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.11 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Team Yandex | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Falcons | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Team Yandex | 37c | 249.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Team Yandex | 53c | 249.9$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Team Yandex | 33c | 247.36$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Team Yandex | 47c | 246.66$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.73 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 241.74$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.79 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Team Falcons | 40c | 241.38$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.98 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 40c | 241$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831f…9476backed Team Falcons | 42c | 231.35$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.86 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc937…273bbacked Team Yandex | 19c | 218.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Team Falcons | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Team Yandex | 63c | 212.32$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.76 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.