Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d964ff45a73f8a82d1bf04316fd5612266b5a691ee7a39d43956c582e01dee1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Yandex, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $322,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $414,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $322,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 340 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Team Falcons | 58c | 32,071$18,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,425.9 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex | 61c | 17,241$10,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,571.96 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Yandex | 45c | 16,026$7,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,259.35 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Falcons | 39c | 15,979$6,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,747.3 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Yandex | 47c | 12,314$5,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,816.74 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Yandex | 58c | 8,185$4,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,765.84 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Falcons | 42c | 7,502$3,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,369 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Falcons | 50c | 7,021$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.87 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed Team Falcons | 38c | 5,347$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,306.98 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Yandex | 60c | 5,057$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.82 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Team Falcons | 41c | 4,984$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.45 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Falcons | 45c | 4,000$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 3,656$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.66 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…d634backed Team Falcons | 49c | 3,520$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.2 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Yandex | 48c | 3,362$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.41 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Yandex | 40c | 3,107$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.91 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Team Yandex | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Team Yandex | 62c | 2,947$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.36 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 40c | 2,828$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.68 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Yandex | 45c | 2,693$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.02 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked Team Yandex | 46c | 2,657$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Team Yandex | 53c | 2,621$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.51 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Yandex | 64c | 2,500$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.87 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 2,489$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.05 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Falcons | 39c | 2,430$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.07 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team Yandex | 61c | 2,400$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.99 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…2f4abacked Team Falcons | 45c | 2,392$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.73 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…865cbacked Team Yandex | 62c | 2,239$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.07 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Falcons | 52c | 2,221$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.16 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Team Falcons | 45c | 2,090$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.08 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Team Falcons | 40c | 2,076$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.76 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…800ebacked Team Yandex | 56c | 2,074$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.97 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Team Yandex | 61c | 2,024$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.44 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Yandex | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 38c | 1,994$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.57 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Team Falcons | 74c | 1,975$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.78 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Team Yandex | 64c | 1,879$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.56 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Yandex | 61c | 1,832$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.38 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Team Yandex | 60c | 1,776$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.74 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 1,736$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.01 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Yandex | 60c | 1,662$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.96 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 1,659$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.35 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…e2e6backed Team Yandex | 61c | 1,648$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.87 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…ad81backed Team Yandex | 64c | 1,641$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.47 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Yandex | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.79 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Falcons | 45c | 1,635$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.48 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Falcons | 70c | 1,624$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.5 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Falcons | 58c | 1,470$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Team Yandex | 66c | 1,336$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.72 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 1,333$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.48 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 1,321$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.14 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Team Falcons | 53c | 1,294$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.84 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 1,281$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.09 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Team Falcons | 37c | 1,256$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.94 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Team Falcons | 77c | 1,172$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.5 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Falcons | 30c | 1,163$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.12 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…2614backed Team Falcons | 44c | 1,075$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Team Falcons | 53c | 1,060$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.79 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 1,055$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.66 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…c05fbacked Team Falcons | 52c | 1,047$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.43 | 169 | 32.5%55 W · 114 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Yandex | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…a68abacked Team Yandex | 63c | 999.31$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons | 37c | 983.98$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.79 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons | 50c | 980.47$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.97 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Falcons | 37c | 969.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Team Falcons | 50c | 955.43$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.4 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Yandex | 58c | 952.75$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.72 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Yandex | 25c | 943.17$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.55 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Falcons | 45c | 929$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.56 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Falcons | 34c | 914.39$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.67 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Team Yandex | 62c | 854.32$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.68 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Team Yandex | 55c | 849.81$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.88 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 831.82$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.34 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 823.03$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.46 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Yandex | 64c | 779.56$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.92 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Yandex | 55c | 749.99$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Yandex | 13c | 729.08$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.78 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a6…0529backed Team Yandex | 48c | 704.27$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Team Yandex | 59c | 693.95$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.43 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Team Yandex | 54c | 680.66$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.31 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Team Yandex | 38c | 678.07$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.46 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Team Yandex | 58c | 654.87$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.82 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…5bc1backed Team Falcons | 38c | 633.2$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.82 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Falcons | 53c | 603.04$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.18 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed Team Yandex | 62c | 600$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Yandex | 59c | 596.35$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.12 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Team Yandex | 45c | 588.18$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 585.55$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.35 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Falcons | 48c | 581.28$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.31 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf445…703ebacked Team Yandex | 63c | 577.37$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.74 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 42c | 575.93$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.85 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Team Falcons | 76c | 574.34$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.62 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Yandex | 26c | 551.94$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.39 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Team Yandex | 42c | 549.21$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.61 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Team Yandex | 56c | 535.72$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Falcons | 59c | 528.26$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.13 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Falcons | 43c | 524.43$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.97 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed Team Yandex | 65c | 509.44$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.14 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.