TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Team Yandex, Team Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$205,263
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$247,933

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,263 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Yandex50c37,879$18,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,839.711,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed Team Yandex34c14,140$4,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,774.2840051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex52c8,855$4,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,619.3142650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d11…99cabacked Team Yandex57c8,771$4,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,968.74734%16 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Falcons47c8,067$3,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,254.4251751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons44c7,479$3,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,220.062,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Yandex51c6,250$3,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,187.596557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Falcons80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00041242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Team Falcons43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.9917651.1%90 W · 86 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Falcons53c4,985$2,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,362.0989741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Team Falcons44c4,395$1,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,460.9329143.6%127 W · 164 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons47c4,302$2,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,283.521,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1b…f0f9backed Team Yandex35c4,162$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.16616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-71.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons42c4,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.9969644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Team Yandex28c3,982$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.247046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed Team Falcons78c3,877$3,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.0338855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Team Falcons67c3,663$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.976569.2%45 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons59c3,648$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.121,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Team Falcons43c3,412$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,944.9622954.1%124 W · 105 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked Team Yandex47c2,990$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.616541.2%68 W · 97 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex50c2,694$1,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.8260552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed Team Falcons79c2,315$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.7913068.5%89 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Team Falcons49c2,077$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.0918356.8%104 W · 79 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Team Yandex3c2,050$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.514751.7%76 W · 71 L+11.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons50c2,038$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02080443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Team Falcons45c2,034$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.622643.8%99 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons53c1,999$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.6579959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Team Falcons52c1,970$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.7533549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Team Falcons48c1,938$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.2444645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Team Falcons45c1,916$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.1856852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Team Falcons72c1,809$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.6371454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed Team Falcons50c1,800$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90033644%148 W · 188 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Yandex50c1,800$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90080256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons57c1,772$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.731,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Team Falcons49c1,750$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90058744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Yandex19c1,750$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.560646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Team Falcons46c1,575$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.5854445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked Team Falcons76c1,543$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.6833867.8%229 W · 109 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Yandex41c1,533$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.021,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd514…a68abacked Team Yandex55c1,498$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.1862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Falcons42c1,460$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.1696645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95c…61d8backed Team Yandex58c1,369$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.94837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe438…e80cbacked Team Yandex6c1,280$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.545910.2%6 W · 53 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-69.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Falcons66c1,252$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.8767043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Team Falcons63c1,225$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.5755147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Team Yandex29c1,155$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.2425246.8%118 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Team Falcons46c1,079$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.4714744.9%66 W · 81 L+0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Falcons49c1,066$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.831,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Team Falcons47c1,030$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.1320145.3%91 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Falcons47c1,030$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.7441055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e67…e2e6backed Team Yandex57c989.44$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.084351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Team Falcons47c968.46$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.0750769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons61c946.58$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.821,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30d1…6065backed Team Yandex28c946.1$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.494440.9%18 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x899e…0863backed Team Falcons79c918.36$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.8526454.5%144 W · 120 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Team Falcons43c911.98$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.838042.5%34 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons58c820.61$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.462,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Falcons54c775.52$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.7445061.6%277 W · 173 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Team Falcons41c760$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.488539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Team Falcons53c733.43$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.711,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Falcons53c721.61$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.4799844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Team Falcons62c703.19$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.3272035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Team Yandex8c697.3$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9263032.5%205 W · 425 L+1.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked Team Yandex5c680.81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0337018.9%70 W · 300 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Yandex34c675.55$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.5136654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex15c659.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8148954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed Team Falcons49c593.4$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.3713228.8%38 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Team Yandex40c590$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23611131.5%35 W · 76 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x758f…dfb7backed Team Falcons46c567.67$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.5434667.9%235 W · 111 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb16b…3a57backed Team Falcons79c545.12$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.072646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Falcons80c533.37$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.6732652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdfa…7491backed Team Yandex58c530.35$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.046544.6%29 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Yandex52c530.12$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.871,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Team Falcons59c499.99$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.588166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb8b8…61dcbacked Team Yandex56c499.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9918065.6%118 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Falcons45c499.98$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.9924251.7%125 W · 117 L+21.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Yandex54c467.98$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.7129548.5%143 W · 152 L+0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Yandex7c466.14$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6337811.1%42 W · 336 L+0.8wins0.00per pick11cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Team Falcons80c441.74$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6514453.5%77 W · 67 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Team Falcons46c441.73$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.5357455.4%318 W · 256 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Falcons59c437.62$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.62,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe999…12bdbacked Team Yandex47c421.84$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.4918156.4%102 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Falcons44c400$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22456243.2%243 W · 319 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Team Falcons42c392.82$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.831,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5808…d235backed Team Yandex19c379.11$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3511744.4%52 W · 65 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Team Yandex57c376.01$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.3214251.4%73 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa485…92a5backed Team Falcons58c373.11$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.719060%54 W · 36 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Yandex56c372.63$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.6755251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked Team Falcons53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.367162%44 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ebc…c639backed Team Falcons45c363.55$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.952445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Team Falcons43c318.27$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.4110961.5%67 W · 42 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Team Yandex56c315.99$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.9572154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Team Yandex12c303.69$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.446132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked Team Falcons62c289.89$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.952649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3c1…8174backed Team Yandex18c285.28$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6724947.8%119 W · 130 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea9…daefbacked Team Yandex55c265.36$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.952352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Team Yandex37c264.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2937223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Team Falcons45c241.27$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6580544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb22d…3a13backed Team Falcons54c234.1$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6824045.4%109 W · 131 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Team Yandex55c226.78$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2680742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.