Lol · resolved market
LoL: Winthrop University vs Supernova - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc810a59f9ea83d8b5c9f34c4af143ecd8220fa2a97bcc75fb98c7c775688308f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Supernovaof Winthrop University, Supernova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Winthrop University | 28c | 3,913$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.04 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Winthrop University | 44c | 2,416$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.3 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Supernova | 57c | 2,193$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.1 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Supernova | 53c | 1,621$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.22 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd5…cae2backed Winthrop University | 2c | 1,347$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Winthrop University | 40c | 704.46$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.64 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…17e0backed Winthrop University | 6c | 700$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 109 | 7.3%8 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Supernova | 44c | 681.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.82 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…243cbacked Winthrop University | 16c | 599.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Winthrop University | 10c | 595.73$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Supernova | 46c | 586.04$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.46 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Winthrop University | 45c | 423.3$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.89 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd6…e33abacked Supernova | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.91 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Winthrop University | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Supernova | 55c | 371.81$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.46 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked Winthrop University | 45c | 370.08$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.54 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Supernova | 59c | 328.58$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.45 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…66d0backed Winthrop University | 7c | 296.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Supernova | 38c | 246.48$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.82 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…272cbacked Winthrop University | 15c | 189.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 592 | 41.9%248 W · 344 L | -16.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Winthrop University | 39c | 189.16$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.51 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Winthrop University | 65c | 166.28$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.67 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Supernova | 62c | 156.73$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 268 | 44%118 W · 150 L | -37.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…f87ebacked Supernova | 55c | 141.05$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.49 | 399 | 40.4%161 W · 238 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Supernova | 57c | 135.74$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Winthrop University | 16c | 111.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Winthrop University | 39c | 106.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Winthrop University | 25c | 102.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked Winthrop University | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,009 | 49.2%496 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Supernova | 55c | 99.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa8…d75fbacked Supernova | 39c | 98.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Supernova | 48c | 80.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 392 | 39%153 W · 239 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f8…6ef8backed Winthrop University | 49c | 69.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…3872backed Supernova | 55c | 61.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Supernova | 75c | 60.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Supernova | 38c | 54.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Winthrop University | 40c | 52.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Supernova | 56c | 51.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 282 | 46.5%131 W · 151 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed Winthrop University | 42c | 50.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 700 | 57.3%401 W · 299 L | +36.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Supernova | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 304 | 41.8%127 W · 177 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5624…b5c4backed Winthrop University | 53c | 45.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 288 | 51%147 W · 141 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Supernova | 63c | 43.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Supernova | 50c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 337 | 37.7%127 W · 210 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7e…6686backed Supernova | 39c | 42.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081f…d5c0backed Supernova | 64c | 39.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a41…15b2backed Winthrop University | 54c | 38.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Winthrop University | 42c | 36.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Supernova | 48c | 22.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 182 | 63.7%116 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Winthrop University vs Supernova - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SN (-1.5) vs Winthrop University (+1.5)Supernova won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Winthrop University vs Supernova (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonSupernova won
- LoL: Winthrop University vs Supernova - Game 1 WinnerSupernova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.