Lol · resolved market
LoL: Winthrop University vs Supernova (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e659a78ff59b4a494e05dd0dfa9d6e341d43a478d1144c129aac0e4852e7cde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Supernovaof Winthrop University, Supernova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8df…8a93backed Winthrop University | 3c | 1,495$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Winthrop University | 36c | 578.51$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.63 | 247 | 41.3%102 W · 145 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Winthrop University | 36c | 545.63$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.11 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Supernova | 79c | 391.44$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed Winthrop University | 18c | 352.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 330 | 40.3%133 W · 197 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed Supernova | 67c | 351.09$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.51 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Winthrop University | 27c | 274.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…ced8backed Winthrop University | 15c | 245.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 323 | 71.2%230 W · 93 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Supernova | 65c | 200.63$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 441 | 29.5%130 W · 311 L | -45.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed Supernova | 66c | 151.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Supernova | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Winthrop University | 17c | 146.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 129 | 34.9%45 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Winthrop University | 20c | 130.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29f5…fb4abacked Supernova | 77c | 128.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Winthrop University | 15c | 124.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Supernova | 63c | 124.16$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Winthrop University | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Winthrop University | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 249 | 41.4%103 W · 146 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a41…15b2backed Winthrop University | 36c | 94.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Supernova | 63c | 72.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Supernova | 77c | 62.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Winthrop University | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Supernova | 77c | 59.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Winthrop University | 35c | 57.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Supernova | 77c | 54.21$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd636…015cbacked Winthrop University | 26c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Winthrop University | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Supernova | 76c | 45.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 282 | 46.5%131 W · 151 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Supernova | 75c | 37.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Supernova | 71c | 28.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4f…3cbabacked Supernova | 76c | 25.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 226 | 66.4%150 W · 76 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0d…3c60backed Supernova | 64c | 24.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Supernova | 79c | 15.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Winthrop University vs Supernova (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonthis page
- Game Handicap: SN (-1.5) vs Winthrop University (+1.5)Supernova won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Winthrop University vs Supernova - Game 1 WinnerSupernova won
- LoL: Winthrop University vs Supernova - Game 2 WinnerSupernova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.