Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x998d69f881036ac580f6dc0a18b6c3ec48f167fd00799db9e58bf43e07b4b27e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,777,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,995,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,777,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 67c | 712,292$475,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475,137.68 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 257,539$20,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,528.7 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 32c | 251,340$81,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169,882.91 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 33c | 229,999$75,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154,099.29 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed No | 35c | 228,916$79,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149,256.84 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe26c…88cfbacked No | 33c | 223,762$72,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151,010.21 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 33c | 192,190$63,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128,574.39 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed No | 35c | 169,998$59,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,498.45 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 67c | 149,254$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,000 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 67c | 149,254$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,000 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 33c | 148,799$49,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,695.38 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed No | 33c | 120,000$39,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,400 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 67c | 87,883$58,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,881.76 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 87,154$43,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,256.5 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 35c | 80,378$27,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,491.09 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Yes | 66c | 57,994$38,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,355.67 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 33c | 54,093$17,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,241.24 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 34c | 52,000$17,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,319.77 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed No | 78c | 50,845$39,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,368.41 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 34c | 50,488$17,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,322.08 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 65c | 50,310$32,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,764.17 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 33c | 48,687$16,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,657.11 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +59%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Yes | 0c | 48,268$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 34c | 48,226$16,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,829.3 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 33c | 44,817$14,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,882.08 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 28c | 37,257$10,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,753.93 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked Yes | 67c | 37,000$24,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,790 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 33c | 31,593$10,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,117.35 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 33c | 31,106$10,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,752.42 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed No | 34c | 31,014$10,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,469.29 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 33c | 30,942$10,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,730.91 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 33c | 30,765$10,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,612.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…d98bbacked Yes | 67c | 30,710$20,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,552.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 65c | 30,200$19,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,592.47 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Yes | 67c | 29,850$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,999.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…fc9dbacked Yes | 68c | 29,592$20,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,122.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…d370backed No | 34c | 29,371$9,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,384.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +268.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…a2e3backed Yes | 70c | 28,561$19,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,992.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 72c | 24,880$17,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,817.22 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 33c | 24,067$7,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,125.02 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Yes | 67c | 22,388$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e98…ed3dbacked Yes | 27c | 21,769$5,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,932.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 33c | 21,500$7,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,404.99 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 67c | 21,260$14,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,244 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 33c | 21,125$6,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,240.14 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9e…d576backed Yes | 66c | 21,001$13,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,910 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 65c | 20,127$13,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,171.95 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes | 68c | 20,000$13,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,600 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 67c | 20,000$13,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,400 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 34c | 19,741$6,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,028.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 67c | 17,206$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,600 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked No | 33c | 16,892$5,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,317.57 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed No | 33c | 15,449$5,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,351.1 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 2c | 15,423$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.38 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1727…680ebacked No | 33c | 15,199$5,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,183.64 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked Yes | 66c | 15,152$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 66c | 15,152$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,050 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,049.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed No | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,049.89 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 66c | 15,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,899.86 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 34c | 15,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,899.7 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Yes | 67c | 14,925$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe635…702abacked Yes | 67c | 14,755$9,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,885.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 34c | 14,730$5,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,721.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Yes | 67c | 14,572$9,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,763.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 32c | 14,463$4,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,607.14 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 34c | 14,285$4,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400.73 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2f…aaf8backed Yes | 69c | 14,250$9,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,779.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No | 17c | 14,118$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,717.65 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 68c | 14,090$9,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,540.3 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 65c | 13,603$8,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,841.89 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b70…6ccebacked Yes | 66c | 13,237$8,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,751.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed No | 34c | 12,778$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,487.63 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x980d…7763backed Yes | 19c | 12,772$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.7 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e3…af4bbacked Yes | 80c | 12,518$9,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,966.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 67c | 12,500$8,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,375 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 65c | 11,308$7,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,383.55 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Yes | 68c | 11,272$7,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,639.41 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 65c | 11,000$7,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,140 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc8backed Yes | 59c | 10,951$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed No | 30c | 10,830$3,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,580.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 42c | 10,585$4,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,445.51 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 65c | 10,500$6,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,789.95 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Yes | 67c | 10,470$7,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,015 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked No | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc4…6f26backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…7699backed No | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,699.95 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 39c | 9,869$3,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,838.92 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…5e52backed No | 33c | 9,815$3,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,576.05 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 67c | 9,681$6,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,486.19 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 66c | 9,483$6,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,230.25 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 33c | 9,000$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,029.92 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 67c | 8,800$5,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,895.95 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 48c | 8,709$4,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,201.99 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4773…2289backed Yes | 67c | 8,506$5,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 33c | 8,500$2,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,694.98 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc788…8545backed Yes | 66c | 8,428$5,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,562.64 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed No | 33c | 8,155$2,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,463.82 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 34c | 8,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,319.98 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?this page
- Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.