TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$280,307
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$305,820

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,307 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No80c26,465$21,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,171.9413748.2%66 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes20c25,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,00011445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No36c11,741$4,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,215.751,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No78c10,773$8,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,393.214,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No68c7,596$5,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,166.913948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c7,506$5,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,518.92,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b91…06c4backed Yes21c4,493$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,549.31330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Yes21c3,978$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,146.532646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No76c3,850$2,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,926.9414658.9%86 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Yes24c3,685$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,784.622737%10 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes17c3,043$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,522.3274644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes20c3,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40020447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes29c2,890$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.967042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes17c2,500$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.9334628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No77c2,411$1,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,857.543928.2%11 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-54.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes19c2,224$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.335941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf629…9e4cbacked Yes28c2,143$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.86825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid+22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Yes29c2,132$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.021947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+43.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed Yes21c2,114$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,670.29333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8414…2ddebacked Yes43c2,052$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.31742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No80c2,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.9190751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes30c1,952$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.745464.8%35 W · 19 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No79c1,943$1,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.076660.6%40 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c1,901$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.366,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes34c1,849$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.2372142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes20c1,702$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.582,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No73c1,527$1,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.4996645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes11c1,499$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.099660.4%58 W · 38 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No24c1,439$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.9853344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed No79c1,400$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10813554.8%74 W · 61 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes28c1,324$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.6538233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Yes14c1,323$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.864645.7%21 W · 25 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed No35c1,200$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.119246.7%43 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes24c1,198$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.7223632.2%76 W · 160 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked No53c1,155$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.62657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+53.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Yes26c1,154$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.8510751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes5c1,128$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.6741343.3%179 W · 234 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf692…dd55backed Yes18c1,111$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.114531.1%14 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x362c…f753backed No6c1,111$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No80c1,060$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84741850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80025225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ea7…0607backed Yes20c999.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.991127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed Yes15c958.33$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.332751.9%14 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked No80c939$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.22128.6%6 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-46.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes22c914.9$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.639534.7%33 W · 62 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0f…3f10backed Yes29c848.34$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.592347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No69c840.58$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.758442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbfe…409abacked Yes26c782.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+291.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No49c750.69$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.9977336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac20…a68abacked Yes27c740.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.742236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc976…f670backed Yes12c740.73$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+226.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes15c733.33$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.334233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b20…de61backed No80c721.21$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.971457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No62c695.09$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.743330.3%10 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid+36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Yes9c688.44$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.971650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+41.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes30c669.99$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.991833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ada…d5cfbacked Yes8c669.46$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.89728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid+95.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes11c668.52$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.7326319.8%52 W · 211 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60cb…79a4backed Yes24c668.33$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.216939.1%27 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b29…556ebacked Yes30c666.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.671050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes27c649.97$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.4818123.2%42 W · 139 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No79c599.97$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.9755751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Yes28c571.43$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.431752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes20c529.65$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.2719239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes17c500$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41513721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes17c500$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4156250%31 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Yes24c500$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3802955.2%16 W · 13 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed Yes21c487.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.232450%12 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b2…f6e2backed Yes31c482.16$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.19742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+43.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes21c476.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.198736.8%32 W · 55 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes21c476.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.196235.5%22 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2fe…a06abacked Yes20c454.45$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.56560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+57.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked No65c450$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.58445.2%38 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes6c449.22$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.1810253.9%55 W · 47 L+14.1wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+58.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6042…80efbacked Yes17c421.64$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+484.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Yes14c409.96$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.564632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked Yes21c400$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316966.7%6 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+223.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc56d…c484backed Yes21c400$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.058041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No75c392.14$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.3342043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes20c382.24$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.2169851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes16c373.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.9316232.1%52 W · 110 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x644b…ec38backed Yes14c353.85$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.853161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecd5…755ebacked Yes27c351.85$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.851369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd331…387fbacked Yes30c351.4$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.871442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No76c349.99$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.48959.6%53 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…4b19backed Yes30c340.93$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.281338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x683a…3b03backed Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.333366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes18c326$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.2422644.2%100 W · 126 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5812233.6%41 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8662…958dbacked Yes20c304.76$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.763246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4de…424cbacked Yes33c301.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.84875%6 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+54.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8deb…1ef3backed Yes7c300$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+581.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x921d…efb8backed Yes31c299.99$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes19c299.96$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.965633.9%19 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed Yes27c299.95$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.9613727.7%38 W · 99 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4791…02b4backed Yes22c297.1$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.1714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick9cpaid-34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes16c293.57$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.5711527%31 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes30c291.08$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.1318842.6%80 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd83c…6b83backed Yes23c284.87$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.872441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes27c274.27$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.222821.4%6 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.