Lol · resolved market
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d3b65eb9461e8b32c309e76178aa1d14ea6ecd7a2f8244d0182294b64447f73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof Sentinels, Disguised
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Sentinels | 63c | 4,257$2,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.07 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Sentinels | 57c | 3,769$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.1 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Disguised | 43c | 3,744$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.29 | 642 | 43%276 W · 366 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Sentinels | 48c | 3,163$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.42 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Disguised | 33c | 2,935$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.44 | 903 | 37.5%339 W · 564 L | -18.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Sentinels | 57c | 2,358$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.94 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Sentinels | 73c | 2,276$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.63 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Disguised | 21c | 2,195$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.69 | 544 | 29.6%161 W · 383 L | -35.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Sentinels | 57c | 2,144$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.71 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Disguised | 43c | 1,995$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.63 | 2,222 | 37.4%832 W · 1,390 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Disguised | 35c | 1,983$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.04 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed Disguised | 22c | 1,875$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.51 | 264 | 43.6%115 W · 149 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Disguised | 41c | 1,863$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.04 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Disguised | 13c | 1,842$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.6 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Disguised | 53c | 1,791$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.42 | 1,476 | 48.3%713 W · 763 L | +45.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Disguised | 25c | 1,651$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.09 | 236 | 24.6%58 W · 178 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Disguised | 41c | 1,542$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.21 | 137 | 61.3%84 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed Disguised | 30c | 1,523$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.56 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Disguised | 40c | 1,500$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Sentinels | 57c | 1,488$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.68 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed Disguised | 49c | 1,452$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.2 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…4123backed Sentinels | 76c | 1,333$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.84 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -9.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Disguised | 14c | 1,250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 197 | 31%61 W · 136 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Disguised | 45c | 1,066$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.7 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -14.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed Disguised | 43c | 1,051$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.79 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked Sentinels | 31c | 1,020$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.79 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Sentinels | 71c | 1,001$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.99 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Sentinels | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 2,152 | 53.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L | +58.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07a…c3debacked Sentinels | 65c | 979.37$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.33 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked Disguised | 43c | 975.06$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.83 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Sentinels | 51c | 970.58$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.89 | 241 | 37.8%91 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Disguised | 33c | 917.64$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.48 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sentinels | 52c | 877.71$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.83 | 2,303 | 39.4%907 W · 1,396 L | -82.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Disguised | 39c | 866.3$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.88 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Disguised | 33c | 832$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.45 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Disguised | 27c | 790.2$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.13 | 3,119 | 33.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L | -151.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Disguised | 26c | 738.53$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.38 | 1,726 | 29.4%507 W · 1,219 L | -124.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed Disguised | 68c | 697.78$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.04 | 409 | 59.2%242 W · 167 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Disguised | 29c | 684.53$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.71 | 2,336 | 40.4%943 W · 1,393 L | -58.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked Sentinels | 64c | 668.8$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.77 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Disguised | 41c | 668.75$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.19 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e2…7283backed Disguised | 33c | 645.2$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.04 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Disguised | 27c | 637$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.43 | 468 | 41.7%195 W · 273 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Disguised | 75c | 632.32$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.91 | 461 | 53.6%247 W · 214 L | -24.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Disguised | 73c | 624.72$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.36 | 288 | 27.4%79 W · 209 L | -30.6wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Disguised | 22c | 548$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.16 | 253 | 31.2%79 W · 174 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed Sentinels | 73c | 539.93$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.44 | 353 | 46.7%165 W · 188 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Disguised | 42c | 528.56$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 437 | 39.8%174 W · 263 L | -23.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Disguised | 30c | 528.53$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.06 | 172 | 28.5%49 W · 123 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Disguised | 21c | 528.16$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.34 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Disguised | 31c | 523.38$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.22 | 2,820 | 41.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Sentinels | 66c | 522.49$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.93 | 261 | 64.4%168 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Disguised | 29c | 506.01$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.12 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Disguised | 42c | 500.1$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.04 | 245 | 43.3%106 W · 139 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ce…cc35backed Disguised | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Disguised | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Disguised | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…7075backed Disguised | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 10.9%19 W · 155 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…fc19backed Disguised | 43c | 494.13$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.48 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sentinels | 69c | 466.23$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.86 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Sentinels | 59c | 443.51$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.28 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Sentinels | 58c | 427$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.34 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce78…86fabacked Disguised | 11c | 420$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Sentinels | 76c | 418.65$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.73 | 403 | 64.5%260 W · 143 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed Disguised | 44c | 415.72$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.82 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa430…c6f9backed Sentinels | 64c | 380.73$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.09 | 261 | 50.6%132 W · 129 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…620bbacked Sentinels | 74c | 373.37$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.05 | 325 | 66.5%216 W · 109 L | +26.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Sentinels | 69c | 362.61$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.83 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Sentinels | 58c | 357$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.94 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…51f3backed Sentinels | 55c | 343.76$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.13 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Disguised | 21c | 325$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2425…9becbacked Disguised | 27c | 321.63$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Disguised | 68c | 318$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.24 | 133 | 42.9%57 W · 76 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Sentinels | 67c | 303.15$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Disguised | 14c | 299.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Disguised | 34c | 290.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.67 | 1,536 | 43.8%672 W · 864 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Disguised | 40c | 289.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.68 | 345 | 36.5%126 W · 219 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe37a…45dfbacked Disguised | 52c | 283.45$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.7 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Disguised | 79c | 268.93$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.17 | 286 | 38.1%109 W · 177 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Sentinels | 58c | 260.67$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.48 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Disguised | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Disguised | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Disguised | 21c | 249.19$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…6c11backed Sentinels | 49c | 242.35$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.6 | 367 | 49.9%183 W · 184 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04c4…19fbbacked Disguised | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Sentinels | 57c | 229.36$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.63 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Sentinels | 58c | 225.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.92 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…7adebacked Sentinels | 58c | 225.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.92 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1e…6b97backed Sentinels | 71c | 225$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…d29cbacked Sentinels | 68c | 220.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.66 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a81…dcfdbacked Disguised | 55c | 217.21$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…65dabacked Disguised | 29c | 215.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Disguised | 69c | 213.35$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.21 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Sentinels | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 387 | 43.9%170 W · 217 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Disguised | 25c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 177 | 39.5%70 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Sentinels | 78c | 199.51$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed08…e082backed Disguised | 34c | 195.63$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.25 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked Disguised | 32c | 192.41$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.57 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…272cbacked Disguised | 60c | 191.89$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.19 | 592 | 41.9%248 W · 344 L | -16.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…5d9bbacked Sentinels | 61c | 188.66$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.58 | 407 | 52.3%213 W · 194 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier PlayoffsSentinels won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 1 WinnerSentinels won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.