TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sentinelsof Sentinels, Disguised
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$131,095
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,971

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,095 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd3b0…329ebacked Sentinels63c4,257$2,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,594.072,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Sentinels57c3,769$2,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.159450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Disguised43c3,744$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.2964243%276 W · 366 L-27.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Sentinels48c3,163$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.421,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Disguised33c2,935$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.4490337.5%339 W · 564 L-18.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Sentinels57c2,358$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.943863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Sentinels73c2,276$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.631,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Disguised21c2,195$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.6954429.6%161 W · 383 L-35.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Sentinels57c2,144$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.7110048%48 W · 52 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Disguised43c1,995$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.632,22237.4%832 W · 1,390 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Disguised35c1,983$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.0489943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed Disguised22c1,875$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.5126443.6%115 W · 149 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Disguised41c1,863$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.0496250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Disguised13c1,842$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.694134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Disguised53c1,791$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.421,47648.3%713 W · 763 L+45.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed Disguised25c1,651$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.0923624.6%58 W · 178 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked Disguised41c1,542$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.2113761.3%84 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc5…1135backed Disguised30c1,523$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.5644042%185 W · 255 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Disguised40c1,500$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5953,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Sentinels57c1,488$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.6814247.2%67 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x823b…59e9backed Disguised49c1,452$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.212450%62 W · 62 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1e…4123backed Sentinels76c1,333$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.849851%50 W · 48 L-9.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Disguised14c1,250$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17519731%61 W · 136 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Disguised45c1,066$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.713933.8%47 W · 92 L-14.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4068…aeb1backed Disguised43c1,051$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.7915431.8%49 W · 105 L-18.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-33.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked Sentinels31c1,020$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.794843.8%21 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed Sentinels71c1,001$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.9963161.2%386 W · 245 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Sentinels56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4402,15253.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L+58.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07a…c3debacked Sentinels65c979.37$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.338441.7%35 W · 49 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked Disguised43c975.06$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.8312850%64 W · 64 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked Sentinels51c970.58$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.8924137.8%91 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Disguised33c917.64$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.4887844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sentinels52c877.71$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.832,30339.4%907 W · 1,396 L-82.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Disguised39c866.3$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.8873237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked Disguised33c832$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.4595951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Disguised27c790.2$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.133,11933.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L-151.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Disguised26c738.53$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.381,72629.4%507 W · 1,219 L-124.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-39.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4df2…d357backed Disguised68c697.78$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.0440959.2%242 W · 167 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Disguised29c684.53$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.712,33640.4%943 W · 1,393 L-58.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a6…fbadbacked Sentinels64c668.8$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.7710760.7%65 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Disguised41c668.75$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.191,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e2…7283backed Disguised33c645.2$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.043023.3%7 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Disguised27c637$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.4346841.7%195 W · 273 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Disguised75c632.32$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.9146153.6%247 W · 214 L-24.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Disguised73c624.72$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.3628827.4%79 W · 209 L-30.6wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Disguised22c548$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1625331.2%79 W · 174 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Sentinels73c539.93$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.4435346.7%165 W · 188 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Disguised42c528.56$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22243739.8%174 W · 263 L-23.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked Disguised30c528.53$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.0617228.5%49 W · 123 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Disguised21c528.16$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3499338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Disguised31c523.38$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.222,82041.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L-14.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Sentinels66c522.49$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.9326164.4%168 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Disguised29c506.01$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.121,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Disguised42c500.1$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.0424543.3%106 W · 139 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71ce…cc35backed Disguised60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012552%65 W · 60 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Disguised40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Disguised45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2259347.3%44 W · 49 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb326…7075backed Disguised4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017410.9%19 W · 155 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe081…fc19backed Disguised43c494.13$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.487630.3%23 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Sentinels69c466.23$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.861,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Sentinels59c443.51$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.281,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Sentinels58c427$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.3418653.2%99 W · 87 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce78…86fabacked Disguised11c420$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.67136.6%26 W · 45 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Sentinels76c418.65$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7340364.5%260 W · 143 L+0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf901…5f48backed Disguised44c415.72$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.825547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa430…c6f9backed Sentinels64c380.73$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.0926150.6%132 W · 129 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f6c…620bbacked Sentinels74c373.37$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0532566.5%216 W · 109 L+26.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Sentinels69c362.61$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.831,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Sentinels58c357$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.944257.1%24 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f25…51f3backed Sentinels55c343.76$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1315357.5%88 W · 65 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Disguised21c325$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.59227.2%25 W · 67 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick16cpaid+36.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2425…9becbacked Disguised27c321.63$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.244124.4%10 W · 31 L-6.4wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-32.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x968a…3841backed Disguised68c318$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.2413342.9%57 W · 76 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Sentinels67c303.15$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.751,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Disguised14c299.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4211316.8%19 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+65.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Disguised34c290.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.671,53643.8%672 W · 864 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Disguised40c289.2$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6834536.5%126 W · 219 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe37a…45dfbacked Disguised52c283.45$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.78938.2%34 W · 55 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed Disguised79c268.93$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.1728638.1%109 W · 177 L-14.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Sentinels58c260.67$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.4811161.3%68 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Disguised40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Disguised40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002744.4%12 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Disguised21c249.19$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.986440.6%26 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c4e…6c11backed Sentinels49c242.35$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.636749.9%183 W · 184 L+15.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04c4…19fbbacked Disguised40c241$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.413652.2%71 W · 65 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Sentinels57c229.36$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6310253.9%55 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Sentinels58c225.99$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.927865.4%51 W · 27 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4523…7adebacked Sentinels58c225.99$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.923464.7%22 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe1e…6b97backed Sentinels71c225$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.256253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32c…d29cbacked Sentinels68c220.89$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.664658.7%27 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a81…dcfdbacked Disguised55c217.21$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-52.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8339…65dabacked Disguised29c215.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.222420.8%5 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked Disguised69c213.35$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.2112549.6%62 W · 63 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Sentinels48c200$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10538743.9%170 W · 217 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Disguised25c200$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4917739.5%70 W · 107 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed Sentinels78c199.51$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1916058.8%94 W · 66 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed08…e082backed Disguised34c195.63$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2519860.1%119 W · 79 L-0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf592…b62dbacked Disguised32c192.41$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.5768557.5%394 W · 291 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked Disguised60c191.89$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1959241.9%248 W · 344 L-16.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeebe…5d9bbacked Sentinels61c188.66$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5840752.3%213 W · 194 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.