TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sentinelsof Sentinels, Disguised
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$223,147
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$181,021

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,147 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x45d7…c9a5backed Disguised0c27,696$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc63…73b6backed Disguised0c23,502$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa8a…990dbacked Disguised0c20,927$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Disguised0c16,013$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Sentinels59c9,438$5,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,869.3959450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Disguised44c8,035$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,549.8325447.6%121 W · 133 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Disguised30c6,426$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.543,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Disguised40c4,885$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,953.895131.4%16 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Disguised7c4,263$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.0619743.7%86 W · 111 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Disguised40c3,772$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.3637647.9%180 W · 196 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Disguised30c3,500$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.991,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x509d…0a6bbacked Sentinels57c3,370$1,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,451.6567056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Sentinels60c3,099$1,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.63863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Sentinels59c2,926$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.741,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed Disguised45c2,895$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.2312428.2%35 W · 89 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Sentinels60c2,800$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12070456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Sentinels58c2,789$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.081,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Sentinels55c2,532$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.696048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed Disguised40c2,475$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.4913135.1%46 W · 85 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Sentinels59c2,417$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.131,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Disguised41c2,164$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88434536.5%126 W · 219 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Sentinels61c1,832$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.731,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed Sentinels55c1,817$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.624346.5%20 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6fd…4c1dbacked Disguised47c1,814$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.82540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-42.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Disguised1c1,700$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23651.5%1 W · 64 L+0.2wins0.00per pick1cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7809…64ccbacked Disguised23c1,686$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9217431%54 W · 120 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Sentinels59c1,684$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.296861.8%42 W · 26 L+8.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+26.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Disguised40c1,612$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64542735.4%151 W · 276 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Disguised41c1,603$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.364443%277 W · 367 L-27.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Sentinels60c1,527$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.232,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Sentinels60c1,459$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.621,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dd6…e33abacked Disguised19c1,331$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.351850%9 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e71…eba7backed Disguised40c1,207$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.9812349.6%61 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Disguised2c1,200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1840916.1%66 W · 343 L-0.8wins0.00per pick16cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Sentinels56c1,148$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50320826.9%56 W · 152 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Disguised1c1,104$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0417610.2%18 W · 158 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Disguised41c1,027$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.972,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Sentinels55c1,026$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.621,21839.9%486 W · 732 L-65.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Disguised41c1,014$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.591,59343.8%697 W · 896 L-74.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Disguised41c1,005$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.672,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Disguised21c1,001$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.8817041.8%71 W · 99 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Sentinels56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4405549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07a…c3debacked Disguised16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1608441.7%35 W · 49 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7885…e04fbacked Disguised41c997.54$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c8…ced8backed Sentinels79c962.49$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.232371.2%230 W · 93 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Sentinels57c944.74$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.098743.7%38 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Disguised40c879.09$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.431,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed Disguised41c865.93$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.0323938.1%91 W · 148 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sentinels73c840.89$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.052,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Disguised3c800$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242181.8%4 W · 214 L+0.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid+37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43ff…a491backed Disguised41c771.68$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.3918554.1%100 W · 85 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Disguised9c761.23$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.860053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Sentinels59c760.16$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.6714247.2%67 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Sentinels60c724.19$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.6812352%64 W · 59 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e25…d2ffbacked Disguised41c719.92$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.174465.9%29 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Sentinels54c693.31$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.921,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Sentinels78c689.61$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.8349841.6%207 W · 291 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Disguised42c689.43$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.5621440.2%86 W · 128 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4c8…86b4backed Sentinels60c672.7$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.4219157.1%109 W · 82 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Sentinels60c657.82$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.1312850%64 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Sentinels67c621.05$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.0866845.5%304 W · 364 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Sentinels60c603.14$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.2518653.2%99 W · 87 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf727…2aecbacked Sentinels56c600$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2641861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+25.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Sentinels51c577.2$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.8343442.4%184 W · 250 L+18.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58e3…c540backed Disguised36c573.97$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.3115146.4%70 W · 81 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd507…a6ddbacked Disguised40c543.86$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.230035%105 W · 195 L-21.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sentinels60c535.96$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.3999338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe081…fc19backed Disguised41c517.59$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.217630.3%23 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Disguised40c515$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20685836.2%311 W · 547 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Sentinels56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22035243.2%152 W · 200 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Disguised41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2052744.4%12 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Sentinels55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2259347.3%44 W · 49 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa88b…976cbacked Disguised40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5511…5734backed Disguised40c499.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9924029.2%70 W · 170 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Sentinels60c493.86$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.544257.1%24 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Disguised8c490$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.81,05823.5%249 W · 809 L-75.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x76f3…e0edbacked Disguised15c486.95$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.09450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5192…df62backed Disguised41c470.54$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.922030%6 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-57.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6fdd…d385backed Disguised17c441.88$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.126162.3%38 W · 23 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+36.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Disguised18c428.96$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3842250%211 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Disguised43c414.84$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.5273237.7%276 W · 456 L-51.5wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Sentinels57c405.56$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.923,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Sentinels61c390.64$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3526859.7%160 W · 108 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Sentinels74c383.16$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0478043.1%336 W · 444 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8df…8a93backed Disguised7c380.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.33616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04c4…19fbbacked Disguised19c375.55$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3613652.2%71 W · 65 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7044…2eb6backed Sentinels55c374$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.7433857.1%193 W · 145 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10cf…60cfbacked Disguised47c346.21$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.668943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Sentinels61c332.04$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.510165.3%66 W · 35 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Sentinels60c329.89$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.967865.4%51 W · 27 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x197c…544bbacked Disguised42c327.42$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.525358.5%31 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Disguised41c325.95$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.6424741.3%102 W · 145 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Disguised22c324.18$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.771,06347.2%502 W · 561 L-2.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Disguised22c321.19$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.851,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4523…7adebacked Sentinels61c304.7$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.833464.7%22 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Sentinels61c304.19$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.634252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1173…1d74backed Disguised26c301.55$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4633040.3%133 W · 197 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0caa…b2bdbacked Sentinels56c294.72$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.6820556.6%116 W · 89 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Sentinels60c292.8$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.123053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Disguised18c288.85$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0148747%229 W · 258 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.