Lol · resolved market
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5ab07dd7349b3fdae4108e5db7969c430d5beaecdef5ec81bf98c233a2de238
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof Sentinels, Disguised
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Disguised | 45c | 14,736$6,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,630.88 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Sentinels | 56c | 8,984$5,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,958.23 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Sentinels | 51c | 4,765$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.14 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Sentinels | 53c | 4,065$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.37 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Sentinels | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 1,482 | 50%741 W · 741 L | +65.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Disguised | 43c | 3,000$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.17 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Disguised | 52c | 2,141$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.5 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Disguised | 45c | 1,993$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.03 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Sentinels | 58c | 1,949$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.53 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…ffbebacked Sentinels | 58c | 1,345$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.71 | 87 | 67.8%59 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Disguised | 42c | 1,303$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.69 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Sentinels | 55c | 1,260$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.92 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Disguised | 51c | 1,185$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.19 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed Disguised | 53c | 1,168$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.71 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Disguised | 47c | 1,129$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.62 | 903 | 37.5%339 W · 564 L | -18.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…3fd1backed Sentinels | 63c | 1,114$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.26 | 941 | 34.5%325 W · 616 L | +33.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Sentinels | 54c | 1,105$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.09 | 1,792 | 51.1%916 W · 876 L | +50.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…4ca4backed Disguised | 44c | 1,098$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.2 | 150 | 62%93 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Disguised | 51c | 1,091$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.13 | 856 | 52.2%447 W · 409 L | +34.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Disguised | 43c | 1,050$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.02 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Disguised | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1,149 | 45.2%519 W · 630 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Sentinels | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.99 | 2,152 | 53.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L | +58.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Sentinels | 55c | 995.03$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.77 | 834 | 60.8%507 W · 327 L | +44.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Disguised | 61c | 969.83$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.29 | 137 | 61.3%84 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sentinels | 56c | 926.87$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.82 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Sentinels | 51c | 752.11$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.3 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed4d…6a0bbacked Disguised | 45c | 725.29$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.38 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Disguised | 42c | 700$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Disguised | 18c | 689.77$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.44 | 1,726 | 29.4%507 W · 1,219 L | -124.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Sentinels | 65c | 613.94$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.54 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Disguised | 48c | 574.1$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.03 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Disguised | 44c | 561.68$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.14 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Disguised | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…17e0backed Disguised | 6c | 499.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 7.3%8 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Sentinels | 53c | 497.02$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.54 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Sentinels | 55c | 486.64$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.71 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Sentinels | 55c | 486.5$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.92 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…fc19backed Disguised | 44c | 483.2$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.61 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sentinels | 50c | 470.62$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.46 | 2,303 | 39.4%907 W · 1,396 L | -82.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…e77bbacked Disguised | 43c | 449.21$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.16 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1e…6b97backed Sentinels | 53c | 442.4$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.05 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Sentinels | 52c | 436.26$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.89 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Sentinels | 53c | 411.11$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.89 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Sentinels | 58c | 386.02$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.13 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Disguised | 25c | 382.45$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 1,660 | 59.5%987 W · 673 L | +97.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Disguised | 45c | 380.5$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.22 | 108 | 31.5%34 W · 74 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cd…9f3ebacked Disguised | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 152 | 57.9%88 W · 64 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Sentinels | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Disguised | 44c | 351.42$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.62 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Disguised | 42c | 332.57$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.68 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Disguised | 44c | 331.48$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.85 | 642 | 43%276 W · 366 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed Disguised | 49c | 327.64$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.93 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ad…2267backed Sentinels | 61c | 287.12$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.68 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Sentinels | 69c | 286.32$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 268 | 44%118 W · 150 L | -37.1wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed Sentinels | 58c | 284.39$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.67 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Sentinels | 53c | 243.16$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.88 | 466 | 50.9%237 W · 229 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Disguised | 23c | 239.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.93 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sentinels | 56c | 227.53$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 2,820 | 41.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Disguised | 6c | 225.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 236 | 24.6%58 W · 178 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Disguised | 31c | 219.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.06 | 796 | 50.6%403 W · 393 L | +47.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…51bbbacked Disguised | 44c | 218.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.65 | 826 | 50%413 W · 413 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Disguised | 43c | 202.14$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.92 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Sentinels | 53c | 181.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.53 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f7…aebbbacked Disguised | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Sentinels | 55c | 155.68$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Disguised | 50c | 149.77$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.89 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Sentinels | 48c | 145.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 500 | 45.6%228 W · 272 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Disguised | 37c | 138.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 2,903 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,784 L | -117.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ade0backed Sentinels | 65c | 135.56$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Disguised | 33c | 133.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Disguised | 40c | 132.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Disguised | 41c | 122$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Disguised | 42c | 121.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 311 | 37.6%117 W · 194 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…5d9bbacked Sentinels | 57c | 116.43$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 407 | 52.3%213 W · 194 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Disguised | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 428 | 47.9%205 W · 223 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723d…05d7backed Disguised | 44c | 107.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…6c11backed Sentinels | 50c | 105.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 367 | 49.9%183 W · 184 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed Disguised | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 330 | 40.3%133 W · 197 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Sentinels | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked Disguised | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,009 | 49.2%496 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Sentinels | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e2…7283backed Sentinels | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Sentinels | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 480 | 35.4%170 W · 310 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Disguised | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…def4backed Disguised | 52c | 94.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Disguised | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…b6f3backed Sentinels | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6af6…c777backed Sentinels | 51c | 88.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Sentinels | 56c | 86.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 461 | 54.9%253 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Disguised | 50c | 81.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 696 | 44.4%309 W · 387 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Sentinels | 55c | 77.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4f…3cbabacked Sentinels | 52c | 71.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 226 | 66.4%150 W · 76 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…f87ebacked Sentinels | 50c | 67.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 399 | 40.4%161 W · 238 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Sentinels | 58c | 67.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 382 | 57.9%221 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Disguised | 45c | 64.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 303 | 41.6%126 W · 177 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Disguised | 55c | 62.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 1,207 | 40%483 W · 724 L | -63.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Disguised | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Disguised | 42c | 58.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Disguised | 54c | 54.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Sentinels | 58c | 54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier PlayoffsSentinels won
- LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 WinnerSentinels won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.