Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24688d708149e4fb2a05053d516336e336207e4ddd8dda485cca41e51a29110b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,539,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,021,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,539,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,470 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed No | 50c | 259,772$130,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130,954.42 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed No | 49c | 256,072$124,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124,427.3 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 50c | 209,286$104,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,526.1 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Yes | 53c | 159,873$84,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,141.22 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 51c | 129,950$66,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,556.22 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 51c | 105,337$53,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,722.03 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 50c | 75,708$37,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,856.59 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b032backed Yes | 49c | 44,739$21,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,816.7 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 49c | 36,383$17,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,437.44 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Yes | 49c | 29,722$14,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,158.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x333d…134ebacked Yes | 49c | 29,676$14,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,134.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 27,773$9,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,730.92 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9c…4695backed Yes | 49c | 27,333$13,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,854.3 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 50c | 26,856$13,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,428.18 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 51c | 25,359$12,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,819.23 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 49c | 24,271$11,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,378.03 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 48c | 20,923$9,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,982.09 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 54c | 20,528$11,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,406.1 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 49c | 20,479$10,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,130.73 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 51c | 20,201$10,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,302.56 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 49c | 19,873$9,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,135.08 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed No | 51c | 19,412$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,900.12 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Yes | 50c | 19,400$9,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,700 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…f526backed No | 50c | 19,272$9,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,635.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 50c | 19,134$9,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,518.42 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 51c | 18,158$9,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,260.42 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 52c | 18,032$9,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,376.43 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 31c | 16,981$5,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,223.56 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa560…f42ebacked Yes | 50c | 16,521$8,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,278.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 37c | 15,432$5,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,693.25 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes | 49c | 14,002$6,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,174.36 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 4c | 12,910$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.15 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 11c | 12,877$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.16 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 50c | 12,556$6,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,261.66 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed No | 52c | 12,140$6,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,312.8 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 50c | 12,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Yes | 73c | 11,730$8,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,190.27 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…474abacked No | 50c | 11,170$5,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,584.94 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes | 48c | 10,572$5,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,535.22 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 57c | 10,481$5,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,533.57 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e55…01bbbacked No | 50c | 10,271$5,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,135.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ae…aa9bbacked No | 50c | 10,187$5,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,093.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes | 50c | 10,168$5,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,083.77 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 48c | 10,000$4,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,784.92 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Yes | 49c | 9,887$4,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,017.65 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 48c | 9,779$4,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,733.3 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 9,774$4,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,914.83 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb30…51e2backed No | 50c | 9,592$4,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,796 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c90…1b59backed No | 50c | 9,468$4,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,734 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc788…8545backed Yes | 50c | 9,446$4,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,723.1 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d3…0560backed No | 50c | 9,400$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2adb…3088backed No | 50c | 9,342$4,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,671 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 63c | 9,118$5,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,329.87 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 18c | 9,081$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.07 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Yes | 66c | 8,198$5,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.15 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 48c | 8,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.84 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 51c | 7,910$4,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,034 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 50c | 7,760$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,880 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fec…62f0backed No | 52c | 7,700$4,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,003.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 50c | 7,529$3,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,764.32 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 48c | 7,500$3,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,584.99 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 7,336$3,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,676.37 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 68c | 7,095$4,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.13 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…245dbacked Yes | 68c | 6,882$4,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 48c | 6,862$3,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,568.41 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…2e36backed Yes | 49c | 6,784$3,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,459.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 54c | 6,699$3,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,114.35 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c3…dbb5backed Yes | 49c | 6,525$3,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,327.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Yes | 50c | 5,892$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945.89 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…7cf5backed No | 50c | 5,138$2,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,568.87 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 49c | 5,000$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed No | 52c | 4,856$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.12 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…7f37backed Yes | 50c | 4,772$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,386.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 23c | 4,672$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.68 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes | 50c | 4,500$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.92 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Yes | 48c | 4,037$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.07 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 22c | 4,012$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.58 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 48c | 4,009$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.57 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Yes | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…6225backed Yes | 50c | 3,977$1,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba2…1650backed Yes | 49c | 3,957$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.93 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46e4…177ebacked No | 0c | 3,827$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 51c | 3,808$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.91 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e5…905bbacked Yes | 49c | 3,684$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 50c | 3,581$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.62 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes | 50c | 3,561$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.75 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42ff…6ecebacked Yes | 50c | 3,542$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 50c | 3,395$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.5 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed No | 1c | 3,333$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Yes | 49c | 3,189$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.38 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb47…2bb6backed No | 47c | 3,182$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 61c | 3,114$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.21 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed No | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.98 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…a640backed Yes | 53c | 2,915$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 52c | 2,914$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.07 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Yes | 49c | 2,908$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.18 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Yes | 49c | 2,908$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.18 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?this page
- Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27?No won
- Will Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.