Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4f7d86e2df4f1fe3863ceaafe42f1b0dc57e83aa22a503ac71726f33ed6adba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06c0…bc23backed No | 75c | 40,451$30,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,112.67 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 25,160$6,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,290 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 4c | 10,581$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.22 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes | 11c | 8,332$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 80c | 7,217$5,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.34 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3f…5a2abacked No | 75c | 6,767$5,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 15c | 6,470$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.9 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 26c | 4,961$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.64 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 76c | 4,957$3,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.65 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 5c | 3,998$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 74c | 3,457$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.77 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 7c | 3,403$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.05 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 3,189$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.21 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6657…8e4fbacked No | 77c | 3,136$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes | 11c | 2,364$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.72 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed No | 75c | 2,200$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.96 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47b3…039cbacked No | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…c986backed Yes | 24c | 1,807$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.64 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cc…85edbacked No | 76c | 1,777$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 14c | 1,460$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.19 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 21c | 1,270$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.73 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 26c | 1,195$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.57 | 344 | 28.8%99 W · 245 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd404…b4ebbacked Yes | 21c | 1,184$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.63 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Yes | 25c | 1,153$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.15 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b90…52aebacked Yes | 8c | 1,152$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a9…dc10backed Yes | 8c | 1,122$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…1553backed Yes | 3c | 1,100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 25c | 1,065$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.25 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 25c | 1,007$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.75 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 26c | 992.35$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.01 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 25c | 968.24$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.06 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…920fbacked Yes | 26c | 955.6$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 25c | 875.6$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.9 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba2…1650backed Yes | 11c | 860.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.66 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 11c | 851.94$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.71 | 137 | 21.2%29 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 3c | 826.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Yes | 11c | 800$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked No | 75c | 788$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes | 26c | 735.08$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.12 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 26c | 735.08$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.12 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 16c | 662.79$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.9 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 75c | 656.67$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.17 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 26c | 551.31$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.34 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 25c | 541.72$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.43 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 75c | 538.48$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes | 5c | 501.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 23.2%42 W · 139 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 17c | 485.6$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…c640backed No | 74c | 457.74$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.01 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 45cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…b11abacked Yes | 25c | 456.11$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 21c | 453.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 236 | 32.2%76 W · 160 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c39…ca9dbacked Yes | 21c | 453.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 11c | 440.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 74c | 439.48$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.26 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Yes | 21c | 423.79$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 74c | 400.04$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.01 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked No | 75c | 394$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Yes | 26c | 390.92$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.64 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73d…8ef8backed No | 75c | 383.64$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…fcc9backed Yes | 26c | 370.92$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 37cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 74c | 364.65$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.81 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 15c | 347.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 13c | 341.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 26c | 330.78$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 25c | 320.31$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2943…10fbbacked Yes | 6c | 316.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 17c | 311.28$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Yes | 25c | 291.76$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.54 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…89fdbacked Yes | 23c | 290.29$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 25c | 283.4$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d2…208dbacked Yes | 5c | 282.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 18c | 279.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 11c | 262.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…f045backed Yes | 21c | 258.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…457bbacked Yes | 17c | 257.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 25c | 257.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 532 | 40%213 W · 319 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…517cbacked Yes | 21c | 225.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 25c | 222$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d6…679abacked Yes | 11c | 220.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 23c | 219.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Yes | 26c | 216.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 15c | 215.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 74c | 201.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked Yes | 26c | 200.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…d4cebacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -17.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 74c | 196.07$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2812…9c8bbacked Yes | 13c | 194.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…554bbacked Yes | 26c | 193.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3940…9e72backed Yes | 25c | 191$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 155 | 34.8%54 W · 101 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 25c | 191$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…c483backed Yes | 15c | 188.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 26c | 183.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed Yes | 9c | 183.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 26c | 183.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 26c | 183.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27?No won
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.