TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x59db…2e36

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
290
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tennis, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 63 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT14772.8%107 W · 40 L+19.7wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+22.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
Tennis — the 147 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Dominika Salkova vs Susan Bandecchibacked Dominika Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$182.9
Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,977Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,976.85
Madrid Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Jan Choinskibacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+64.3%+$10.7
Madrid Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Moez Echarguibacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.74
Madrid Open, Qualification: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.64
Oeiras 4: Francesca Jones vs Guiomar Maristanybacked Guiomar Maristany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.87
Shymkent: Svyatoslav Gulin vs Max Hans Rehbergbacked Svyatoslav Gulin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$18.36
Madrid Open, Qualification: Quentin Halys vs Jaime Fariabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.14
Oeiras 4: Sofia Costoulas vs Anouk Koevermansbacked Sofia Costoulas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.3
Madrid Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Julieta Parejabacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.64
Madrid Open, Qualification: Luca Van Assche vs Diego Dedura-Palomerobacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.87
Rome: Henri Squire vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Henri Squire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.91
Madrid Open, Qualification: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Veronika Erjavecbacked Tyra Caterina Grant · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$15.83
Oeiras 4: Greet Minnen vs Carole Monnetbacked Carole Monnet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42
Madrid Open, Qualification: Viktoriya Tomova vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkovabacked Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.71
Madrid Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Nuria Brancacciobacked Anna Blinkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$13.07
Shymkent: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Gijs Brouwerbacked Petr Bar Biryukov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$13.79
Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Borna Gojobacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.71
Madrid Open, Qualification: Donna Vekic vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.73
Shymkent: Tomasz Berkieta vs Jelle Selsbacked Jelle Sels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+58%+$11.9
Madrid Open, Qualification: Elvina Kalieva vs Suzan Lamensbacked Elvina Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.99
Madrid Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$10.47
Gwangju: Mark Lajal vs Maximus Jonesbacked Maximus Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.18
Madrid Open, Qualification: Nikola Bartunkova vs Katarzyna Kawabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$10.32
Showing 25 of 147 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT3080%24 W · 6 L+6.1wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+33%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.01
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,385Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$846.15
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,499.99
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+84.1%+$50.67
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+71.6%+$64.44
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+112.3%+$80.85
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$99
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+131.3%+$89.26
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$83.12
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$41.68
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$16.34
Wizards vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+149.8%+$137.78
Suns vs. Bullsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$17.05
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$18.83
Grizzlies vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$25.49
Cavaliers vs. Warriorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$107.35
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.99
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$66.26
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$107.35
Cavaliers vs. Jazzbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$36.45
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$66.26
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$13.61
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.98
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT2646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,127.49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72%+$28.97
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$162.58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.66
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.8
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$68.75
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.12
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28%+$128.22
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,267.79
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$523.16
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$983Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$480.69
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$49.33
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.37
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+400%+$160
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$104
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$65
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-34.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.46
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.2
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.1
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.01
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.13
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.95
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.97
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$806Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$806
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$307.8
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.28
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.1
England vs. Croatia: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$71.4
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.3
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$290
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$581Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$248.97
France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$130.49
France vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$56
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$79.77
All 24 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 4 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$112.67
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$51.41
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 4 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
LoL: Dignitas vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+41%+$42.79
LoL: Disguised vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$18.97
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$94.68
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$64.4
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$69.63
LoL: paiN Gaming vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked paiN Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 15 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.99
Tianjin Pioneers vs. Xinjiang Flying Tigersbacked Tianjin Pioneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+65%+$112.87
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.92
Sichuan Blue Whales vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$77.27
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Nanjing Monkey Kingbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+56%+$68.86
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Beijing Royal Fighters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+58.4%+$28.39
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.99
Qingdao Eagles vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Qingdao Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.98
Real Madrid vs. Anadolu Efesbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$19.75
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Nanjing Monkey Kingbacked Beijing Royal Fighters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.12
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.99
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$228.17
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$354.01
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$60.96
Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+68%+$109.87
All 5 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AFC Ajax vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$58.8
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$39.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$447.75
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$68.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+1,860.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,860.8%+$1,860.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,324Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$3,459.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,024Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$2,575.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$197.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,822Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,519.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$158.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-08-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,939Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,938.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.