TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Ningbo Rockets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Beijing Royal Fightersof Beijing Royal Fighters, Ningbo Rockets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,914
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,544

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,914 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Beijing Royal Fighters66c3,964$2,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.9116828.6%48 W · 120 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Ningbo Rockets45c3,744$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6883345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad1a…3538backed Ningbo Rockets11c3,570$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.04922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Beijing Royal Fighters65c2,203$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.8854251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Ningbo Rockets33c1,541$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.216235.2%57 W · 105 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Ningbo Rockets35c1,520$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.782748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Ningbo Rockets32c1,443$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.764427.3%12 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe21e…f216backed Ningbo Rockets44c1,138$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Ningbo Rockets33c993.18$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.682133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed Ningbo Rockets34c952.74$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.933455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e4…0398backed Beijing Royal Fighters67c902.94$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Ningbo Rockets26c885.24$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.9428943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Beijing Royal Fighters59c847.32$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.9614037.9%53 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Beijing Royal Fighters56c808.2$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.676246.8%29 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Ningbo Rockets18c672.34$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6936939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Ningbo Rockets14c601.08$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Ningbo Rockets45c555$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.755949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Beijing Royal Fighters65c538.46$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.461163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Ningbo Rockets30c496.72$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1484920.4%10 W · 39 L-7.5wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-48.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Ningbo Rockets21c462.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2143543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ningbo Rockets43c440.23$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.8724430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Ningbo Rockets36c426.84$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.6510634.9%37 W · 69 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Ningbo Rockets36c401.56$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.562937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x997b…641bbacked Ningbo Rockets27c400$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-54.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Ningbo Rockets34c397.52$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.6110736.4%39 W · 68 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7963…78a1backed Beijing Royal Fighters69c360.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.43875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Beijing Royal Fighters66c350.85$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.858760.9%53 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Beijing Royal Fighters67c330.4$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.038936%32 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x779a…1f08backed Ningbo Rockets16c308.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09c0…9740backed Beijing Royal Fighters69c295.79$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.795100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Beijing Royal Fighters64c282.87$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6522231.5%70 W · 152 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Ningbo Rockets36c278.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Beijing Royal Fighters61c273.18$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4631446.2%145 W · 169 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Beijing Royal Fighters65c271.18$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0126935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Beijing Royal Fighters76c236.73$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.836142.6%26 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Beijing Royal Fighters65c233.8$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.838453.6%45 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked Beijing Royal Fighters65c230.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.771090%9 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick62cpaid+42.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Ningbo Rockets36c211$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.962941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Ningbo Rockets28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a48…3e67backed Ningbo Rockets7c200$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe2…e4d2backed Beijing Royal Fighters67c197$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.01966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+75.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Ningbo Rockets46c193.48$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Ningbo Rockets19c184.21$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354434.1%15 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Ningbo Rockets24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010926.6%29 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6211…e2fabacked Beijing Royal Fighters65c155.63$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Beijing Royal Fighters65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.855100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Ningbo Rockets8c152.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.494431.8%14 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Beijing Royal Fighters65c151.51$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.034151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Beijing Royal Fighters67c149.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.37887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick72cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Beijing Royal Fighters67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Beijing Royal Fighters67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+46.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c38…291fbacked Beijing Royal Fighters68c148.75$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.16366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ningbo Rockets35c147.94$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8112042.5%51 W · 69 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Ningbo Rockets35c141.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-72.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Beijing Royal Fighters66c136.49$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.316962.3%43 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Beijing Royal Fighters62c136.28$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.157462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd2bc…a4c6backed Ningbo Rockets11c132.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Ningbo Rockets34c125.53$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.126848.5%33 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x931f…2e44backed Ningbo Rockets29c117.38$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.841353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Ningbo Rockets33c114$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.319946.5%46 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe490…8e6cbacked Ningbo Rockets28c108.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.81450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Beijing Royal Fighters59c105$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.629851%50 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Beijing Royal Fighters69c102.9$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Ningbo Rockets27c101.44$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.325517.6%45 W · 210 L-29.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Beijing Royal Fighters67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3313751.1%70 W · 67 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Ningbo Rockets41c99.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4127338.1%104 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Beijing Royal Fighters79c93.55$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7735234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Ningbo Rockets34c85.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1319748.2%95 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1193…d9c4backed Ningbo Rockets30c83.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.281533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Beijing Royal Fighters60c83.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.126663.6%42 W · 24 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Ningbo Rockets37c81.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1311635.3%41 W · 75 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Beijing Royal Fighters80c81.25$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.254447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Beijing Royal Fighters71c80.77$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.222729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc47a…68e6backed Beijing Royal Fighters66c78$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59db…2e36backed Beijing Royal Fighters63c76.96$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.391050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe253…b9c7backed Ningbo Rockets37c76.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.982642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Beijing Royal Fighters78c72.24$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.916144.3%27 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Beijing Royal Fighters65c71.43$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Beijing Royal Fighters54c71.21$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.542955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x917b…e433backed Beijing Royal Fighters63c70.88$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.321435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2280…3780backed Beijing Royal Fighters70c70.76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.434264.3%27 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5928…9ac6backed Beijing Royal Fighters67c70.15$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Beijing Royal Fighters70c69.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.552733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Ningbo Rockets16c66.58$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.34229.1%2 W · 20 L-5.1wins-0.23per pick32cpaid-76%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8ea8…077dbacked Beijing Royal Fighters62c65.46$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.562231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.5wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-48.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Beijing Royal Fighters63c65.38$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.482634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-44%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Beijing Royal Fighters63c65.05$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.151546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Beijing Royal Fighters63c65.05$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.152236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-42.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Beijing Royal Fighters62c64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.154533.3%15 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Beijing Royal Fighters53c62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.086844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Ningbo Rockets34c57.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.49771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+36.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Ningbo Rockets24c56.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5260%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Beijing Royal Fighters70c52.41$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.681752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Ningbo Rockets22c52.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.532050%10 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec45…6ba6backed Beijing Royal Fighters64c52.08$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.67650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+56.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Beijing Royal Fighters71c51.94$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.124734%16 W · 31 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-49.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Beijing Royal Fighters64c51$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4813545.9%62 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Beijing Royal Fighters66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Beijing Royal Fighters63c48.8$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.122245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe109…d36ebacked Ningbo Rockets33c45.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.91127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.