NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Thunder

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26bcc867545076fce8cdcc91db31699b0598dec3aeac0ad0575d1d582b730cfe

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Thunderof Pistons, Thunder
Resolved: Mar 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,859,352
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,902,664

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,859,352 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 964 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Pistons	17c	139,323$23,352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,351.72	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Pistons	26c	105,230$27,311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,310.68	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons	15c	96,810$14,522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,521.53	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons	18c	72,361$12,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,850.29	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033d…fd1ebacked Pistons	12c	69,691$8,563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,562.79	102	52%53 W · 49 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Pistons	14c	58,538$8,464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,463.8	102	25.5%26 W · 76 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Pistons	15c	48,814$7,322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,322.16	325	40.3%131 W · 194 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30d1…cd88backed Pistons	13c	47,071$6,119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,119.2	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Pistons	12c	38,600$4,628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,627.94	141	7.8%11 W · 130 L	-7.8wins	-0.06per pick	13cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons	15c	35,543$5,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,439.65	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons	25c	35,414$8,733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,732.7	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pistons	19c	33,550$6,517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,517.14	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d03…9e27backed Pistons	12c	33,218$3,829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,828.6	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Thunder	76c	30,048$22,808 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,239.55	224	57.1%128 W · 96 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Pistons	17c	30,000$5,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,100	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Pistons	16c	29,934$4,692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,691.9	102	39.2%40 W · 62 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Pistons	26c	29,192$7,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,565.98	82	25.6%21 W · 61 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons	15c	26,726$4,099 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,098.68	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Pistons	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	227	0%0 W · 227 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Pistons	13c	22,424$2,819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,818.8	163	46.6%76 W · 87 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd57d…80d0backed Pistons	10c	21,264$2,073 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,073.47	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	+3.0wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Pistons	7c	20,305$1,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,421.33	190	33.7%64 W · 126 L	+8.3wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64de…25a1backed Pistons	22c	20,000$4,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,400	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd20f…2f35backed Pistons	60c	18,240$10,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,890.36	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Thunder	67c	16,150$10,780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,370.14	344	56.7%195 W · 149 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Pistons	16c	13,224$2,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,115.92	418	32.8%137 W · 281 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Pistons	18c	12,828$2,267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,266.65	397	44.3%176 W · 221 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Thunder	79c	12,596$9,904 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,691.89	101	44.6%45 W · 56 L	-9.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x14cc…7c02backed Pistons	16c	11,373$1,820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,819.76	138	42.8%59 W · 79 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Thunder	77c	10,993$8,494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,498.46	478	56.5%270 W · 208 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Thunder	78c	10,465$8,119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,345.76	96	55.2%53 W · 43 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons	14c	10,392$1,492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,492.05	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Thunder	78c	10,347$8,086 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,261.28	374	48.7%182 W · 192 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Thunder	78c	10,014$7,853 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,161.49	894	44.4%397 W · 497 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed Pistons	16c	10,001$1,641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,641.39	129	38.8%50 W · 79 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Pistons	15c	9,991$1,498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,497.68	174	36.2%63 W · 111 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Pistons	17c	9,915$1,686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,685.61	470	43.8%206 W · 264 L	-22.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Pistons	15c	9,715$1,457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,457.27	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Pistons	21c	9,630$1,979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,979.14	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Pistons	15c	9,560$1,398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,397.86	181	40.3%73 W · 108 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Thunder	53c	9,278$4,926 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,352.16	109	52.3%57 W · 52 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9410…ffcdbacked Pistons	4c	9,122$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.68	40	30%12 W · 28 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Pistons	13c	8,983$1,179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,179.23	619	39.6%245 W · 374 L	-17.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Pistons	13c	8,978$1,141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,141.45	341	36.1%123 W · 218 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ccc…f2dabacked Pistons	74c	8,374$6,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,196.8	50	64%32 W · 18 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9f…b921backed Pistons	25c	8,334$2,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,081.6	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a84…ffbbbacked Pistons	12c	8,281$994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$993.66	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	-9.9wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Thunder	64c	8,000$5,090 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,910	384	34.9%134 W · 250 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…9f97backed Pistons	13c	7,795$993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$993.33	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	+139.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd56…048fbacked Pistons	13c	7,777$1,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,011	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Thunder	77c	7,709$5,936 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,773.12	199	57.8%115 W · 84 L	+18.2wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Pistons	13c	7,651$1,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,002.27	113	42.5%48 W · 65 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pistons	14c	7,625$1,068 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,067.51	724	50.7%367 W · 357 L	+13.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Thunder	79c	7,531$5,949 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,582.17	356	50%178 W · 178 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7b…124abacked Pistons	14c	7,353$993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$992.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc21e…0215backed Pistons	14c	7,194$1,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,007.14	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Pistons	37c	7,192$2,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,650.08	113	35.4%40 W · 73 L	-8.0wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pistons	15c	7,000$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050.03	1,197	46.7%559 W · 638 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Pistons	2c	6,979$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.42	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pistons	12c	6,721$806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$806.49	1,758	48.7%856 W · 902 L	+28.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Pistons	32c	6,524$2,088 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,087.72	272	51.1%139 W · 133 L	+10.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Thunder	77c	6,500$5,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,474.99	433	52.2%226 W · 207 L	+19.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pistons	20c	6,493$1,286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,286	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed Pistons	50c	6,289$3,164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,164.1	115	58.3%67 W · 48 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Pistons	14c	6,073$850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$850.19	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pistons	16c	6,051$968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$968.13	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Pistons	4c	5,876$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.21	173	31.8%55 W · 118 L	-8.0wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Pistons	14c	5,767$805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$804.69	118	43.2%51 W · 67 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Thunder	26c	5,714$1,486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,228.41	165	47.3%78 W · 87 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+56.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Pistons	13c	5,316$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$696.97	184	40.8%75 W · 109 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Pistons	16c	5,234$862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$862.08	360	23.1%83 W · 277 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Pistons	11c	5,208$595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595.16	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Pistons	12c	5,135$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$596.06	112	35.7%40 W · 72 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe509…4245backed Pistons	25c	5,110$1,296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,295.88	106	53.8%57 W · 49 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Pistons	2c	5,056$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.11	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0287…8a29backed Pistons	14c	5,014$702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$701.99	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.19per pick	37cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x740e…8bfbbacked Thunder	70c	4,972$3,490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,481.6	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-2.5wins	-0.25per pick	35cpaid	-85.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x31a6…0dcfbacked Pistons	16c	4,960$794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$793.55	170	28.8%49 W · 121 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Pistons	16c	4,960$794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$793.55	128	44.5%57 W · 71 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Thunder	70c	4,937$3,456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,481.1	126	49.2%62 W · 64 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pistons	0c	4,805$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.95	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea0…e902backed Pistons	16c	4,793$745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$745.32	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.18per pick	35cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Thunder	79c	4,737$3,735 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,002.2	1,055	49.9%526 W · 529 L	+29.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pistons	20c	4,698$949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$949.24	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…667dbacked Pistons	30c	4,623$1,374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,373.82	78	41%32 W · 46 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa115…6c5abacked Pistons	8c	4,617$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.17	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac32…6e3bbacked Thunder	71c	4,585$3,268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,316.86	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Pistons	9c	4,468$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.72	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+37.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pistons	20c	4,436$893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$892.65	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Pistons	26c	4,315$1,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,131.71	208	43.8%91 W · 117 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Pistons	15c	4,222$629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$629.06	237	47.7%113 W · 124 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Pistons	17c	4,167$727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$727.23	132	45.5%60 W · 72 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Pistons	13c	3,997$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.67	477	48.8%233 W · 244 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Pistons	14c	3,976$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$556.64	784	45.8%359 W · 425 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8781…bc3cbacked Thunder	66c	3,828$2,529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,298.52	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.16per pick	29cpaid	-2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Thunder	26c	3,802$988 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,813.3	625	39.4%246 W · 379 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Pistons	33c	3,786$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250.39	208	56.7%118 W · 90 L	+13.7wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked Pistons	13c	3,489$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.85	164	21.3%35 W · 129 L	-10.7wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa701…86a3backed Pistons	8c	3,452$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.9	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-56.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d5…db37backed Thunder	65c	3,419$2,218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,201.7	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Pistons vs. Thunderthis page
1H Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 11.5No won
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 15.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 15.5No won
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Pistons vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Over won
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
Ron Holland II: Points O/U 11.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Pistons won
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Pistons won
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Pistons won
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Pistons won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pistons vs. Thunder

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event