NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd66cfc36b5ff1e3498bcff4a96966a20b4dab384fffef3d955c2c2c27f4e977b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Thunder, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 49c | 5,865$2,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,866.32 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons | 52c | 4,626$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.04 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Pistons | 59c | 4,178$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.81 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Thunder | 23c | 3,550$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.5 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 47c | 2,643$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.56 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pistons | 75c | 2,605$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.18 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Pistons | 56c | 1,896$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.05 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Pistons | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Pistons | 48c | 1,497$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.27 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Thunder | 41c | 1,407$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.89 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Thunder | 47c | 1,293$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.36 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 43c | 1,228$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.13 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 48c | 1,121$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.45 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Pistons | 57c | 1,077$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 53c | 956.24$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.79 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Thunder | 50c | 906.52$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.26 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…f955backed Pistons | 56c | 865.25$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.71 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Thunder | 46c | 781.41$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.46 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Thunder | 45c | 751.48$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.44 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Thunder | 22c | 704.04$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.02 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Pistons | 53c | 662.25$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.26 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder | 45c | 623.5$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.67 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa392…1415backed Pistons | 50c | 588.8$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.4 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Thunder | 43c | 560.42$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.2 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Thunder | 48c | 518.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.02 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Pistons | 53c | 518.19$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.55 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff5…7bd9backed Pistons | 55c | 505.65$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Thunder | 44c | 481.41$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.82 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Thunder | 45c | 439.48$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.46 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Pistons | 55c | 420.67$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.28 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 56c | 402.72$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.3 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Pistons | 51c | 391.63$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.09 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Pistons | 55c | 384.43$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.63 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Pistons | 53c | 366.28$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.51 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 44c | 336.12$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.89 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Thunder | 44c | 322.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.2 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Pistons | 54c | 312.4$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.71 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Pistons | 54c | 293.31$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.92 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…26bbbacked Pistons | 57c | 291.3$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.04 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Thunder | 33c | 283.8$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.61 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…f706backed Thunder | 51c | 274.2$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.52 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Thunder | 47c | 270.75$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.04 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Pistons | 54c | 246.27$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.29 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Thunder | 44c | 238.47$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.93 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Thunder | 47c | 237.55$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.65 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Thunder | 43c | 222.37$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Thunder | 45c | 212.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Pistons | 52c | 206.86$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Thunder | 46c | 206.03$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.94 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…8c4dbacked Pistons | 68c | 205.59$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.79 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Pistons | 52c | 200.79$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.38 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Thunder | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Thunder | 37c | 198.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Thunder | 50c | 197$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Thunder | 46c | 180.63$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Pistons | 55c | 179.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Thunder | 41c | 173.17$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Pistons | 55c | 170.48$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44a…c4f8backed Pistons | 57c | 152.66$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.64 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Pistons | 67c | 139.62$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Thunder | 44c | 135.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Thunder | 43c | 133.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Pistons | 53c | 129.67$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.94 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Thunder | 32c | 123.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder | 47c | 117.45$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Thunder | 49c | 116.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Thunder | 23c | 115.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Thunder | 48c | 109.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Thunder | 40c | 106.81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Pistons | 53c | 102.09$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Thunder | 46c | 100.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Thunder | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Thunder | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Pistons | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Thunder | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Pistons | 64c | 98.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Pistons | 52c | 94.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Thunder | 49c | 93.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Pistons | 54c | 90.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Thunder | 46c | 90.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Pistons | 55c | 77.65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Thunder | 45c | 77.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Pistons | 51c | 76.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Pistons | 52c | 75.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Thunder | 48c | 73.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Pistons | 55c | 71.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Thunder | 36c | 69.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd831…30c1backed Pistons | 58c | 67.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Thunder | 44c | 59.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Thunder | 47c | 59.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 135 | 41.5%56 W · 79 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Pistons | 52c | 56.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 296 | 46.6%138 W · 158 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Pistons | 54c | 54.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…0a5cbacked Pistons | 52c | 51.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 368 | 42.4%156 W · 212 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…ada9backed Pistons | 58c | 50.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Thunder | 35c | 50.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9e…f670backed Pistons | 54c | 49.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Thunder | 44c | 44.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Pistons | 54c | 44.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Thunder | 49c | 41.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Pistons | 50c | 40.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Pistons vs. ThunderThunder won
- Pistons vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Ron Holland II: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.