NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfff2cc42562c1e5cdc5616c187f68d5b0eb650e3fcf786c992934386c5628792
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Thunder, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $746,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $751,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $746,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pistons | 47c | 366,616$173,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193,003.61 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Thunder | 53c | 246,758$129,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129,791.7 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons | 48c | 167,209$80,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,104.69 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Thunder | 52c | 153,345$79,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,739.52 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Thunder | 53c | 68,980$36,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,413.09 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons | 47c | 54,932$25,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,990.2 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…b215backed Thunder | 53c | 24,533$13,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,002.71 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pistons | 48c | 22,064$10,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,473.2 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Thunder | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,399.99 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 31c | 15,636$4,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,818.3 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Thunder | 53c | 12,266$6,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500.92 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200.05 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…c3c6backed Thunder | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Thunder | 52c | 8,888$4,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,621.76 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Pistons | 48c | 8,824$4,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,588.57 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 53c | 8,364$4,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,432.74 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Thunder | 52c | 6,880$3,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,581.48 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pistons | 54c | 6,608$3,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 56c | 5,594$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.07 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Thunder | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 43c | 4,298$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.36 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Thunder | 41c | 4,000$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Pistons | 48c | 3,335$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.95 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Pistons | 49c | 3,015$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.82 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Pistons | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.97 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Thunder | 53c | 2,970$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.16 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Thunder | 52c | 2,844$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.41 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Thunder | 53c | 2,755$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.25 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Thunder | 53c | 2,434$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.56 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Thunder | 53c | 2,431$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.28 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Pistons | 46c | 2,135$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.42 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Thunder | 40c | 2,080$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.35 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Thunder | 53c | 2,077$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.72 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Thunder | 53c | 2,057$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.09 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Thunder | 53c | 2,027$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.09 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Thunder | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Pistons | 48c | 1,970$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.42 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Thunder | 52c | 1,900$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Pistons | 43c | 1,893$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.41 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Thunder | 56c | 1,879$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.27 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Thunder | 53c | 1,827$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.46 | 186 | 48.9%91 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Thunder | 53c | 1,776$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.25 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…b79fbacked Thunder | 53c | 1,604$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.01 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Thunder | 53c | 1,542$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.05 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Thunder | 48c | 1,506$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.06 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Thunder | 1c | 1,299$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pistons | 63c | 1,292$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.45 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Thunder | 53c | 1,248$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.26 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Thunder | 53c | 1,223$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.93 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Thunder | 52c | 1,135$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.94 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Pistons | 49c | 1,069$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.2 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pistons | 47c | 1,063$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.32 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Pistons | 49c | 1,005$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.61 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Thunder | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Thunder | 53c | 985.05$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.08 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Thunder | 52c | 985.02$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.21 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Pistons | 48c | 985.02$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.21 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Thunder | 49c | 982.8$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.57 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Thunder | 53c | 929.3$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.53 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked Thunder | 53c | 884.97$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.03 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Thunder | 53c | 815.4$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.16 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Thunder | 52c | 757.71$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.01 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Pistons | 56c | 727.33$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.61 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Thunder | 52c | 722.98$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.95 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Thunder | 46c | 722.66$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.92 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Thunder | 36c | 715.03$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.5 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Thunder | 71c | 696.61$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.81 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pistons | 47c | 683.48$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.24 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pistons | 48c | 673.94$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.8 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Thunder | 46c | 665.84$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.38 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Thunder | 53c | 656.08$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.72 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…6ecbbacked Thunder | 52c | 616.93$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.64 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Thunder | 52c | 611.98$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.19 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ea…1b1abacked Thunder | 53c | 561.15$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.51 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Thunder | 47c | 560.73$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.54 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Thunder | 53c | 557.58$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.52 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Thunder | 39c | 538.36$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.79 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Thunder | 52c | 528.84$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 140 | 59.3%83 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Thunder | 53c | 525.39$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.46 | 306 | 54.6%167 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb149…0a3dbacked Thunder | 52c | 517.65$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.18 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Pistons | 48c | 513.03$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.78 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…e38cbacked Thunder | 59c | 505.72$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.03 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Thunder | 53c | 502.08$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.1 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 47c | 489.31$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.43 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Thunder | 57c | 486.3$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.19 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Thunder | 61c | 484.59$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.81 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Pistons | 47c | 479.74$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.26 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Pistons | 47c | 447.36$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.72 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…aa1ebacked Thunder | 53c | 440.32$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.37 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Thunder | 53c | 437.3$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.48 | 437 | 52.6%230 W · 207 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Pistons | 46c | 428.3$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.28 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Thunder | 52c | 424.55$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.76 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Pistons | 48c | 410.43$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.42 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Pistons | 53c | 408.89$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.18 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Pistons | 49c | 402.04$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.04 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…4b69backed Thunder | 21c | 399.32$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.91 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Thunder | 53c | 394.02$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.83 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Thunder | 52c | 394.01$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.88 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Thunder | 52c | 375.79$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.01 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -10.8wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Thunder | 51c | 375.43$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.47 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Pistons vs. ThunderThunder won
- Pistons vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Ron Holland II: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.