NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x040b3164fac2f9a069851f7a642756f23dbe6c83a231939ebcd5fa12fcf35ab7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Thunder, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Thunder | 50c | 17,730$8,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,841.12 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons | 49c | 15,241$7,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,711.1 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pistons | 51c | 7,856$4,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,849.56 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Thunder | 47c | 6,787$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,189.78 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Pistons | 50c | 4,156$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.97 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 52c | 3,990$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.34 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 48c | 3,908$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.51 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Thunder | 49c | 3,559$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.83 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Thunder | 30c | 3,299$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.67 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Thunder | 49c | 2,984$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.11 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons | 50c | 2,777$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.53 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd25…7d10backed Thunder | 49c | 2,440$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.54 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Pistons | 50c | 2,433$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.45 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Thunder | 51c | 2,214$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.91 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pistons | 51c | 2,125$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.13 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Thunder | 48c | 2,036$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.14 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Pistons | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 48c | 1,773$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.14 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pistons | 61c | 1,506$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.39 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Pistons | 52c | 1,467$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.3 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Pistons | 52c | 1,406$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.65 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pistons | 51c | 1,321$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.17 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Thunder | 43c | 1,217$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.84 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Thunder | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Thunder | 51c | 977.13$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.33 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…ee05backed Pistons | 51c | 849.81$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.41 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pistons | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Thunder | 34c | 749.31$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.67 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pistons | 49c | 716.9$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.62 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Thunder | 48c | 634.97$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.94 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons | 50c | 631.85$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.25 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6292…d254backed Thunder | 50c | 591$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.5 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 52c | 573.35$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.23 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Thunder | 52c | 568.28$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.51 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Thunder | 51c | 561.45$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.34 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38f…2589backed Pistons | 53c | 496.47$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Thunder | 47c | 491.5$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.03 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Thunder | 47c | 486.08$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.46 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Pistons | 47c | 479.9$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.1 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Thunder | 48c | 465.56$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.14 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Thunder | 50c | 446.21$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.1 | 165 | 55.8%92 W · 73 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Thunder | 48c | 382.09$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.4 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…83e6backed Pistons | 53c | 371.72$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.71 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Thunder | 47c | 362.42$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.43 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Thunder | 48c | 361.6$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.76 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Pistons | 53c | 354.48$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.6 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Pistons | 53c | 354.1$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.47 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Thunder | 47c | 317.38$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.17 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…a940backed Pistons | 48c | 307.82$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.07 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Pistons | 49c | 305.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.55 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Thunder | 49c | 304.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.45 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Thunder | 49c | 304.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.45 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Thunder | 49c | 300.17$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.08 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 39c | 289.65$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.54 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Thunder | 44c | 231.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Thunder | 48c | 225.92$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.71 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Thunder | 47c | 209.59$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…dab4backed Thunder | 48c | 205.21$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Pistons | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb89a…d883backed Thunder | 48c | 203.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Thunder | 49c | 201.02$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pistons | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Pistons | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Pistons | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Thunder | 49c | 198.61$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Thunder | 54c | 197.02$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.39 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Pistons | 50c | 197$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed Thunder | 52c | 189.19$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.47 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…f9d8backed Thunder | 45c | 189$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Thunder | 47c | 181.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 53c | 159.86$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.14 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Thunder | 47c | 152.54$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Thunder | 48c | 145.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Pistons | 48c | 143.65$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 173 | 31.8%55 W · 118 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Thunder | 48c | 141.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Pistons | 59c | 140.92$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.27 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Pistons | 53c | 137.91$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.82 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Thunder | 47c | 137.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Pistons | 45c | 130.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.54 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Thunder | 48c | 128.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Thunder | 49c | 123.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Pistons | 50c | 122.19$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.31 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Pistons | 51c | 118.64$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Thunder | 47c | 106.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Pistons | 51c | 103.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Thunder | 48c | 102.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Thunder | 48c | 102.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 679 | 49.8%338 W · 341 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked Thunder | 48c | 102.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Thunder | 49c | 100.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 135 | 41.5%56 W · 79 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…7340backed Thunder | 49c | 100.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Pistons | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e28…63d6backed Thunder | 50c | 99.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Pistons | 51c | 96.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Pistons | 47c | 94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Thunder | 48c | 93.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f2…fdb4backed Pistons | 53c | 92.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0fc2backed Thunder | 55c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Thunder | 56c | 89.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Thunder | 52c | 85.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Pistons | 66c | 84.84$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Pistons vs. ThunderThunder won
- Pistons vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Ron Holland II: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.