NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99d32be64dbe4f98fabb5f267dbd11a557d7151fc696a905cda411f147767390

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $266,712
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $271,672

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,712 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Over	52c	77,007$39,732 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,274.65	205	45.9%94 W · 111 L	-12.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over	51c	66,348$33,814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,533.79	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under	49c	35,000$17,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,150	246	50%123 W · 123 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over	50c	29,900$14,948 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,951.78	277	47.7%132 W · 145 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	49c	17,677$8,723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,722.72	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over	47c	16,966$7,908 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,058.01	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa136…ea3cbacked Under	48c	13,749$6,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,599.66	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Under	49c	13,000$6,370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,370	88	39.8%35 W · 53 L	-7.0wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Over	47c	10,000$4,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,299.99	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Under	50c	9,394$4,671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,671.22	173	49.7%86 W · 87 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under	53c	8,862$4,697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,696.68	159	52.8%84 W · 75 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under	54c	8,499$4,574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,574.23	359	42.1%151 W · 208 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	50c	8,391$4,187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,186.87	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under	48c	6,751$3,241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,240.53	219	43.4%95 W · 124 L	-12.7wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under	47c	6,578$3,118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,117.94	702	46.4%326 W · 376 L	-20.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Under	50c	5,783$2,892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,891.55	265	44.9%119 W · 146 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Under	49c	5,669$2,778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,778.02	124	50.8%63 W · 61 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under	48c	5,336$2,561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,561.06	183	49.2%90 W · 93 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	49c	5,280$2,594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,593.56	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under	48c	5,085$2,457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,456.51	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeaa…2ddfbacked Under	48c	5,050$2,424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,424.14	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x975b…3760backed Under	50c	5,015$2,508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,507.71	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Under	50c	4,849$2,425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,424.58	169	53.3%90 W · 79 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under	48c	4,538$2,178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,178.48	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over	53c	4,510$2,390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,119.5	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e63…641cbacked Under	48c	4,498$2,159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,158.94	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01ae…4385backed Under	48c	3,868$1,857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,856.64	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	52c	3,527$1,834 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,834.13	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under	48c	3,239$1,555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,554.6	316	43.4%137 W · 179 L	-18.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Over	47c	3,146$1,478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,668.04	208	43.8%91 W · 117 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Under	53c	3,084$1,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,634.63	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a8b…f2b1backed Under	48c	2,873$1,379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,379.03	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	48c	2,745$1,326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,419.44	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1f7…3976backed Under	50c	2,526$1,263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,263.16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under	50c	2,508$1,254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,253.76	357	49.6%177 W · 180 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	77c	2,498$1,912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,912.27	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under	49c	2,498$1,237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,236.5	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	49c	2,438$1,199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,198.7	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	51c	2,191$1,126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,064.06	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under	48c	2,150$1,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,031.91	149	40.9%61 W · 88 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under	51c	2,035$1,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,037.79	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under	49c	1,983$972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$971.54	310	46.8%145 W · 165 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Over	48c	1,970$946 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,024.42	517	53.8%278 W · 239 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Over	53c	1,852$985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$867.05	128	50%64 W · 64 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Under	50c	1,773$887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$886.5	79	51.9%41 W · 38 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under	52c	1,667$867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$866.84	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under	48c	1,501$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720.28	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over	51c	1,175$599 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$575.61	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under	52c	1,123$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$583.95	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Over	49c	1,041$507 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$533.24	84	44%37 W · 47 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Over	50c	1,008$505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$503.02	348	55.2%192 W · 156 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	47c	998.27$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.19	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over	51c	997$508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$488.53	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over	49c	820.51$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$418.46	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under	51c	787.21$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.48	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under	48c	584.86$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.73	197	45.2%89 W · 108 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Over	53c	556.63$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.62	87	63.2%55 W · 32 L	+5.4wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over	51c	556.28$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272.58	445	51.2%228 W · 217 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	53c	511.22$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.44	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under	51c	497.87$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.19	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a0d…82c9backed Under	56c	439.83$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.3	69	49.3%34 W · 35 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over	52c	435.68$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.13	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe226…95a5backed Over	51c	386.28$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.28	98	53.1%52 W · 46 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Under	53c	386.14$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.65	589	51.3%302 W · 287 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over	51c	374.46$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.48	516	47.5%245 W · 271 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Under	53c	371.72$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.01	190	45.8%87 W · 103 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Under	48c	328.34$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.6	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under	53c	300$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159	194	35.1%68 W · 126 L	-10.4wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	13c	291.03$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.62	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over	45c	277.81$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.8	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over	51c	251.17$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.16	564	47.9%270 W · 294 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Over	53c	249.16$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.11	110	50.9%56 W · 54 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Over	51c	236.38$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.83	133	49.6%66 W · 67 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd816…a60ebacked Over	46c	207.34$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.96	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-35%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Under	49c	204.7$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.06	474	36.7%174 W · 300 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under	51c	200.94$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.48	435	42.8%186 W · 249 L	-7.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under	52c	190$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.8	568	43.8%249 W · 319 L	-25.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under	50c	187.5$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.04	786	48.7%383 W · 403 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Over	53c	185.86$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.35	86	46.5%40 W · 46 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b7a…f46ebacked Under	56c	175.93$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.52	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.8wins	-0.35per pick	60cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	73c	175.69$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.42	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	50c	162$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.62	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Over	16c	160$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.74	106	23.6%25 W · 81 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over	50c	158.61$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	1,322	49.9%660 W · 662 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Over	52c	137.76$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.81	481	52%250 W · 231 L	+13.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under	47c	131.57$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.84	553	47.9%265 W · 288 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over	65c	119.31$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.56	89	52.8%47 W · 42 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Over	47c	117.22$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.13	84	39.3%33 W · 51 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Over	52c	113.66$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.56	113	54.9%62 W · 51 L	+5.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	50c	112.39$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.54	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under	41c	111.67$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.29	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under	50c	111.11$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.68	264	50%132 W · 132 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over	52c	109.89$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.47	633	53.1%336 W · 297 L	-2.7wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3921…db37backed Over	46c	107.08$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.82	66	43.9%29 W · 37 L	+8.1wins	+0.12per pick	32cpaid	+40.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f4e…e935backed Over	47c	104.79$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.54	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dab…029dbacked Under	47c	103.77$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.25	64	35.9%23 W · 41 L	-6.2wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Under	49c	101.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.56	378	42.9%162 W · 216 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under	53c	100.2$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.05	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f1…3fd9backed Under	50c	98.5$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.25	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5this page
1H Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 11.5No won
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 15.5No won
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 15.5No won
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Pistons vs. ThunderThunder won
Pistons vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
Ron Holland II: Points O/U 11.5No won
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Pistons won
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Pistons won
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Pistons won
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Pistons won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event