TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$317,977
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$317,012

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,977 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Over51c214,123$109,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,812.4820545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under48c45,535$21,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,856.5756646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Over49c39,997$19,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,398.6943148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c24,625$11,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,967.912,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Under50c19,849$9,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,924.3724045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under51c18,734$9,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,554.5626648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c15,283$7,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,488.854,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under49c14,533$7,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,082.222,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over49c14,321$7,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,312.9754539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Under50c11,319$5,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,659.3248352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Over49c9,998$4,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,098.895848.3%28 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3233…a4ddbacked Under48c9,604$4,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,609.912356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+30.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeec2…f266backed Under50c8,865$4,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,432.51560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under48c7,768$3,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,712.8435744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under51c7,532$3,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,841.5241649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Under50c5,969$2,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,987.4717850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over47c5,938$2,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,147.161,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c5,856$3,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,398.558,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under51c5,794$2,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,955.0218349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Under53c5,607$2,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,946.1911335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under48c5,523$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,654.923,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under52c5,418$2,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,841.8435942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under51c5,263$2,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,684.0815952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc11…2ca2backed Under51c5,072$2,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,586.7820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Under50c4,579$2,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,289.6313946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under51c4,249$2,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,167.0138946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Under50c3,940$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,97019346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Under51c3,863$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,970.018647.7%41 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c3,539$1,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,786.652,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under48c3,037$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.821,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c2,865$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,458.081,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Under50c2,628$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.086746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1f7…3976backed Under51c2,318$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Under51c2,175$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.3310651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under50c1,985$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.3987049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Under51c1,896$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.3117331.8%55 W · 118 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Under50c1,732$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.7916953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c1,724$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.424,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under49c1,633$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.9343542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under52c1,587$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.9956043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Under51c1,119$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.7624151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over48c1,101$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.4419135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under48c1,018$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.4336949.6%183 W · 186 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c849.19$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.213,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under50c803.21$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.9181349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Under48c798.85$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.451,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c748.62$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.346,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Under48c661.49$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.720049%98 W · 102 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under50c661.03$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.31,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over52c657.61$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.6527747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over43c636.58$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.8150241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over53c618.91$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.8926745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under51c596.8$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.3719745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under50c544.5$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.551,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under49c502.55$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.2544551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Over53c492.74$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.598951.7%46 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over49c492.5$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.1867921.4%145 W · 534 L+32.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under63c410.28$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.91,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under49c402.04$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19753348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Under50c394$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19719045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under49c391.95$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.191846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under51c390.06$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.731,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Over55c371.23$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.0521259.9%127 W · 85 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c364.34$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.822,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Under50c309.29$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.6562347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Over50c294.52$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2643052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under51c287.85$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.7566046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c282.37$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.441,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Under50c276.84$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.421741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under45c265.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.724949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under49c226.12$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.691,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c223.11$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.513,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Over48c209.5$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.947247.2%34 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Under48c205.21$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.512845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58c…8b7fbacked Over48c205.21$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.714738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under48c203.9$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.941,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under51c199.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10278652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c195.34$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.022,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Over13c193.26$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.6714438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under50c191.9$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9555347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c189.8$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.144,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c179$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.344,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over49c173.13$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.031,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9775…ed41backed Over49c165.84$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.082962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under51c160.3$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7621843.6%95 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Under50c159.57$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7920051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e80…9cebbacked Under50c151.69$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.858248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under49c151.26$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1251647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Over53c149.47$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2511157.7%64 W · 47 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c142.93$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.982,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under48c138.87$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7139055.6%217 W · 173 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over50c137.9$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.955147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under48c128.52$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.383,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under50c126.72$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3660945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under49c114$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8656447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under48c110.32$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9534247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4e…e935backed Over49c104.74$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.461540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under50c104.42$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2791746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under48c103.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6110042%42 W · 58 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.