NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x870a33acba9000a49452ac248e710d262f34a838ecb2a2f6528c77d3a5053ece
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $317,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $317,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $317,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 51c | 214,123$109,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,812.48 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 48c | 45,535$21,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,856.57 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Over | 49c | 39,997$19,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,398.69 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 24,625$11,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,967.91 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Under | 50c | 19,849$9,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,924.37 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 51c | 18,734$9,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,554.56 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 15,283$7,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,488.85 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 49c | 14,533$7,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,082.22 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 49c | 14,321$7,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,312.97 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Under | 50c | 11,319$5,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,659.32 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Over | 49c | 9,998$4,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,098.89 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Under | 48c | 9,604$4,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,609.91 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeec2…f266backed Under | 50c | 8,865$4,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,432.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Under | 48c | 7,768$3,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,712.84 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 51c | 7,532$3,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,841.52 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Under | 50c | 5,969$2,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987.47 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 47c | 5,938$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,147.16 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 5,856$3,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,398.55 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 51c | 5,794$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.02 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Under | 53c | 5,607$2,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,946.19 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 5,523$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.92 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 52c | 5,418$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841.84 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 51c | 5,263$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684.08 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…2ca2backed Under | 51c | 5,072$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Under | 50c | 4,579$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.63 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 51c | 4,249$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,167.01 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Under | 50c | 3,940$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Under | 51c | 3,863$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.01 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 3,539$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.65 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 48c | 3,037$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.82 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 2,865$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.08 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Under | 50c | 2,628$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.08 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…3976backed Under | 51c | 2,318$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Under | 51c | 2,175$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.33 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 50c | 1,985$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.39 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Under | 51c | 1,896$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.31 | 173 | 31.8%55 W · 118 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Under | 50c | 1,732$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.79 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 1,724$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.42 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 49c | 1,633$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.93 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 52c | 1,587$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.99 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Under | 51c | 1,119$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.76 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 48c | 1,101$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.44 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 48c | 1,018$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.43 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 849.19$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.21 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 50c | 803.21$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.91 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 48c | 798.85$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.45 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 748.62$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.34 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 48c | 661.49$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.7 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 50c | 661.03$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.3 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 52c | 657.61$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.65 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 43c | 636.58$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.81 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Over | 53c | 618.91$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.89 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 51c | 596.8$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.37 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 50c | 544.5$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.55 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 49c | 502.55$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.25 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 53c | 492.74$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.59 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 49c | 492.5$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.18 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 63c | 410.28$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.9 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 49c | 402.04$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Under | 50c | 394$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 49c | 391.95$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.1 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 51c | 390.06$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.73 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Over | 55c | 371.23$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.05 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 51c | 364.34$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.82 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 50c | 309.29$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.65 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 50c | 294.52$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.26 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 51c | 287.85$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.75 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 49c | 282.37$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.44 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Under | 50c | 276.84$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.42 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 45c | 265.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 249 | 49%122 W · 127 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 49c | 226.12$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.69 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 223.11$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.51 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Over | 48c | 209.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.94 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Under | 48c | 205.21$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…8b7fbacked Over | 48c | 205.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.71 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 48c | 203.9$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 195.34$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.02 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 13c | 193.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.67 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 50c | 191.9$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.95 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 189.8$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.14 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 179$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.34 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 49c | 173.13$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.03 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…ed41backed Over | 49c | 165.84$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 51c | 160.3$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 218 | 43.6%95 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Under | 50c | 159.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.79 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…9cebbacked Under | 50c | 151.69$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 49c | 151.26$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.12 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Over | 53c | 149.47$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.25 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 142.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 48c | 138.87$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.71 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 50c | 137.9$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.95 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 48c | 128.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 50c | 126.72$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 49c | 114$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 48c | 110.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4e…e935backed Over | 49c | 104.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 50c | 104.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 48c | 103.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Pistons vs. ThunderThunder won
- Pistons vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Ron Holland II: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.