NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb723de8f293dfc9e651eb8dbcae2b17de4aa8fd37ef3d35c7d8c409e07fea17a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Thunder, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $136,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $136,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Pistons | 59c | 16,620$9,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,743.25 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Pistons | 60c | 15,153$9,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,042.35 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 33c | 12,741$4,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,243.28 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 35c | 12,292$4,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,297.46 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Thunder | 43c | 12,007$5,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,149.19 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pistons | 67c | 8,789$5,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,874.74 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Thunder | 46c | 3,101$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.18 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Pistons | 69c | 2,962$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Thunder | 25c | 2,564$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.41 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…87b6backed Pistons | 58c | 2,535$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.6 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons | 53c | 2,139$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.56 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder | 36c | 2,057$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.62 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…ddcabacked Pistons | 54c | 1,824$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.37 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Thunder | 32c | 1,778$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.9 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…242dbacked Pistons | 54c | 1,708$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Pistons | 57c | 1,499$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.68 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,474$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.45 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Thunder | 43c | 1,436$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.41 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ed…9bb9backed Pistons | 57c | 1,387$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.49 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c8…44f7backed Pistons | 55c | 1,075$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.62 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Thunder | 46c | 1,030$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.11 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 58c | 1,015$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.34 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Thunder | 46c | 985.1$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.14 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…6a93backed Thunder | 41c | 800$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pistons | 50c | 707.23$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.62 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 43c | 702.1$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.7 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe878…e281backed Pistons | 57c | 644.13$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.37 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Thunder | 39c | 510.17$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.12 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…b254backed Thunder | 41c | 483.88$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.47 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Thunder | 42c | 400.75$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.32 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Thunder | 42c | 369.52$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.2 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Pistons | 56c | 351.86$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.82 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Thunder | 46c | 345.14$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.49 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Thunder | 41c | 343.23$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.64 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Pistons | 60c | 328.53$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.41 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…f37dbacked Pistons | 60c | 328.53$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.41 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Thunder | 32c | 326.77$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.9 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…8c4dbacked Pistons | 73c | 325.56$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Thunder | 47c | 325.47$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.04 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Pistons | 58c | 325.17$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.84 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Thunder | 41c | 309.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.63 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Thunder | 41c | 291.34$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.08 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x430a…a940backed Pistons | 54c | 291.13$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.92 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Thunder | 42c | 261.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.67 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Pistons | 59c | 250.55$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.72 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 44c | 244.4$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Thunder | 38c | 231.16$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.84 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Thunder | 42c | 226.64$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Thunder | 45c | 219.49$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.52 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Thunder | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44a…c4f8backed Pistons | 60c | 197.12$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…6112backed Thunder | 50c | 197$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb4…5071backed Pistons | 64c | 188.74$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Pistons | 53c | 175$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.25 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Thunder | 42c | 171.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.93 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Thunder | 42c | 167.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Thunder | 43c | 149.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…ee60backed Pistons | 68c | 146.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Pistons | 58c | 135.92$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.08 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Thunder | 37c | 129.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Pistons | 58c | 128.19$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Pistons | 58c | 128.18$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Thunder | 42c | 125$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Thunder | 32c | 123.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Thunder | 42c | 117.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | -12.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Thunder | 43c | 114.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Thunder | 46c | 110.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Thunder | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Pistons | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Thunder | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Thunder | 42c | 93.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…1013backed Thunder | 47c | 91.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Thunder | 42c | 90.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Thunder | 42c | 89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Pistons | 58c | 87.7$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Thunder | 44c | 84.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Thunder | 37c | 84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe290…7fb0backed Pistons | 59c | 78.84$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Thunder | 42c | 77.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Pistons | 58c | 74.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Thunder | 17c | 71.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -8.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Thunder | 39c | 71.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Pistons | 54c | 70.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Thunder | 35c | 67.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…c13fbacked Pistons | 55c | 67.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Thunder | 22c | 66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pistons | 53c | 65.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…f1c6backed Thunder | 33c | 65.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -7.2wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Pistons | 59c | 63.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed Thunder | 47c | 62.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Thunder | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb7…d873backed Pistons | 56c | 59.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…f542backed Pistons | 55c | 59.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…f80abacked Thunder | 42c | 58.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5e…a114backed Thunder | 42c | 58.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed Thunder | 44c | 56.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -6.0wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Thunder | 44c | 55.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 44c | 54.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder | 42c | 52.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…ab39backed Pistons | 60c | 50.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Pistons vs. ThunderThunder won
- Pistons vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5Over won
- Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5Over won
- Ron Holland II: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.