TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2a9e…f670

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
144
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT11345.1%51 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 113 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.08
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.82
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.04
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.05
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.7
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$7.81
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$32.61
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$15.66
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.58
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.79
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.19
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.8
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$231.19
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.12
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.84
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.97
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$30.23
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$33.29
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.05
Spread: Heat (-16.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.02
Spread: Raptors (-13.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
Spread: Celtics (-16.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$21.89
Showing 25 of 113 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT3046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.65
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.05
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.4
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.31
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.6
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$23.03
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$32.35
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$60.62
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.25
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.6
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$23.31
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+222.7%+$276.05
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.5
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.98
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.9
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.