NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94e58c6de3ee2f56c6e69f3b84d87c64565e3e2698d2cfb485184a68df081248
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $296,036
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $327,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,036 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Clippers | 50c | 52,421$26,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,027.26 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Thunder | 59c | 29,645$17,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,154.25 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 42c | 24,586$10,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,404.67 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Thunder | 70c | 23,927$16,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,220.43 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Clippers | 50c | 13,615$6,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,779.81 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Thunder | 58c | 12,000$6,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,039.99 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Clippers | 49c | 9,999$4,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.4 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Clippers | 41c | 9,620$3,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,944 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Thunder | 50c | 8,881$4,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,440.32 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Thunder | 51c | 8,753$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,328.14 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Clippers | 20c | 7,933$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.82 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Clippers | 41c | 7,820$3,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,206.02 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Clippers | 49c | 6,981$3,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420.63 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 52c | 6,716$3,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,237.44 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 50c | 6,714$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,334.22 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Thunder | 51c | 6,558$3,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,213.48 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Clippers | 45c | 6,415$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.31 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Thunder | 61c | 6,158$3,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.28 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Thunder | 52c | 5,687$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.93 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Thunder | 58c | 5,602$3,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.73 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Clippers | 24c | 5,394$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.12 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Thunder | 58c | 4,706$2,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,976.49 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked Thunder | 57c | 3,481$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.2 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7e…1cc7backed Thunder | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.5 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder | 50c | 2,875$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.72 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Clippers | 29c | 2,859$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.69 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Thunder | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.99 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x031a…50b7backed Thunder | 56c | 2,443$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.87 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Thunder | 51c | 2,405$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.45 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Thunder | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Clippers | 43c | 1,799$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.72 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers | 41c | 1,671$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.96 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Clippers | 43c | 1,661$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.06 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Thunder | 59c | 1,653$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.82 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Clippers | 43c | 1,646$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.65 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Clippers | 43c | 1,646$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.65 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Thunder | 75c | 1,570$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.79 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…6312backed Clippers | 42c | 1,537$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0fc2backed Thunder | 58c | 1,502$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.42 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Clippers | 33c | 1,398$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.05 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Clippers | 41c | 1,242$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.07 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Clippers | 50c | 1,164$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Clippers | 41c | 1,159$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.98 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…c79dbacked Clippers | 42c | 1,126$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Clippers | 24c | 1,113$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.17 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x77d4…3983backed Thunder | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Clippers | 9c | 1,050$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…5e5dbacked Thunder | 51c | 1,050$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Thunder | 50c | 1,030$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…3079backed Thunder | 57c | 1,020$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.67 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Thunder | 53c | 1,000$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.19 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed Thunder | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec4c…f5bdbacked Thunder | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Thunder | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb0…e9c8backed Thunder | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers | 45c | 999.94$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.48 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Thunder | 50c | 976.68$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.34 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Thunder | 57c | 959.71$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.67 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Thunder | 51c | 950.07$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.75 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Thunder | 51c | 888.25$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.24 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 50c | 795.36$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.5 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbf…f359backed Clippers | 41c | 779.07$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Clippers | 43c | 778.2$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.62 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Thunder | 51c | 776.48$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.48 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Clippers | 42c | 769.48$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.76 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Thunder | 51c | 761.25$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.01 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…9cfcbacked Clippers | 48c | 659.96$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.78 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Thunder | 76c | 651.43$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.75 | 256 | 57%146 W · 110 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3269…d5b3backed Thunder | 51c | 650$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Clippers | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Clippers | 41c | 596.2$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.44 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Clippers | 43c | 593.38$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.98 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Clippers | 42c | 582.8$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.77 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Clippers | 43c | 504.46$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.92 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Clippers | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…542fbacked Thunder | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Clippers | 49c | 490.25$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.22 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Thunder | 51c | 440.65$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.92 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf71f…3cafbacked Thunder | 51c | 430$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.7 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0b…c5f8backed Thunder | 58c | 420.17$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.47 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…72cfbacked Clippers | 48c | 420$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Clippers | 25c | 413$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.25 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Clippers | 42c | 405.04$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.17 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Thunder | 50c | 395.76$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.88 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Thunder | 51c | 388.24$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.24 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8988…0251backed Thunder | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Thunder | 51c | 368.83$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.73 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Thunder | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Thunder | 51c | 359.94$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.37 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Thunder | 52c | 329.14$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.99 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Clippers | 30c | 328.41$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.13 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Clippers | 49c | 319.02$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.32 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Thunder | 57c | 315.28$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.57 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Thunder | 58c | 310.93$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.59 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Clippers | 25c | 309.92$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 313 | 45.7%143 W · 170 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Thunder | 51c | 306.51$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.4 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…ea91backed Clippers | 50c | 305.05$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.52 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Thunder | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Thunder | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Clippers | 44c | 281.25$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.17 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Darius Garland: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 6.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. ClippersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.