NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xced54eba6392eb4f262dd556a4f5088c029328ab2e564c4887c89b93a770c13b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $615,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $618,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $615,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Clippers | 50c | 347,591$174,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174,493.96 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Thunder | 51c | 201,011$102,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,362.63 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Thunder | 48c | 138,451$66,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,994.43 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Clippers | 50c | 73,999$37,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,259.52 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Thunder | 58c | 29,876$17,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,498.91 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 49c | 24,645$12,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,560.88 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Clippers | 52c | 24,280$12,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,625.6 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 48c | 20,071$9,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,625.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.95 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Thunder | 50c | 19,400$9,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,700 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Clippers | 47c | 14,836$6,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,994.2 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Clippers | 51c | 12,824$6,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,540.42 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Thunder | 49c | 11,139$5,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,681.08 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder | 52c | 9,415$4,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,548.03 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 52c | 9,415$4,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,548.03 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder | 52c | 9,415$4,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,548.03 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Thunder | 52c | 9,415$4,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,548.03 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Thunder | 52c | 9,396$4,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,539.05 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Clippers | 51c | 8,153$4,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,158.05 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x031a…50b7backed Thunder | 53c | 7,911$4,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,716.57 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Clippers | 41c | 7,901$3,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,273.48 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Clippers | 42c | 5,849$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.39 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Thunder | 51c | 5,579$2,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,733.61 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Clippers | 42c | 4,826$2,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.92 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Clippers | 51c | 4,200$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers | 48c | 4,024$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.44 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Thunder | 49c | 3,878$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.58 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Clippers | 42c | 3,301$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.27 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Clippers | 52c | 3,051$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.52 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Thunder | 50c | 2,658$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.9 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Clippers | 36c | 2,493$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.27 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Thunder | 53c | 2,292$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.23 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Thunder | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Clippers | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.2 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Clippers | 43c | 1,781$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.68 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder | 49c | 1,722$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.23 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Clippers | 49c | 1,472$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.28 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2df…e521backed Thunder | 51c | 1,395$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62f…4857backed Clippers | 51c | 1,319$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.91 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Thunder | 49c | 1,263$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.59 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ed…9bb9backed Clippers | 50c | 1,164$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Thunder | 51c | 1,104$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.87 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…b5efbacked Thunder | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.48 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Clippers | 48c | 953.62$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.74 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Thunder | 53c | 916.79$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.89 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Clippers | 31c | 819.99$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.98 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Thunder | 62c | 809.6$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.32 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +6.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Clippers | 50c | 738.5$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.25 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Thunder | 72c | 641.54$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.73 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…f2f9backed Thunder | 49c | 630.11$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.36 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Thunder | 62c | 616.06$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.75 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Thunder | 49c | 593.51$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.69 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Thunder | 49c | 581.64$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.64 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Thunder | 49c | 527.56$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.11 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Clippers | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…92a5backed Thunder | 49c | 494.59$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.24 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Clippers | 52c | 466.92$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.8 | 192 | 58.3%112 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Clippers | 42c | 463.03$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.27 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e85…328bbacked Thunder | 49c | 434.37$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Thunder | 50c | 420.1$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.05 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Thunder | 67c | 420$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Thunder | 48c | 413.87$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.21 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Thunder | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044b…19acbacked Clippers | 52c | 366.11$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Clippers | 49c | 363.4$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.84 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Clippers | 47c | 357.94$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.23 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Thunder | 48c | 350$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Clippers | 49c | 306.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Clippers | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Clippers | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…15b9backed Clippers | 51c | 291.18$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Clippers | 46c | 266$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.03 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Thunder | 50c | 255.79$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.3 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf97d…b295backed Thunder | 51c | 246.79$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.93 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Clippers | 52c | 242.8$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.26 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Clippers | 47c | 242.05$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.78 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0687…02e4backed Clippers | 42c | 239.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Thunder | 50c | 233.57$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e13…c506backed Thunder | 51c | 224.75$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.17 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Thunder | 58c | 215.22$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.98 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Clippers | 46c | 211.9$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d0…7ee5backed Thunder | 51c | 209.16$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.49 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Clippers | 48c | 199.97$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Thunder | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafa2…17d1backed Thunder | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…0650backed Thunder | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Thunder | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 185 | 52.4%97 W · 88 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Thunder | 50c | 195.9$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.95 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Clippers | 52c | 194.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf331…ca0bbacked Clippers | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ec…12eebacked Thunder | 52c | 188.2$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.1 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Thunder | 52c | 187.79$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.69 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Clippers | 52c | 186.76$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Clippers | 39c | 186.48$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Thunder | 52c | 185.82$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.19 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Thunder | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Thunder | 50c | 174.6$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Clippers | 49c | 171.54$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Clippers | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…d241backed Thunder | 52c | 169.16$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.77 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Darius Garland: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 6.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. ClippersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.