NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Clippers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc31f282a30746ae49954e23d92d23aa6c129d008d07b0f47686db178554e32d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,430,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,972,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,430,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x959a…7b64backed Thunder | 76c | 452,754$345,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,629.96 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Clippers | 25c | 275,749$69,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,727.88 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Clippers | 30c | 201,073$60,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,302.1 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Thunder | 71c | 120,264$85,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,487.04 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Clippers | 31c | 115,071$35,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,671.93 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Thunder | 75c | 100,611$75,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,146.63 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Clippers | 30c | 89,901$26,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,970.27 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Clippers | 31c | 86,274$26,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,744.94 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Clippers | 21c | 80,212$16,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,692.15 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Clippers | 31c | 79,022$24,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,496.95 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Clippers | 24c | 75,000$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,999.96 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Clippers | 4c | 74,416$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,814.6 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Thunder | 76c | 68,992$52,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,558.08 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Clippers | 17c | 63,726$10,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,774.24 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 75c | 60,000$44,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,200 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Clippers | 24c | 55,278$13,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,266.61 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Clippers | 23c | 54,063$12,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,689 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 24c | 46,535$11,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,271.58 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Clippers | 25c | 43,650$10,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,762.5 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Clippers | 23c | 42,572$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…6f30backed Thunder | 70c | 42,378$29,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,713.5 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661f…098abacked Clippers | 24c | 42,225$10,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,133.97 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Clippers | 25c | 40,719$10,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,154.86 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Thunder | 71c | 40,566$28,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,940.52 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Thunder | 74c | 40,152$29,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,439.4 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Clippers | 24c | 40,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0528…424bbacked Thunder | 70c | 39,755$27,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,926.5 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Clippers | 8c | 34,817$2,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.18 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…17febacked Thunder | 75c | 34,379$25,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,574.42 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Thunder | 76c | 26,778$20,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,426.66 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…5cfdbacked Clippers | 30c | 26,162$7,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,848.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79f…662ebacked Thunder | 69c | 24,766$17,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,677.58 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Clippers | 2c | 24,316$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.47 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5845…7903backed Clippers | 29c | 24,301$7,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,067.26 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -59%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Clippers | 25c | 22,921$5,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,669.65 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Thunder | 69c | 22,874$15,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,090.8 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Clippers | 34c | 22,665$7,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,646.54 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Clippers | 2c | 22,174$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.39 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2100…930cbacked Clippers | 31c | 22,102$6,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,846.43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Clippers | 25c | 21,965$5,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,491.25 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Clippers | 25c | 20,746$5,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,204.83 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Thunder | 69c | 20,648$14,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,485.55 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Clippers | 24c | 20,005$4,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,801.1 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Clippers | 24c | 20,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.96 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Clippers | 27c | 19,990$5,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,485.56 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Thunder | 69c | 19,946$13,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,183.29 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Clippers | 27c | 19,590$5,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,373.05 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…7855backed Thunder | 75c | 18,899$14,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,724.64 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Clippers | 24c | 18,647$4,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,528.93 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Clippers | 8c | 17,195$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.63 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Thunder | 76c | 16,911$12,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,058.74 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Thunder | 69c | 15,646$10,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850.11 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Thunder | 76c | 15,623$11,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,683.96 | 221 | 59.7%132 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Clippers | 22c | 15,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300.02 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 69c | 14,784$10,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,537.3 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Thunder | 69c | 14,621$10,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,495.12 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Clippers | 13c | 14,428$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.77 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Clippers | 32c | 13,799$4,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,425.34 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Thunder | 76c | 13,792$10,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310.16 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Clippers | 6c | 13,221$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.73 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Clippers | 10c | 12,244$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.98 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Thunder | 70c | 12,163$8,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,648.98 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Clippers | 12c | 11,800$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.92 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Clippers | 3c | 11,756$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.79 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Thunder | 72c | 11,618$8,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,209.2 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Clippers | 26c | 11,000$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,915 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Clippers | 24c | 11,000$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.96 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Clippers | 1c | 10,999$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Clippers | 31c | 10,599$3,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,285.6 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Clippers | 24c | 10,510$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.31 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Clippers | 27c | 10,501$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,786.68 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Clippers | 27c | 10,000$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.9 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f6…8cecbacked Clippers | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Clippers | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Thunder | 75c | 9,990$7,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.5 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Clippers | 11c | 9,949$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.49 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Clippers | 24c | 9,805$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.98 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Thunder | 76c | 9,435$7,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.37 | 107 | 69.2%74 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…ce68backed Thunder | 68c | 9,375$6,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.09 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Clippers | 24c | 9,282$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227.65 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Clippers | 27c | 9,034$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.27 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Clippers | 24c | 9,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…22e0backed Thunder | 70c | 8,174$5,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.12 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers | 25c | 8,094$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.33 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Clippers | 1c | 8,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Clippers | 25c | 7,907$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.85 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Thunder | 67c | 7,306$4,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404.95 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Clippers | 18c | 7,154$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04fe…3688backed Thunder | 69c | 7,092$4,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…90c0backed Clippers | 30c | 7,000$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.54 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…0f2bbacked Clippers | 2c | 6,636$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…734dbacked Thunder | 76c | 6,484$4,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.21 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…9a2fbacked Thunder | 76c | 6,467$4,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.12 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Thunder | 70c | 6,439$4,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.69 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Clippers | 27c | 6,401$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.37 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…458bbacked Thunder | 78c | 6,326$4,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Clippers | 28c | 6,136$1,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722.78 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd37…9f53backed Thunder | 69c | 6,082$4,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.37 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Clippers | 2c | 6,011$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.75 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Clippers | 30c | 6,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.98 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Clippersthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Darius Garland: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 6.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.