TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,443
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,236

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,443 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under52c6,884$3,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,564.729,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over49c6,462$3,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,295.5932653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c4,005$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,222.064,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over46c3,112$1,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.351,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27514338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under55c1,361$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.596,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under55c1,339$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.5640451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under55c1,336$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.241,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under55c1,336$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.2490650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under55c1,336$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.241,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under55c1,336$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.2429849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under54c1,135$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.194,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab3b…bac1backed Over53c1,096$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.353066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under47c1,005$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.3444740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51b6backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003040%12 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec4c…f5bdbacked Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7093…78ebbacked Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecb0…e9c8backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over50c931.2$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.634854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over48c907.95$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.1331643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under56c869.29$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.871654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over45c823$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.6556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over47c715.11$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.1893543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c622.17$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.071,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31227746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7448…b4cfbacked Over48c599.97$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.982642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e9f…ab58backed Under51c580$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.82166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c19…3ec0backed Under51c550$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.52343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05b0…4362backed Over48c529.98$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.592060%12 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under52c465.83$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.8156447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under51c452.54$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.573,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under52c451.31$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.6859250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under51c382.62$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.1334953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under50c380.01$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Under52c373.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.248755.2%48 W · 39 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over50c351.14$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.5716946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under56c347.71$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7222047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over58c336.43$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6945251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over46c259.98$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.141,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f7b…bc29backed Over48c251.19$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.626100%6 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under45c245.24$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.275,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bfd…f319backed Under50c217.63$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.0411143.2%48 W · 63 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under53c208.51$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.431,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Under49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9416959.8%101 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Over50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9713148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Under52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1223650.8%120 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1251647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over50c178.74$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.891,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under56c173.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3661151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under56c173.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3637647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under56c173.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3614640.4%59 W · 87 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under52c144.41$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0942352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdd…b1a1backed Over57c136.73$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.791361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over47c131.43$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6617850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over50c129.13$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.562,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ecd…ea91backed Over50c126.74$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.372360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+31.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under48c122.54$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8265045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee1d…ccc9backed Under52c121.4$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.131850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Over47c111.49$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0929344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3945…2ef2backed Over56c97.36$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.84862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under54c97.24$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5133949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under56c97.15$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.437848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5653348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Under52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.569848%47 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under53c91.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.931953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a01…c0f7backed Over48c90.34$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.132751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under56c86.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6857051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Over69c80$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.823047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under52c74.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8536852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over53c73.05$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4789850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under50c65.44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.721,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Under46c65.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0218444.6%82 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over51c63.35$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0468838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Under49c61.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0916653.6%89 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bdc…0c38backed Over48c61.28$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.937057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over46c61$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9481349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over44c58.83$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.941,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over45c58.02$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9120240.1%81 W · 121 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Over48c54.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.495549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under46c54.18$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9233159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94ca…5482backed Under56c54.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.185935.6%21 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x788e…e086backed Over49c50.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.063345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under48c49.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7427945.9%128 W · 151 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under52c46.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2832450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1f…acafbacked Under52c46.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.285060%30 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x75fc…e7d1backed Under56c43.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.343234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-38%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7cb…4789backed Under37c42.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.72045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f74…4adabacked Under48c40.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3810850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Over49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.184238.1%16 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x102f…f81ebacked Over50c39.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.59933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+184.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd499…7d5bbacked Under52c37.01$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.436747.8%32 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over49c36.84$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7955444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over46c36.32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6123840.8%97 W · 141 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x386b…7d22backed Under48c32.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over45c32.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7323549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Under49c28.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9411455.3%63 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Under52c28.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5721649.1%106 W · 110 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Under52c28.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5737853.4%202 W · 176 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d7…d801backed Under53c27.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.588252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.