NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7dcf8ac390e464aa0172da33e47f8641f5f5114201e337c6bb2a674b4baa81b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 6,884$3,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,564.72 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 49c | 6,462$3,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,295.59 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 4,005$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.06 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 3,112$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.35 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Under | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Over | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 55c | 1,361$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.59 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under | 55c | 1,339$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.56 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 55c | 1,336$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.24 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 55c | 1,336$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.24 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 55c | 1,336$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.24 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 55c | 1,336$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.24 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 54c | 1,135$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.19 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…bac1backed Over | 53c | 1,096$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.35 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 47c | 1,005$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.34 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec4c…f5bdbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7093…78ebbacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb0…e9c8backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 50c | 931.2$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.6 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Over | 48c | 907.95$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.13 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 56c | 869.29$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.8 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 45c | 823$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.65 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 47c | 715.11$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.18 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 622.17$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.07 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7448…b4cfbacked Over | 48c | 599.97$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.98 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9f…ab58backed Under | 51c | 580$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.8 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c19…3ec0backed Under | 51c | 550$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b0…4362backed Over | 48c | 529.98$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.59 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 52c | 465.83$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.81 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 51c | 452.54$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.57 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 52c | 451.31$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.68 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 51c | 382.62$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.13 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 380.01$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Under | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 50c | 351.14$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.57 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 56c | 347.71$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.72 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 58c | 336.43$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.69 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 46c | 259.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.14 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7b…bc29backed Over | 48c | 251.19$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.62 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 245.24$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.27 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bfd…f319backed Under | 50c | 217.63$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.04 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 53c | 208.51$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.43 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Under | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Over | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Under | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 236 | 50.8%120 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 50c | 178.74$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 146 | 40.4%59 W · 87 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 52c | 144.41$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.09 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdd…b1a1backed Over | 57c | 136.73$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Over | 47c | 131.43$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 50c | 129.13$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.56 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…ea91backed Over | 50c | 126.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 48c | 122.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…ccc9backed Under | 52c | 121.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Over | 47c | 111.49$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…2ef2backed Over | 56c | 97.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 54c | 97.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 56c | 97.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Under | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 53c | 91.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a01…c0f7backed Over | 48c | 90.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Over | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 53c | 73.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 50c | 65.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 46c | 65.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 51c | 63.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Under | 49c | 61.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdc…0c38backed Over | 48c | 61.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 46c | 61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 44c | 58.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 45c | 58.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 202 | 40.1%81 W · 121 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 48c | 54.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 46c | 54.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94ca…5482backed Under | 56c | 54.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Over | 49c | 50.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 48c | 49.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 279 | 45.9%128 W · 151 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…acafbacked Under | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…e7d1backed Under | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cb…4789backed Under | 37c | 42.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f74…4adabacked Under | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…f81ebacked Over | 50c | 39.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +184.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd499…7d5bbacked Under | 52c | 37.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 49c | 36.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 46c | 36.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 238 | 40.8%97 W · 141 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x386b…7d22backed Under | 48c | 32.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 45c | 32.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Under | 49c | 28.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Under | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Under | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Darius Garland: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 6.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. ClippersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.