TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,721
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,593

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,721 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over52c48,871$25,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,514.1884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c37,433$17,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,984.429,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c6,893$3,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3091,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under46c2,181$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.011,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c1,096$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.056,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c1,086$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.993,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0115…ca23backed Over50c932.97$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.481136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c789.55$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.294,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under54c788.01$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.5212540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Over52c485.6$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.0942348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c395.93$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.762,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under49c339.8$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.52,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under49c300$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over52c280.15$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.479646.9%45 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf43…306abacked Over76c259.37$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.252962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under50c245.36$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.811,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under52c242.8$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2626956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under52c242.8$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2614156.7%80 W · 61 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under50c225.29$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.1593543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd55c…d703backed Over49c197.98$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0410840.7%44 W · 64 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under52c196.79$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8935744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a11…db4bbacked Over51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.257255.6%40 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over48c157.26$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.781,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over52c147.62$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.861,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under51c145.43$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.611,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Over69c142.23$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.095556.4%31 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Under50c137.42$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7118345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under51c126.62$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5761151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under51c126.62$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5763746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under51c126.62$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5771654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under51c126.62$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5737647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Under51c126.62$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5712752.8%67 W · 60 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under51c126.62$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.571,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under51c126.62$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5758953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under51c126.62$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5729849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under51c126.62$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5722047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under51c126.62$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5756447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bdc…0c38backed Over62c123.07$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.337057.1%40 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over49c118.47$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.316448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under49c114.23$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.461,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under43c111.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.492,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over61c110$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.924955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over50c105.87$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9349247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over49c100.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0945251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under50c98.94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4735546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under49c98.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4734247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9102…89d6backed Over50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.52050%10 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5357051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8223652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8225360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c93.2$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.22,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Under52c93.05$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3927646.7%129 W · 147 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Under24c88.96$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3516653.6%89 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over50c84.1$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0540750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaad9…caefbacked Over50c84.1$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.053246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc75…5431backed Over50c84.1$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.053348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b11…58c9backed Over50c84.1$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.053647.2%17 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under49c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.31,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under51c66.61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9736852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c65.18$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2484342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under33c60.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over50c59.34$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.521,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Under51c52.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8823549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf245…746bbacked Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2320655.3%114 W · 92 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48c1…3660backed Over58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over67c49.01$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1761253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under51c47.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2732450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Over67c47.52$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7313749.6%68 W · 69 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf793…6265backed Over52c46.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.413557.1%20 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under29c44.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9637753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9260…1068backed Under50c39.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.393522.9%8 W · 27 L-10.1wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-59%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c38.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.571,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over52c37.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9321952.5%115 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8190…27b4backed Over52c37.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.933863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec3b…fbabbacked Over52c37.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.938057.5%46 W · 34 L-0.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over51c31.03$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.21,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Under50c29.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5521649.1%106 W · 110 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Under51c28.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5637853.4%202 W · 176 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x661a…ddc7backed Over52c28.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.634156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc55d…405abacked Under50c27.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6315459.7%92 W · 62 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Over50c27.18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5921259.9%127 W · 85 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Under43c27.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7411826.3%31 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec3…2c88backed Over52c26.15$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.555761.4%35 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c04…2c55backed Under49c24.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.884942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64d6…aedbbacked Over65c23.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2110657.5%61 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c86…456bbacked Under50c23.28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6418548.1%89 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed Under52c22.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8415742.7%67 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x171f…d613backed Under52c22.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.847652.6%40 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under50c21.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.846255.6%257 W · 205 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Under49c21.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6626450%132 W · 132 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b2…2e80backed Under52c21.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1115855.7%88 W · 70 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1191…dee8backed Over71c20.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.072254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under51c20.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4138947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd210…92dfbacked Over52c19.42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3221646.3%100 W · 116 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.