NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6446946f4efbfd0aa81046202cc4588cc3295ff39079a137709ac3385b6e37ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,079
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,079 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Over | 50c | 3,872$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.36 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 2,781$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.98 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 45c | 1,913$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.36 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 1,744$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.96 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 1,716$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.02 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 50c | 1,455$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.99 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 9c | 1,019$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 45c | 1,006$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.2 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 61c | 910.06$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.28 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 50c | 878.03$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.63 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Over | 59c | 497.16$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.57 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 57c | 454.98$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.84 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…c969backed Over | 64c | 440.37$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.33 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9037…0386backed Under | 7c | 406.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Under | 39c | 386.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.28 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 303.4$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7d…3f24backed Over | 73c | 270.61$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 43c | 241.56$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.74 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.29 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 58c | 223.44$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 45c | 219.74$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.65 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Under | 49c | 208.24$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.04 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 194$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.73 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…7155backed Under | 10c | 189.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Over | 42c | 186.15$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.96 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under | 15c | 184$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…325bbacked Under | 48c | 166$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 49c | 158.14$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.32 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 51c | 154.32$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 65c | 143.79$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fff…d384backed Under | 37c | 130.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…3ef0backed Over | 53c | 128.35$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 29c | 127.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 26c | 110$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 48c | 100.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.39 | 188 | 50.5%95 W · 93 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Under | 24c | 93.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 49c | 91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Under | 16c | 89.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 111 | 28.8%32 W · 79 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Under | 59c | 80.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Under | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 58c | 77.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29fc…613bbacked Over | 52c | 74.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf793…6265backed Over | 56c | 69.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Under | 42c | 69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 59c | 68.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 49c | 58.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 221 | 43.4%96 W · 125 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…73e5backed Under | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 100 | 15%15 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 27c | 53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a01…c0f7backed Over | 43c | 50.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 53c | 43.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa59f…2e59backed Under | 46c | 43.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Under | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Over | 51c | 42.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -11.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…f1aebacked Over | 51c | 37.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Under | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe037…8a91backed Under | 50c | 32.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Over | 54c | 32.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…0546backed Under | 53c | 31.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 41c | 31.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdc…0c38backed Under | 49c | 29.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Under | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 50c | 25.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9681…9199backed Under | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Over | 49c | 23.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over | 50c | 21.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 46 | 84.8%39 W · 7 L | +13.1wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 68c | 19.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 142 | 64.8%92 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e3…f54cbacked Over | 60c | 18.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)Thunder won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Darius Garland: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Derrick Jones Jr.: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 6.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Williams: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-8.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. ClippersThunder won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 227.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.